WSC’s FY13 core profit of MYR43m was in line with our forecast, but significantly below consensus. Despite project delays, major pipe coating projects commenced in 4Q13. Our positive stance is retained as we observed in 4Q13: i) the recovery in O&G margins to the mid-teen levels, ii) sustained returns from renewable energy which offset plantation venture losses. Maintain BUY and FV MYR2.25 (16x P/E).
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In line. WSC’s FY13 core profit of MYR43m (-10% y-o-y) came in at 103% of our forecast, but 81% of consensus’ numbers. This core profit included a MYR11m provisioning for doubtful debts for the trading business in its industrial services division, but excluded a MYR3.5m negative goodwill from a subsidiary. The only major surprise was a higher-than-expected tax rate in 4Q13.
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The beginning of a margin recovery? As 4Q13 marked the commencement of big projects, namely the MYR580m Statoil Polarled Development and the MYR231m North Malay Basin (NMB) works, the O&G division chalked up strong 12% 4Q13 EBIT margin. As this is a sharp improvement over the thin 1-2% margin in 4Q12 and 3Q13, it is an indication that WSC is no longer saddled with lower margin projects and lower orders of pipe coating works. The renewable energy division continued to deliver amid strong demand for oleochemicals, biodesel and palm oil industries. We continue to believe that abundant orders for pipe-coating are likely to boost margins to the mid-teens.
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Brief updates. At the company’s analyst briefing held concurrently with the release of its results, many analysts were keen to know the potential for O&G orderbook replenishment. While WSC has secured small pipe coating projects (from Exxon Longford and DBP Wheatstone, <MYR100m in value each) at the start of 2014, it is in the midst of negotiating for more jobs. The global tenderbook for O&G works amount to MYR5bn. The Statoil and NMB projects have reached 30% and 12% completion respectively.
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Maintain BUY, FV MYR2.25, at an unchanged 16x FY14F P/E. This is at a slight premium to our mid-to-small cap O&G valuations to reflect WSC’s earnings turnaround and higher associate income. We make no changes to our forecasts.
Financial Exhibits
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Margins are expected to rebound due to positive sentiment from the pipe-coating and renewable energy divisions as well as higher associate income
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These will reduce the proportion of lowmargin works as well as the negatives arising from the loss-making plantation division
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Our key assumptions for pipe-coating margins are premised on expectations of bigticket orderbook replenishments
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The company is in the position of absorbing higher gearing to expand further
SWOT Analysis
Company Profile
Wah Seong Corporation provides oil and gas, and industrial services worldwide. It offers pipe coating and corrosion protection services;fabrication, and rental of gas compressors and process equipment; E&P products and services; infrastructure and building mate rials; and agro-based engineering. The company’s Oil and Gas division engages in pipe coating and pipe manufacturing for the oil and gas industry; building and operating offshore/onshore field development facilities; and the provision of equipment and services to the power generation, oleochemical, and petrochemical industries. Its Renewable Energy division supplies and manufactures equipment for biomass power plants, such as industrial fans, boilers, and turbines. The company’s Industrial Trading and Services d ivision is involved in trading and distribution of building materials; and the manufacture and trading of industrial pipes for the construction i ndustry.
Recommendation Chart
Source: RHB