E&O’s 3QFY14 results came in below expectations. The weaker earnings were mainly due to existing projects still being in the early construction phase. 9MFY14 property sales improved to MYR570m (1HFY14: MYR350m) and contributions from Andaman Block 3 have started kicking in. Despite the weak earnings and slow property sales, the STP2 catalyst continues to underpin our TRADING BUY call.
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Below expectations. Eastern & Oriental (E&O)’s 3QFY14 results missed our and market expectations again. The weaker earnings were mainly due to the early stage of construction of The Mews and Andaman at Quayside condominium projects.
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MYR570m in new sales in 9MFY14. 9MFY14 new property sales increased to MYR570m (1HFY14: MYR350m). Apart from Andaman Blocks 1 & 2 and The Mews being key contributors, Andaman Block 3 (Nov 2013 roll-out) also contributed to the new sales numbers. As expected, given the challenging market conditions and higher MYR1,600-1,700 psf ASP, take-up rate for the latter has been slow (10% thus far). Meanwhile, the terrace homes at Avira Medini will have their balloting next month in Johor, thus giving equal opportunity to potential Malaysian and Singaporean buyers. We gather that the properties, which are fully fitted, will be priced at MYR1.45m each before discount. Yesterday, also E&O announced its official launch of London Princes House, which is priced at GBP1,800 psf.
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Forecasts. In view of the weak earnings, we lower our forecasts by 31-24% for FY14-15. FY15 earnings should pick up as contribution from Avira kicks in. Unbilled sales remained steady at MYR750m vs MYR800m in the last quarter.
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Maintain TRADING BUY. We maintain our call and MYR2.70 FV, based on 35% discount to RNAV. Despite the weak earnings and unfavourable property sales outlook, our rating is largely driven by the approval for the Seri Tanjung Pinang 2 (STP2) project catalyst, which is expected to come in mid-2014. E&O submitted the detailed environmental impact study report to the Department of Environment on 13 Jan and a date has been set for end-February for a panel to review the report. We do not foresee any major hurdles, except for some minor conditions that could be added for E&O to comply.
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SWOT Analysis
Company Profile
Eastern & Oriental E&O is a niche developer focusing on the high-end property development. Its key flagship project is Seri Tanjung Pinang 1. Other landbanks are located in Kuala Lumpur and Iskandar Malaysia. It is the key property play to capture the influx of liquidity.
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Source: RHB