Alam’s FY13 net profit missed our/consensus’ estimates by 10%/11%.The improved OSV segment, driven by higher JV contributions, eased the weak OIC segment plagued by the absence of major contracts. We trim our FY14/15 earnings forecasts. We expect a lower utilisation rate due to drydocking of vessels and turn cautious on its ability to secure contracts. Maintain BUY, with a lower MYR1.96 FV.
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FY13 net profit below expectations. Alam’s FY13 full-year net profit missed our/consensus’ estimates by 10%/11% respectively. Revenue fell 14% y-o-y due to the absence of major contract in its offshore installation and construction (OIC) segment throughout FY13. A higher fleet utilisation rate of around 90% helped increase the offshore support vessel (OSV) segment’s revenue by more than 100%. OSV’s profit before tax (PBT) improved due to higher contributions from its jointly controlled entities and stronger operating margins of its vessels. Weaker 4QFY13 contributions from JVs. The weak 4QFY13 results qo-q was largely attributed to lower contributions by its joint ventur e (JV) operations (-61% q-o-q, -80% y-o-y), given a lower fleet utilisation rate in the quarter. Alam also incurred a MYR7.7m withholding tax expense inclusive of penalty in 4QFY13, after its dispute with the Malaysian tax authority ended in an unfavourable court decision against the company.
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Offshore installation work for Petronas. Upstream reported in early February that Alam, together with Swiber Offshore Construction Pte Ltd, has secured a sub-contract job from Technip and Malaysia Marine & Heavy Engineering (MMHE MK, NEUTRAL, FV: MYR3.80), to undertake the construction of a central processing platform (CPP) and a bridge in 2HFY15. While no contract value was mentioned, we have imputed conservative MYR190m/MYR220m of contract wins for FY14/15 respectively under the OIC segment.
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Maintain BUY, new MYR1.96 FV. We cut our FY14/15 earnings forecasts by 14.6%/10.1% as: i) we believe there will be a number of vessels being drydocked in FY14/15 for mandatory check, and ii) we turn cautious on its OIC business’ ability to secure more jobs going forward. We peg the stock to an unchanged target FY14 P/E of 15x, in line with other small- to mid-cap OSV-related stocks within our coverage. Maintain BUY, with a new MYR1.96 FV (from MYR2.25).
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Alam Maritim (Alam)'s principal activities are in the provision of offshore marine support servic es.
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Source: RHB