As highlighted in our earlier reports, we are excited about Tune Ins’ first successful M&A on 2 May 2014 with Osotspa’s Thailand insurance unit, OSI. We believe synergies can be reaped immediately through direct underwriting of online premium, leveraging on health awareness (given the Osotspa group’s reputation in beverage and energy drinks), and opportunities for more tie-ups. Maintain BUY and FV at MYR2.70.
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Official details of the transaction. On 2 May 2014,Tune Ins announced that it had paid its acquisition for a 49% stake in Osotspa Insurance (OSI) and Permpoonsub Broker (PPS) for THB408.7m (MYR41.2m). Both OSI and PPS shall become its associates once the share tran sfer exercise completes within two weeks. OSI is a general insurer with >100 years of presence in Thailand. It was a 57% subsidiary of the Osotspa Group, one of Thailand’s leading beverage companies (energy drinks were reported to constitute 80% of the group’s entire product output), which also has varied business entities engaged in pharmaceutical, glass and education. PPS is an in-house broker of OSI.
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Positive on the first successful M&A deal. We deem the purchase consideration (at 1.7x P/BV, based on OSI’s FY13 net assets of MYR48.7m) fair and within the ~2x P/BV of M&A transactions in the region. This will be funded mainly by Tune Ins’ IPO proceeds. Aside from a provision to Best Re’s reinsurance claims that resulted in a net loss of MYR8.4m in FY13, OSI had been making profits from 2008-2012. We are excited as this marks the first successful completion of a M&A deal. OSI will offer Tune Ins: i) the opportunity for a direct underwriting of online insurance in Thailand, a substantial market that contributed 19% of its FY13 online policies, ii) expand its products beyond Malaysia, with cross-selling opportunities to Osotspa’s customer base, iii) access to OSI’s 5-year status as Osotspa’s appointed insurer, and iv) provides potential access to tie-ups with airlines and new distribution channels.
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Maintain BUY. Its MYR2.70 FV is pegged to a 20x FY15F P/E (from a 22x FY4F P/E). We deem Tune Ins a growth stock that deserves to be traded at a premium to sector valuations of 14-20x P/E, in view of high earnings growth, margin expansion and market expansion amid an Asean customer base. We retain forecasts for now with an upside bias, given immediate accretion to its associate income and net premium.
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Risks. A surge in online claims ratio, competition as well as weak marketing may hurt its take-up rate. Any strategic stake selldown by the main shareholders presents opportunities to accumulate the stock.
Source: RHB