KKB’s weak start to FY14 was way below our and street expectations. However, we continue to like the company as its fabrication licence from Petronas may lead to more O&G jobs soon. Meanwhile, until more new contracts justify a re-rating, we are paring our FY14/15 numbers but keeping our NEUTRAL rating. Our FV is trimmed slightly to MYR2.38(from MYR2.39) as we roll over our valuation to 12x FY15 P/E.
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Poor start to FY14. KKB Engineering’s (KKB) net profit of MYR3.8m in1QFY14 only represented 7.4%/6.4% of our/street expectations. We are not entirely surprised at the disappointing results – poor contract win rate for fabrication division was barely compensated for by its manufacturing business, which generally has a lower margin. Furthermore, the commissioning of its new fabrication yard at Lot 777 also translated into higher interest and depreciation expenses that further pressured its bottomline, pending a significant fabrication contract win.
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Scouting for oil and gas (O&G) jobs. Since its associate entity, OceanMight SB, became a licensed supplier to Petronas under thecategory of onshore fabrication for offshore major construction, KKB’smanagement has been scouting aggressively for O&G job opportunities.Nonetheless, we decide to lower our contract win assumptions for FY14/15 to MYR25m/MYR100m from MYR100m/MYR120m respectively as it has yet to win any contracts to date. Meanwhile,contract flow at its general fabrication unit has also been weak, but a MYR227m order for mild steel pipes in Nov 2013 helped to compensate for the shortfall. However, these products generate a lower margin, which prompted us to lower our margin assumption by 3% in FY14.
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Reiterate NEUTRAL, MYR2.38 FV. We pare our FY14/15 estimates by 23.2%/8.4% to MYR39.4m/MYR51.2m respectively. However, we maintain NEUTRAL on KKB as its successful track record of participating in and completing many fast-track fabrication and civil projects suggests there is a possibility of an upside surprise if it wins a substantial O&G contract in the near future. We tweak our FV slightly lower to MYR2.38 from MYR2.39 as we roll over our valuation to FY15 on the same P/E multiple of 12x, in line with its fabricator peers ’ valuation. We advise investors to closely monitor the company’s developments, as any substantial contract win may justify a re-rating.
Company Profile
KKB Enginering is primarily involved in steel fabrication, civil construction and the manufacturing of steel pipes and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) cylinders.
Source: RHB