HL Bank’s 3QFY14 results were in line with our and consensus estimates. Positive underlying trends include stable NIMs, well controlled overheads, sound asset quality and robust contribution from BoC but loan growth remains tepid while non-interest income softened during the quarter. Valuations, in our view, appear attractive and we reiterate BUY with GGM-derived FV of MYR16.40 (vs MYR16.60).
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Results in line. Hong Leong Bank (HL Bank) reported 3QFY14 net profit of MYR500m (+10% y-o-y; -4% q-o-q), in line with our and consensus expectations, with 9MFY14 net profit of MYR1.56bn (+9% y-o-y) accounting for 76% of our and consensus full-year estimates.
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Results highlights. Positives were: i) mild 3bps q-o-q net interest margin (NIM) expansion (-4bps y-o-y). NIM has been holding steady at around the 2% mark for the past four quarters, ii) overheads remained tightly controlled, down 10-11% y-o-y and q-o-q, iii) robust growth from associate, Bank of Chengdu (BoC), up 70% y-o-y (+26% q-o-q). We suspect BoC may have benefited from the rise in interbank rates given its low loan-to-deposit (LD) ratio of 57% at end-2013, and iv) solid asset quality with absolute gross impaired loans declining by 5-6% y-o-y and q o-q. Thus, credit cost remained low at 10bps (annualised) while HL Bank’s gross impaired loan ratio of 1.24% remains among the lowest in the industry. On the flip side, annualised loan growth of 6% was below the 10% target and our assumption. We believe growth may have been impacted by some lumpy corporate repayments during the quarter. We are also slightly disappointed with the lack of traction in the hire purchase segment. Apart from that, non-interest income was weak (-40% y-o-y; -44% q-o-q) with the drop largely broad-base.
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Deposit growth. Total customer and current account and savings account (CASA) deposits rose 1% sequentially and hence, the LD and CASA ratios were unchanged q-o-q at 78.4% and 26% respectively.
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Capital. We estimate group and bank fully-loaded common equity tier 1 (CET-1) ratios were 8.2% (-50bps q-o-q) and 7.2% (+30bps q-o-q) respectively, as at end-Mar 2014.
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Forecast and investment case. No changes to our earnings forecasts We lower our FV by 1% to MYR16.40 following a switch in our valuation methodology to the Gordon Growth Model (GGM) (the previous P/E derived MYR16.60 FV was based on CY14 P/E of 13.5x). Maintain Buy.
Source: RHB