We view Wah Seong’s proposed acquisition of a 49% stake in Alam-PE as a strong sign that it is expanding its O&G value chain, aside from its indirect exposure to RSCs via associate Petra Energy. The deal seals a partnership with Alam Maritim at a cheap cost, ie via co-owning five young vessels. There may be synergistic opportunities and margin expansion ahead. Maintain BUY, with a MYR2.25 FV (15x FY15F P/E).
-
Cheap entry into OSV industry. Wah Seong inked a deal to acquire 49% of Alam-PE (from CIMB PE SB), which owns five marine vessels, for a purchase consideration of MYR106m . We believe this signals a lower-risk entry into the offshore support vessel (OSV) segment. According to the company’s announcement yesterday, this translates to an implied P/E of 6.3x on Alam-PE’s FY13 earnings of MYR16.8m – well below the 20-26x FY13 P/Es the O&G stocks in our universe trade at. Alam Maritim (AMRB MK, NEUTRAL, FV: MYR1.66) owns the remaining51% stake.
-
Young fleet. Alam-PE has a fleet of five Malaysian-flagged vessels, ie an anchor handling tug and supply (AHTS) vessel, two straight supply vessels and two accommodation/maintenance workboats (see Figure 1). The average age of the vessels is 5.5 years, based on our calculation –younger than the average ages of the AHTS and platform supply vessels(PSVs) in the region. While the vessels are low-end and replenishing charter contracts is a risk, we understand some charters are already long-term (3-5 years) and the demand for OSVs is high.
-
Synergistic opportunities. While determined to diversify into stable, recurring revenue streams, Wah Seong also has exposure to brownfield and risk-service contracts (RSCs) via 27%-owned associate Petra Energy (PENB MK, NEUTRAL, FV: MYR2.71). With its global presence, we see synergistic opportunities with related parties and expanding margins, as the vessels enjoy tax benefits for OSVs (being registered in Labuan). The group’s M&A angle in O&G is not new – but we believe it has learned hard lessons from past M&As and is expanding cautiously.
-
Maintain BUY and MYR2.25 FV at an unchanged 15x FY15F P/E, in line with sector valuations, premised on an earnings turnaround. We retain our forecasts at this juncture, pending management’s guidance on earnings and funding structure. The deal could be completed as early as 4Q14, and full contributions from it could raise our FY15F earnings by 8% and our FV to MYR2.40-2.50.
We believe the deal may lead to a blended PAT margin expansion in the group’s existing O&G business, based on the margins of pure-play and non-pure OSV companies, as highlighted in Figures 4 and 5. The high margins of OSV players that are registered in Labuan are partly attributed to significantly low tax rates. Wah Seong’s engineering and trading division records thin margins, and its pipe-coating business has margins in the mid- to high teens when its orderbook is healthy.
Source: RHB