Syarikat Takaful’s 1H14 net profit of MYR78m is in line, comprising 49% of our forecast. Overall cost efficiencies, stable investment results and a controlled claims experience had offset moderated growth in topline, demonstrating that the company is able to weather through a challenging retail environment. We retain our forecasts. Maintain BUY and FV at MYR15.00 (13x FY15F P/E) as we still see long-term catalysts.
1H14 review. Syarikat Takaful Malaysia (Syarikat Takaful)’s 1H14 core net profit of MYR78m (+18% y-o-y) is in line with our forecast, despite a reduction in sales (-13% y-o-y in gross contributions). The key takeaways are the stable investment results and an improved combined (loss + claims) ratio, demonstrating management’s continuous ability to manage cost efficiencies. Underwriting margins improved across both family takaful (FT) and general takaful (GT), partially helped by lower claims (especially in GT), a release of expense reserve from expiry of renewal policies and a lower base of earned contributions.
GT vs FT. The GT business registered a reduced claims ratio to 37%, from 49% a year earlier. This had boosted the surplus transfers and wakalah income contributed by the GT fund to the operator level. The FT business charted lower sales (-16% y-o-y), in particular from the group FT products, and saw wakalah income contribution and surplus transfer decrease. In this quarter, we think that the GT business is still facing intense competition amongst general insurers, despite the group’s value proposition of its 15% Cash Back (and additional 5% for non-motor products). FT, which was the company’s past main revenue driver, is facing a challenging retail environment. Nevertheless, FT’s gross earned contributions recovered sharply by 35% q-o-q from a slump in 1Q.
Sufficient capital adequacy. The group reported its capitalisation adequacy, which is well above the minimum 130% capital buffer, on top of its total capital available of MYR997m as at June 2014, following the provisions of the Risk-Based Capital Framework (RBCT) for takaful operators. We expect a better 2H, as we believe the company can compete more effectively with its value proposition and ample capitalisation strength.
Maintain BUY with MYR15.00 FV. This is pegged to an unchanged 13x FY15F P/E. While our FV implies a 3.4x FY15F P/BV, we deem this fair, given its superior ROEs vs peers. We maintain our forecasts given that there were no surprises, but expect the company to declare a final dividend instead of several interim dividends.
Catalysts and risks. Regulations that favour standalone takaful players and its ability to capture market share in the conventional insurance space are key long-term catalysts. Competition, claims exposure and a potential split of its GT and FT entities are a few of the risks.
Financial Exhibits
We maintain our forecast assumptions of at least 15% takaful contribution growth, in line with management’s target growth
Key insurance indicators are not comparable
among the operator, GT and FT segments
Financial Exhibits
SWOT Analysis
Company Profile
Takaful Malaysia provides Shariah-compliant general and family insurance whereby the risk is voluntarily and collectively shared by a
group of participants.
Recommendation Chart
Source: RHB
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