CMMT’s MYR38.2m1Q15 net profit came in line with our and consensus estimates. Maintain NEUTRAL and DDM-based MYR1.48 TP (4% downside). The Tropicana City Mall acquisition is still on track for completion in 3Q15, which should offset Sungei Wang Plaza’s persistent non-performance. With overall rental reversions still stable, we maintain our 2-3% DPU growth forecast for FY15-17.
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Within expectations. CapitaMalls Malaysia Trust’s (CMMT) 1Q15 net profit of MYR38.2.m (-33.6% QoQ, +0.1% YoY) came in line with our/consensus estimates at 24%/23% respectively. A dividend of 2.25 sen was declared for the quarter. However, this will be paid out together with its 2Q15 dividend, given its semi-annual distribution policy. Despite the persistent non-performance of Sungei Wang Plaza, earnings for the quarter were cushioned by the stable rental reversions from the Gurney Plaza and The Mines malls. Overall rental reversions for 1Q15 stand at3.6% while portfolio occupancy rate remains stable at 97.5%.
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Recent developments. According to management, the acquisition of Tropicana City Mall is on track for completion in 3Q15. Occupancy for the asset is currently at 91%. Post completion, CMMT plans to look at improving on the trade mix of the mall in the near future. For Sungei Wang Plaza, the outlook is expected to remain challenging and management expects rental reversions to remain in the double-digit negative territory. That said, the incremental revenue from Tropicana City Mall should mitigate the income loss from Sungei Wang Plaza. CMMT has also shared that 1Q15 retail sales noted an improvement due to the pre-goods and services tax (GST) spending, especially for bigticket items such as jewellery and electrical goods. Management expects sales to be slow for the next two quarters, although sales could see a pickup in 4Q15 as consumers adjust to the new tax.
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Earnings forecasts. Unchanged.
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Maintain NEUTRAL. We maintain our NEUTRAL call and DDM-based TP of MYR1.48. We continue to believe that the outlook remains challenging for CMMT, especially with the persistent rental contraction coming from Sungei Wang Plaza. While DPU growth is flattish at 2-3% for FY15-17F, the dividend yield is decent, at about 6%.