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Worst is over for the Malaysian rubber gloves sector, says Phillip Capital

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Publish date: Tue, 02 Apr 2024, 09:05 AM

KUALA LUMPUR (April 2): Phillip Capital has initiated coverage on the Malaysian rubber gloves sector with an “overweight” rating and said the supply-demand dynamics for the glove market is expected to further recover in 2024.

In a sector update on Tuesday, the research house said demand is expected to pick-up on re-stocking activities following past 2 years of inventory adjustments.

It said average selling price (ASP) has stabilized and likely to trend higher on a more balanced market.

“For sector top picks, we have Buys on Hartalega Holdings Bhd (TP: RM3.35) and Kossan Rubber Industries Bhd (TP:RM2.35).

“We like both  for its more efficient cost structure and strong balance sheet with high cash level.

“We have a Sell rating on Top Glove Corp Bhd (TP: RM0.60) on near-term earnings turnaround uncertainty due to a less efficient cost base,” it said.

Phillip Capital said it sees the current sector recovery as sustainable and driven by a more favourable market dynamic.

“The decommissioning of inefficient production lines by Hartalega, Top Glove, and Kossan has helped reduce the global capacity.

“We believe the re-stocking activities will sustain over 2024/25, with global demand expected to recover to 329bn/368bn (+15%/+12% year-on-year), respectively.

“Our current projection shows Hartalega, Kossan and Top Glove utilisation rates are expected to recover to 80%/62%/36% (from 46%/50%/30%) in CY24 with Chinese glovemakers operating at near full capacity,” it said.

 

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“We have a Sell rating on Top Glove Corp Bhd (TP: RM0.60) on near-term earnings turnaround uncertainty due to a less efficient cost base,” it said.

Phillip Capital said it sees the current sector recovery as sustainable and driven by a more favourable market dynamic.

“The decommissioning of inefficient production lines by Hartalega, Top Glove, and Kossan has helped reduce the global capacity.

“We believe the re-stocking activities will sustain over 2024/25, with global demand expected to recover to 329bn/368bn (+15%/+12% year-on-year), respectively.

“Our current projection shows Hartalega, Kossan and Top Glove utilisation rates are expected to recover to 80%/62%/36% (from 46%/50%/30%) in CY24 with Chinese glovemakers operating at near full capacity,” it said.

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