SG Market Updates

Keppel & Sembcorp Industries Led the STI in 2023, With 60% Total Returns

MQ Trader
Publish date: Wed, 03 Jan 2024, 09:42 AM
  • In 2023, the STI generated a 4.7% total return, in-line with the FTSE ASEAN Extended 60 Index’s 3.7% total return in SGD terms. This brought the STI total return since the end of 2019 to 18.5%, which has doubled the total return of the FTSE Asia Pacific Ex-Japan Index at 9.1%.
     
  • Seatrium joined the STI in 2023, with the Keppel O&M merger significantly boosting the market value, which stood at S$8 billion at the end of 2023. Seatrium’s net order book of S$17.7 billion comprises approx. 40% renewables and cleaner/green solutions.
     
  • Keppel and Sembcorp Industries led the STI in 2023, with both stocks generating just over 60% total returns for the year. Both stocks have continued to pursue renewable energy solutions. Keppel, together with Mitsubishi Power and Jurong Engineering consortium, is developing Singapore's first hydrogen ready cogeneration plant. Sembcorp’s recent developments include the 285 MWh Sembcorp Energy Storage System and the upcoming 600MW hydrogen-ready power plant expected to be operational in 2026. Meanwhile, the two least performing STI stocks in 2023 included HongkongLand and ThaiBev which generated 21% declines in total return.

In 2023, the STI generated a 4.7% total return, in-line with the 3.7% total return for the FTSE ASEAN Extended 60 Index in SGD terms. Performances across the ASEAN market were mixed last year, with Indonesia and Vietnam benchmarks generating 7.0% total returns in SGD terms, while also on track to lodge GDP growth rates in the vicinity of 5.0%. Meanwhile, the FTSE Thailand Index declined 11% in SGD terms, with PTTEP bucking the trend and generating a 12.5% gain.  

Since the end of 2019, the STI has booked an 18.5%, which has doubled the total return of the FTSE Asia Pacific Ex-Japan Index ta 9.1%. Driving the STI gains, the trio of DBS Group Holdings, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corp, United Overseas Bank averaged 43.6% total returns over the four years. The combined quarterly Net Interest Income of the trio gradually increased from S$5.7 billion in 4Q19 to S$8.4 billion in 3Q23.

Covers between 31 Dec 2019 and 31 Dec 2023

In 2023 the STI was the second most traded stock index among Singapore ETF investors after the Hang Seng Tech Index tracked by the Lion Global - OCBC Securities Hang Seng Tech ETF. The two STI tracking ETFs recording a combined trading turnover of S$636 million in 2023 and finished the year with combined Asset Under Management at S$2.2 billion. Primary market unit creations and redemptions for the two STI ETFs, crossed S$260 million over the period, with a tepid economic growth outlook and tighter financial conditions coinciding with a close to 370-point range for the STI. This was down from a 500-point range for the STI in 2022, and near 440-points in 2021. Net flows of the two STI ETFs also turned positive in 4Q23, recording net creations of S$41 million in 4Q23 against net redemption of S$71 million over the first nine months of the 2023.

The 30 STI constituents booked S$3.6 billion of net institutional outflow in 2023 and S$2.0 billion of net retail inflow in 2023.

Seatrium joined the STI in 2023, with the Keppel O&M merger significantly boosting the market value of the stock, which stood at S$8 billion at the end of 2023. Seatrium’s net order book of S$17.7 billion comprises approx. 40% renewables and cleaner/green solutions. While the merger reduced Keppel’s market capitalisation, in 2023 the stock averaged the same daily trading turnover as the 2022. At the same time Seatrium’s trading turnover more than doubled in 2023 from Sembcorp Marine’s trading turnover in 2022.

Keppel and Sembcorp Industries saw the biggest deviations from the comparatively flat STI price performance in 2023 with both stocks lodging 61% total returns. Both stocks are also pursing significant pivots to sustainable energy solutions, and building capacity measured in gigawatts (GWs):

  • Keppel’s infrastructure division makes up two-thirds of its revenue, and consists of an integrated power business, as well as a decarbonisation and a sustainability solutions business. In 9MFY23, Keppel’s renewable energy portfolio grew to 3.0GW, making up over 60% of its total energy portfolio of 4.9GW, with projects across the spectrum of solar (1.95GW), wind (0.96GW) and hydro power (0.09GW). The 4.9GW portfolio is on a gross basis and includes projects under development with 64% of capacity operational while 36% is under development. Keppel, together with Mitsubishi Power and Jurong Engineering consortium, is developing Singapore's first hydrogen ready cogeneration plant, for more information click here.
     
  • As of Dec 14, Sembcorp’s global gross renewables capacity is 13GW, including 473MW of acquisitions pending completion. In November, Sembcorp announced its 2023-2028 strategic plan. Its major markets are China, India, Southeast Asia, and the UK. By 2028, the company is targeting to triple its gross installed renewables capacity to 25GWs. Sembcorp’s recent developments include the 285 MWh Sembcorp Energy Storage System and the upcoming 600MW hydrogen-ready power plant expected to be operational in 2026.

The performances and net institutional flows of the current 30 STI stocks in 2023 and 2022 are tabled below.

STI Stocks

Code

Mkt Cap S$M

2023 Avg Daily T/O S$M

2023 Total Return

%

2023 Net Insti Flow S$M

2022 Total Return

%

2022 Net Insti Flow S$M

Sector

DBS

D05

86,172

122.3

6

-1,544

8

-297

Banks

UOB

U11

47,581

78.4

-2

-945

19

-72

Banks

OCBC Bank

O39

58,427

60.5

14

-6

12

474

Banks

Singtel

Z74

40,763

50.3

1

-322

16

842

Telecommunications

SIA

C6L

19,512

42.9

25

-61

13

123

Industrials

Seatrium

S51

8,050

39.6

-14

80

68

219

Industrials

CapLand Ascendas REIT

A17U

13,313

33.8

17

7

-2

-139

REITs

CapLand IntCom T

C38U

13,715

33.8

6

-135

3

87

REITs

YZJ Shipbldg SGD

BS6

5,886

33.0

14

3

107

39

Industrials

Genting Sing

G13

12,072

29.5

8

127

26

258

Consumer Cyclicals

Keppel

BN4

12,459

26.4

61

-165

49

357

Industrials

Sembcorp Ind

U96

9,448

24.9

61

194

73

219

Utilities

CapitaLandInvest

9CI

16,117

24.0

-10

-164

13

106

Financial Services

Mapletree Log Tr

M44U

8,668

22.4

16

-43

-12

-104

REITs

Wilmar Intl

F34

22,287

21.7

-11

-49

5

85

Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Venture

V03

3,953

18.0

-16

-230

-3

-70

Technology

JMH USD

J36

15,739

16.7

-16

-41

-4

-12

Industrials

SGX

S68

10,520

16.4

14

126

0

-13

Financial Services

ST Engineering

S63

12,116

14.9

21

110

-6

-142

Industrials

ThaiBev

Y92

13,190

14.6

-21

-132

7

-26

Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Mapletree PanAsia Com Tr

N2IU

8,242

14.3

0

-88

-12

-170#

REITs

SATS

S58

4,099

13.0

2

-42

-27

-140

Industrials

CityDev

C09

6,031

12.7

-17

-186

27

310

Real Estate (excl. REITs)

Jardine C&C

C07

11,762

11.4

9

-29

45

203

Consumer Cyclicals

Frasers L&C Tr

BUOU

4,306

11.3

5

-63

-19

-49

REITs

Mapletree Ind Tr

ME8U

7,112

10.5

20

7

-13

-198

REITs

HongkongLand USD

H78

10,144

9.6

-21

-29

-8

24

Real Estate (excl. REITs)

UOL

U14

5,305

8.4

-4

17

-3

-9

Real Estate (excl. REITs)

DFIRG USD

D01

4,290

1.7

-18

7

5

-3

Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Emperador Inc

EMI

8,340

0.7

5

3

13*

-5*

Consumer Non-Cyclicals

Source: Bloomberg, Refinitiv (Data as of 31 Dec 2023).
* Note performance and flow from Emperador Inc listing date.  
# Note does not take not account Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust Flow in 2022.

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