Edible oil prices jump 8% in a fortnight

By: FE Bureau | July 22, 2021 3:15 AM

This rally is despite the 10% export tax reduction by Indonesia and 5% duty reduction by India, he said. There are several reasons for the increase in edible oil demand across Asia post the second Covid wave.

Prices of edible oils have gone up by almost 8% across the country in the last fortnight despite reduction in duty on imported palm oil. Retail prices of cooking oils have gone up by Rs 10-15 per kg in this period.

According to Sudhakar Desai, president, Indian Vegetable Oil Producers Association, both global and domestic prices have gone up in the last two weeks by nearly 8%. “There is an increased and additional demand for refined palm oil from India after easing of restrictions. There is also an increase in demand of palm oil by Nepal and Bangladesh due to the potential to send refined oil to India at zero duty,” he pointed out.

This rally is despite the 10% export tax reduction by Indonesia and 5% duty reduction by India, he said. There are several reasons for the increase in edible oil demand across Asia post the second Covid wave. A depleted pipeline that needs to be filled and dry weather in Canola region of Canada among other global factors have also contributed to rising prices.

Sandip Bajoria, chief executive of brokerage and consultancy firm Sunvin Group, attributed the price hike to the global market conditions. “Globally, there have been concerns due to the hot and dry weather conditions in Canada, Brazil, Argentina and the US. Canada is witnessing temperatures between 45 and 48 degrees and there are reports of destruction of the Canola crop,” he said. “Brazil, Argentina and the US are also experiencing dry weather which has affected the soybean crop. In India, the delayed monsoon has been a cause for concern,” he said.

The increasing number of Covid cases in Malaysia and Indonesia has led to concerns regarding palm production being affected by paucity of labour, he said, adding that this has resulted in international prices going up by nearly $100 a tonne in the last two weeks, Bajoria explained. International palm oil prices have gone up from $1,030 a tonne to $1,150 a tonne, soy oil prices from $1,220 a tonne to $1,325 a tonne and sunflower oil prices from $1,200 a tonne to $1,330 a tonne.

Back home, the government did announce a reduction by Rs 20 per kg in edible oil prices, but since India is a large importer to the tune of 65-70%, the international factors also affect domestic prices. Moreover, the rupee depreciation has made imports costlier. The situation is likely to remain the same for at least a month, Bajoria said.

Atul Chaturvedi, president, Solvent Extractors Association of India (SEA), said the oilseed growing central India has been affected due to deficient rains and planting activity has suffered. “Moreover, the price of crude palm oil in Mumbai has increased 4.61% in a week, 9.66% in a month and by close to 72% from a year ago. Crude soybean oil also has become costlier by about 10% in the past fortnight,” he pointed out.

Refined soybean oil coming from Nepal is already creating havoc in Indian markets as domestic producers are not be able to compete. The SEA has urged to the government to place all refined oils under “restricted” category in the larger interest of the domestic edible oil refiners, Chaturvedi said.

“The unprecedented rise in soya meal prices from around Rs 36,000 per tonne in November 2020 to Rs 71,000 per tonne in July 2021 is causing distress to poultry farmers, and therefore, the association has approached the government to allow import of soybean meal, including GM soybean, up to September 30 to cool prices in the domestic market,” he said

3 BENEFITS FOR TSH RESOURCES

1. INDONESIA CUT EXPORT TAX BY 10%

2. INDIA CUT IMPORT DUTY BY 5%

3. YET PRICE OF EDIBLE OIL UP BY ANOTHER 8%

THAT MEANS 10% + 5% + 8%

= 23% GAIN FOR TSH RESOURCES SELLING PRICES

Other Malaysian Palm Oil Companies with exposure to Indonesia is SimeDarby Plant, ThPlant & AZRB

Best Regards

Calvin Tan Research

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