THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN

SOP (5126) A FANTASTIC RESULT AND A ROCK SOLID BALANCE SHEET FROM THIS PALM OIL COMPANY, Calvin Tan

calvintaneng
Publish date: Thu, 29 Aug 2024, 07:31 PM
calvintaneng
0 1,857
Hi Guys,

I have An Investment Approach I which I would like to all.

Dear friends of i3 Forum

We bought and Sold SOP. And bought back some since out there now not many safe and good stocks left to buy


And today we see SOP reported an excellent set of results


See


SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION

30 Jun 2024

INDIVIDUAL PERIOD
CUMULATIVE PERIOD
CURRENT YEAR QUARTER
PRECEDING YEAR

CORRESPONDING

QUARTER

CURRENT YEAR TO DATE
PRECEDING YEAR

CORRESPONDING

PERIOD

30 Jun 2024
30 Jun 2023
30 Jun 2024
30 Jun 2023
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
1
Revenue
1,139,537
1,175,340
2,465,010
2,382,365
2
Profit/(loss) before tax
144,746
66,814
257,124
134,269
3
Profit/(loss) for the period
109,376
50,600
192,858
97,268
4
Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent
105,682
48,116
185,142
92,288
5
Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)
11.86
5.40
20.78
10.37
6
Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)
4.00
0.00
4.00
0.00
AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER
AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7
Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)
4.0900
3.7500



Profit (YoY)  up from 5.4 sen to 11.86 sen 

(Jump of 119%)


NAV also up from Rm3.75 to Rm4.09


Let us do a forward P/E calculation 


at 11.86 sen this qtr

Annualized 11.86 X 4

= 47.44 sen

At Rm2.82 now

The P/E is Rm2.82 divides by 47.44

= 5.94

That means SOP will double your money in 5.94 years


What about putting money in the bank?

At 3% per year

The P/E is 33.3 years to double your money

In that case it will be eroded by high inflation


Now let us look at SOP balance sheet (refer bursa)


It has Rm600 Million cash

Rm900 Millions in investments

Total is Rm1.5 Billions cash & investments

Its borrowings

Rm219.8 Millions & Rm224.8 millions

= Rm444.6 Millions total debt


Cash less debt

= Rm1.05 BILLIONS CASH POSITIVE


This SOP is an Excellent Growth Co

High Margin of Safety

High Earnings

Plus it has over 300,000 Acres of Palm oil Lands in the State of Sarawak

With potential conversion to

Data Center

Solar Farm (Sarawak going into Green Energy)

Industrial Parks

New Townships (Pan Borneo Highway opens access)


SOP is a long term buy and hold


Another plus point

In Peninsular there is a hike of 52% for diesel price

Sarawak & Sabah States are exempted and as such its earnings not impacted by extra transportation cost


SOP now Rm2.82 (P/E 5.95)

If we assign P/E 10 

= Rm4.73

Yes Rm4.73 for SOP is only a Fair P/E 10 Value


And one more 

See FCPO



Crude Palm Oil Futures

Crude Palm Oil Futures

3,940MYR / TNED
+20+0.51%


Since Cost of CPO production about Rm2000 MT

The Gross Profit is over 90%



With Warm Regards

Calvin Tan


Please buy or sell after doing your own due diligence or consult your Remisier/Fund Manager
Discussions
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calvintaneng

The Macro Picture

1) In Peninsular Diesel price up 52%
All Construction
Construction Material
Real Estate
Retail Consumer Discretionary
Retail Consumer Staples
Industrial goods
Logistic
Air & Rail & Ships which use diesel

Will also see Cost rise by 5% to 30%

Cascading down to all

As Such Stocks of Companies listed in Peninsular will See high cost which eat into overall profits

2) Trump in Power will tax all Nations Exports to USA by 10% & For China tax is 60%

As such many will be impacted as tax will impact both sales and profits

Again SOP being Palm oil will be impacted least as its Exports are to India, China, EU, Middle East (Very little to USA)

That is why we hide in the Safety of Palm Oil Stocks - Esp those which are in Sarawak/Sabah

1 hour ago

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