THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN

YINSON'S PAST YEAR RESULTS SHOW HIGHER DEBTS, LOW ASSETS, EVEN LOWER DIVIDENDS, Calvin Tan Research

calvintaneng
Publish date: Mon, 15 Jul 2024, 11:23 AM
calvintaneng
0 1,841
Hi Guys,

I have An Investment Approach I which I would like to all.

Author:    |    Publish date: 

 



Dear Investors and Traders of i3 Forum (pls read as we type to the very end)

Everyday things are getting more interesting in i3 Forum,

We see "experts" suddenly appeared with one or two posts defending their aggrieved feelings & start calling "names"?

Please calm down. Calm down ok

This is an investors' forum to discuss investment ideas

See the definition of Forum

1.
a meeting or medium where ideas and views on a particular issue can be exchanged.
"we hope these pages act as a forum for debate"

 

In arguement people want to see who is right

But in discussion we seek to know what is correct

 

Who is right or wrong is secondary.

IT IS OF UTMOST IMPORTANCE THAT WE CAN FIND  WHAT IS CORRECT

 

 

Let us look at Yinson's past years record from Year 2016, 2017, 2018, 2019, 2020 & 2021

and "SEE" them one by One Yourselves

Please Refer to Bursa Website to see all the Results as you follow in all the details & figures which are all there 

 

Results of Yinson reported on 30th March 2016

SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION
31 Jan 2016

 
INDIVIDUAL PERIOD
CUMULATIVE PERIOD
CURRENT YEAR QUARTER
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
QUARTER
CURRENT YEAR TO DATE
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
PERIOD
31 Jan 2016
31 Jan 2015
31 Jan 2016
31 Jan 2015
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
1 Revenue
241,070
253,621
975,528
1,083,424
2 Profit/(loss) before tax
56,993
109,171
252,922
279,380
3 Profit/(loss) for the period
45,144
101,223
213,754
251,412
4 Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent
47,428
99,905
221,993
247,677
5 Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)
4.44
10.51
20.80
26.06
6 Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.50
   
AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER
AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7 Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)
1.6576
1.4044

Remarks :
All the financial information presented above includes the continuing and discontinued operations.

Definition of Subunit:

In a currency system, there is usually a main unit (base) and subunit that is a fraction amount of the main unit.
Example for the subunit as follows:
 

Country Base Unit Subunit
Malaysia Ringgit Sen
United States Dollar Cent
United Kingdom Pound Pence

 

From the above Note 3 Main Figures

REVENUE

Revenure dropped slightly from Rm253 Millions to Rm241 Millions

 

Earnings Per Share (EPS)

EPS is 4.44 Sen

 

NET ASSET VALUE (NAV)

NAV IS RM1.657

Now let's go see the balance sheet:

To shortcut we will look at 5 main points & then seen their progress Year after Year from 2016 to 2021

1. Receivables

2) Cash

3) Borrowings

4) NAV (Net Asset Value)

5) Dividends

YEAR 2016 MARCH RESULTS FOR YINSON

Trade and other receivables
189,588,000 (31.1.2016)
 
Cash and bank balances
486,578,000 (31.1.2016)
 
Loans and borrowings
1,448,757,000 (31.1.2016)
 
NET ASSET VALUE ; Rm1.657
 
Dividend
16.6 sen
 
So year 2016 started with
Receivables: RM189.5 Millions; Cash Rm486.5 Mil; Loans Rm1.448 Bil; NAV Rm1.657 & Dividend 16.6 sen
 
 
YEAR 2017 (MARCH RESULTS)
 

SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION
31 Jan 2017

 
INDIVIDUAL PERIOD
CUMULATIVE PERIOD
CURRENT YEAR QUARTER
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
QUARTER
CURRENT YEAR TO DATE
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
PERIOD
31 Jan 2017
31 Jan 2016
31 Jan 2017
31 Jan 2016
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
1 Revenue
185,468
116,188
543,255
424,398
2 Profit/(loss) before tax
30,283
98,130
213,179
292,760
3 Profit/(loss) for the period
51,201
47,211
196,755
215,821
4 Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent
51,201
50,098
197,048
224,663
5 Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)
4.71
4.69
18.07
21.05
6 Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)
2.00
2.00
16.60
2.00
   
AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER
AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7 Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)
1.8015
1.6600

Remarks :
The Revenue and Profit before Tax figures presented above exclude discontinued operations.

Definition of Subunit:

In a currency system, there is usually a main unit (base) and subunit that is a fraction amount of the main unit.
Example for the subunit as follows:
 

Country Base Unit Subunit
Malaysia Ringgit Sen
United States Dollar Cent
United Kingdom Pound Pence

 

Receivables Rm231.4 Millions
Cash: Rm633.9 Millions
BORROWINGS: RM3.170 BILLIONS
NAV: RM1.8015
DIVIDEND: 6 SEN
 
 
2018 MARCH RESULT
 

SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION
31 Jan 2018

 
INDIVIDUAL PERIOD
CUMULATIVE PERIOD
CURRENT YEAR QUARTER
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
QUARTER
CURRENT YEAR TO DATE
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
PERIOD
31 Jan 2018
31 Jan 2017
31 Jan 2018
31 Jan 2017
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
1 Revenue
257,394
185,468
910,156
543,255
2 Profit/(loss) before tax
73,799
30,283
361,770
213,179
3 Profit/(loss) for the period
56,998
51,201
292,073
196,755
4 Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent
57,140
51,201
292,179
197,048
5 Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)
5.31
4.71
26.85
18.07
6 Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)
6.00
2.00
12.00
16.60
   
AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER
AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7 Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)
1.8305
1.8015
 
 
 
RECEIVABLES: RM384.9 MILLIONS
CASH: RM637 MILLIONS
LOANS: RM2.64 BILLIONS
NAV: Rm1.83
DIVIDEND: 10 SEN 
 
 
2019 MARCH RESULT
 

SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION
31 Jan 2019

 
INDIVIDUAL PERIOD
CUMULATIVE PERIOD
CURRENT YEAR QUARTER
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
QUARTER
CURRENT YEAR TO DATE
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
PERIOD
31 Jan 2019
31 Jan 2018
31 Jan 2019
31 Jan 2018
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
1 Revenue
287,601
257,394
1,034,899
910,156
2 Profit/(loss) before tax
95,664
73,799
343,861
361,770
3 Profit/(loss) for the period
71,636
56,998
264,379
292,073
4 Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent
60,700
57,140
234,896
292,179
5 Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)
5.54
5.31
21.43
26.85
6 Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)
2.00
6.00
6.00
10.00
   
AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER
AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7 Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)
1.6000
1.8300
 

RECEIVABLES: RM282.1 BILLIONS

CASH: RM1.21 BILLIONS

LOANS: RM2.748 BILLIONS

NAV: RM1.60

DIVIDEND: 6 SEN

 

2020 MARCH RESUTS

SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION
31 Jan 2020

 
INDIVIDUAL PERIOD
CUMULATIVE PERIOD
CURRENT YEAR QUARTER
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
QUARTER
CURRENT YEAR TO DATE
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
PERIOD
31 Jan 2020
31 Jan 2019
31 Jan 2020
31 Jan 2019
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
1 Revenue
1,855,939
287,601
2,519,340
1,034,899
2 Profit/(loss) before tax
96,212
95,664
331,118
343,861
3 Profit/(loss) for the period
76,875
71,636
261,297
264,379
4 Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent
64,946
60,700
209,909
234,896
5 Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)
5.88
5.54
18.90
21.43
6 Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)
2.00
2.00
6.00
6.00
   
AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER
AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7 Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)
1.4900
1.6000
 

RECEIVABLES: Rm321.3 MILLIONS

CASH: RM1.276 BILLIONS

LOANS: RM3.354 BILLIONS

NAV: RM1.49

DIVIDEND: 6 SEN

 

2021 MARCH RESULT

SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION
31 Jan 2021

 
INDIVIDUAL PERIOD
CUMULATIVE PERIOD
CURRENT YEAR QUARTER
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
QUARTER
CURRENT YEAR TO DATE
PRECEDING YEAR
CORRESPONDING
PERIOD
31 Jan 2021
31 Jan 2020
31 Jan 2021
31 Jan 2020
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
1 Revenue
1,247,000
1,856,000
4,849,000
2,519,000
2 Profit/(loss) before tax
158,000
96,000
580,000
331,000
3 Profit/(loss) for the period
102,000
77,000
412,000
261,000
4 Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent
67,000
65,000
315,000
210,000
5 Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)
6.30
6.00
29.50
19.50
6 Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)
2.00
2.00
6.00
6.00
   
AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER
AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7 Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)
1.6700
1.4900
 

 

Again like Serba a careless perusal will see a nice result

Profits improved from 6.00  sen to 6.30 sen

Or profit up from Rm65 Millions to Rm67 Millions (Up by Rm2 Millions)

It also pay a 2 cent dividend

Plus NAV up from Rm1.49 to Rm1.67

 

Now let's go and see inside the balance sheet

Refer to Bursa Website Yinson Results dated 25 March 2021

Look at Cash

Cash and bank balances

1,821,000,000 (31 January 2020)

1,276,000,000 (31 January 2019)

After one year Cash has increased by Rm545 Millions to Rm1.821 Billions

 

RECEIVABLES: RM446 MILLIONS

 

Loans and borrowings

5,312,000,000 (31.1.2020)

3,354,000,000 (31.1.2019)

Wow! Loan is Up Rm1.958 BILLIONS TO RM5.312 BILLIONS

So Afrer deducting extra loan of Rm1,958 Billions less Cash Rm545 Millions

= Rm1.413 BILLIONS EXTRA DEBT BURDEN OR UP BY A WHOPPING 58.3%

Above refers to only Long Term Borrowing

See again

Current liabilities

Loans and borrowings

794,000.000 (31.1.2020)

476.000,000 (31.1.2019)

Short term loan also up by Rm318 Millions

So this quarter profit Rm67 Millions

Annualised

Rm67 Millions x 4 = RM268 Millions

ASSUMING THAT YINSON STILL MAKE THE SAME 6.3 SEN PROFIT THEN TOTAL NET PROFIT WILL BE ONLY RM268 MILLIONS PER YEARLY.

THIS PROFIT CANNOT EVEN COVER SHORT TERM EXTRA BORROWING OF RM318 MILLIONS

(RM318 MIL - RM268 MIL =  - RM50 MILLIONS DEFICIT)

AND WE HAVEN'T EVEN INCLUDED LONG TERM DEBT OF RM5.312 BILLIONS

PLUS BANK INTEREST CHARGES?

IF JUST 5% WILL BE ANOTHER RM265.6 MILLIONS

SO THERE ARE TWO DEBT BOMBS NOW TICKING FOR YINSON

THEN HOW?

YINSON IS HARD PRESSED FOR CASH TO SERVICE ITS BLOATED DEBT BURDEN

SO IT HAS TO FIGHT FOR JOBS BY OFFERING THE MOST COMPETITIVE PRICES BY COMPETING FIERCELY EVERYWHERE!!

 

SO BORROWING STARTED IN YEAR 2016 AT RM1.448 BILLIONS

AFTER 6 YEARS NOW 2021 DEBT BALLOONED TO RM5.321 BILLIONS

Since there is SO HIGH BORROWINGS IT SHOULD BE REFLECTED IN PPE & TOTAL NAV (NET ASSET VALUE)

SEE AGAIN

YEAR 2016

NAV (NET ASSET VALUE) = RM1.6578 OR NEAREST DECIMAL IS RM1.66

YEAR 2021

NAV (NET ASSET VALUE) = RM1.67?? (Up only 1 Sen After 6 Years?)

That means all THE VALUE HAS BEEN DEPRECIATED AWAY!??

 

AND DEBT HAS NOW BLOATED TO OVER RM5 BILLIONS!!!

WHAT THESE FIGURES ARE SO TELLING IS THE HIGHER AND HIGHER DEBTS, LOW NET ASSETS, AND LOWER DIVIDENDS!!

THE BURDEN OF EVER INCREASING DEBT WILL LEAD TO EVEN HIGHER DEBT

IT IS A VICIOUS CYCLE OF BORROW TO EXPAND AND TO BORROW MORE TO EXPAND MORE

WHILE THE EARNINGS (VALUE) HAVE BEEN LEAKED OUT ALL THE TIME

DIVIDENDS TO SHAREHOLDERS WILL IN INCREASINGLY DIFFICULT TO SUSTAIN WITH EVEN MORE BORROWINGS AND TAKING ON JOBS OF RAZOR THIN PROFITS

 

 

BEST REGARDS

Calvin Tan Research

 

This is not a buy or sell call

Consult your own Remisier, Fund Manager, Accountant or Auditor

 

Showing 4 comments.
Callmejholow wahhh u know how to analyze or not? dont mislead followers leh
08/06/2021 11:26 AM
stockraider Correct mah....why do u want a heavy borrowing company like yinson with limited assets backing & earnings backing compare to Rock steady Ijmplant leh ?

Posted by vincent555 > Jun 8, 2021 11:42 AM | Report Abuse

sell one lemon Yinson at Rm4.88 can buy 2 diamond Ijmplant at Rm2.44.Ijm plant giving 10 sen dividend while Yinson only 2 cent pittance dividend.Ijmplant with Cpo price over Rm4000 a ton now full of Cash

Yinson only full of borrowings

Ijmplant

Yes! Yes!! Yes !!!
08/06/2021 11:46 AM
CryptoM We have a super bear here who doesn't understand the industry trying to be a hero to teach everyone how to invest. Good luck guys.
08/06/2021 6:58 PM

 

 

 

 

 

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