THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN

TSH RESOURCES (9059) VERSUS JOHOR PLANTATION GROUP (5323) Compare & Contrast, Calvin Tan

calvintaneng
Publish date: Wed, 24 Jul 2024, 07:05 AM
calvintaneng
0 1,854
Hi Guys,

I have An Investment Approach I which I would like to all.

Dear Friends of I3 Forum,

In Palm Oil we are now into the 4th Year of Investing since selling off all Gloves in year 2020 to buy Palm Oil Shares

So we have garnered a little knowledge on the in-workings and out-workings of the Palm Oil Industries


Here we will compare TSH RESOURCES VERSUS JOHOR PLANTATION GROUP 

First a recap. Johor Plantation Group was once called Kulim

We bought Kulim at Rm2.50 & Jcorp took Kulim private at Rm4,10 (For a nice 60% gain)

After having taken Kulim private Jcorp hived off 2 estates in Pegerang & Converted them into Townships


AND NOW KULIM IS RELISTED AS JOHOR PLANTATION GROUP AT 84 SEN

SO FAR SO GOOD. JPG IS NOW 95.5 SEN OR UP 13.6% SINCE LISTING


WE WILL NOW DO A COMPARISON BETWEEN TSH RESOURCES & JOHOR PLANTATION GROUP


PLEASE REFER TO BURSA REPORT BY JPG LATEST QUARTER TO SEE ALL THE FACTS & FIGURES REVEALED


TSH RESOURCES


SEE ITS LATEST RESULTS


SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION

31 Mar 2024

INDIVIDUAL PERIOD
CUMULATIVE PERIOD
CURRENT YEAR QUARTER
PRECEDING YEAR

CORRESPONDING

QUARTER

CURRENT YEAR TO DATE
PRECEDING YEAR

CORRESPONDING

PERIOD

31 Mar 2024
31 Mar 2023
31 Mar 2024
31 Mar 2023
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
1
Revenue
242,388
250,298
242,388
250,298
2
Profit/(loss) before tax
35,027
54,225
35,027
54,225
3
Profit/(loss) for the period
25,177
37,933
25,177
37,933
4
Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent
20,073
29,428
20,073
29,428
5
Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)
1.45
2.13
1.45
2.13
6
Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER
AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7
Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)
1.4985
1.4831
TSH SHOWS A REVENUE OF RM242 MILLIONS

PROFIT 1.45 SEN

NAV RM1.49




JOHOR PLANTATION GROUP


SUMMARY OF KEY FINANCIAL INFORMATION

31 Mar 2024

INDIVIDUAL PERIOD
CUMULATIVE PERIOD
CURRENT YEAR QUARTER
PRECEDING YEAR

CORRESPONDING

QUARTER

CURRENT YEAR TO DATE
PRECEDING YEAR

CORRESPONDING

PERIOD

31 Mar 2024
31 Mar 2023
31 Mar 2024
31 Mar 2023
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
$$'000
1
Revenue
294,914
251,981
294,914
251,981
2
Profit/(loss) before tax
63,036
152
63,036
152
3
Profit/(loss) for the period
49,527
23,361
49,527
23,361
4
Profit/(loss) attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent
49,967
23,401
49,967
23,401
5
Basic earnings/(loss) per share (Subunit)
2.45
1.30
2.45
1.30
6
Proposed/Declared dividend per share (Subunit)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
AS AT END OF CURRENT QUARTER
AS AT PRECEDING FINANCIAL YEAR END
7
Net assets per share attributable to ordinary equity holders of the parent ($$)
1.5300
1.4900

JPG SHOWS A REVENUE OF RM294 MILLIONS

PROFIT 2.45 SEN

NAV RM1.53


FROM ABOVE JPG LOOK BETTER THAN TSH IN ALL 3 ; REVENUE, PROFIT AND NAV

BUT NOW LET US DIG DEEPER TO SEE THEIR BALANCE SHEET

(IT IS NOT THE OUTWARD APPEARANCE BUT THE INWARD CONTENTS THAT COUNT)


TSH BALANCE SHEET (REFER TO BURSA)


Cash and bank balances RM 255,825,000


Short term funds RM2,888,000


Other current assets RM7,889,000


Investment in an associate RM78,086,000


Investments in joint ventures RM101,349,000


ABOVE ARE CASH AND CASH EQIVALENTS


TOTAL = RM446,037,000


OR RM446.037 MILLIONS


NOW LOOK AT DEBT


Non-current liabilities

Loans and Borrowings RM98,779,000


Current Liabilities

Loans and Borrowings RM174,707,000


TOTAL DEBT = RM273,486,000

OR RM273.486 MILLIONS


CASH/CASH EQUIVALENT LESS DEBT


= RM172.551 MILLIONS


WE SEE TSH REOURCES A CASH POSITIVE COMPANY

NOW TSH'S INVESTMENT IN ASSOCIATES ARE ACTUALLY SHARES IN INNOPRISE PLANT (STATED AT COST & NOT YET REMASURED)


ACTUAL SHARES ARE 105 MILLIONS AND INNO SHARE PRICE CURRENTLY IS RM1.43


SO 105,000 X 1,430


= RM150.150 MILLIONS


REFER AGAIN

Investment in an associate RM78,086,000


THAT MEANS IF WE UPDATE THE REAL TIME ACCOUNTS OF TSH


RM150.150 MILLIONS LESS RM78.086 MILLIONS


= RM72.064 MILLLIONS (REMEASUREMENT GAIN)


THEN TOTAL CASH/CASH EQUIVALENT WILL BE


RM72.064 MILLIONS +  RM172.551 MILLIONS


= RM244.615 MILLLIONS


NOW NOTE VERY VERY VERY CAREFULLY


REFER BURSA


TSH RESOURCES BERHAD

Registration No : 197901005269 (49548-D)

(Incorporated in Malaysia)

Condensed Consolidated Statement of Financial Position

As at 31 March 2024



Assets held for sale..................RM 222,240,000

THESE ASSETS REFER TO FINAL PORTION OF BULUGAN LANDS TO BE SOLD

ABOUT 13,338 ACRES


IF SOLD THEN THE CASH/CASH EQUIVALENT POSITION WILL BE


RM244.615 MILLIONS + RM222,240,000


= RM466.855 MILLIONS


AND HOW MUCH IS THIS EQUIVALENT TO CASH PER SHARE?


THE ANSWER IS 33.7 SEN 


SO TSH RESOURCES HAS A VERY HEALTHY BALANCE SHEET


WITH CASH EQUIVALENT OF 33.7 SEN PER SHARE


NO WONDER EASTSPRING FUND, SPORE DBS BANK, PUBLIC MUTUAL FUNDS AND OTHERS HAVE BOUGHT UP CHUNKS OF TSH RESOURCES SHARES



NOW GO SEE JPG BALANCE SHEET

AGAIN PLEASE REFER TO BURSA


Cash and cash equivalents...RM 78,749,000

Other investments................RM 26,385,000


CASH AND CASH EQUIVALENT

= RM105,134,000

ABOUT RM105.134 MILLIONS


NOW SEE ITS DEBTS (REFER BURSA)


Borrowings RM1,367,100,000 (NON CURRENT)

Borrowings RM203,460,000 (CURRENT)


TOTAL DEBT = RM1.57 BILLIONS DEBT


DEBT LESS CASH

= RM1.465 BILLIONS BORROWINGS


THIS HIGH DEBT OF OVER RM1.4 BILLIONS WAS WHAT TSH GOT 5 YEARS AGO

THANKFULLY, TSH HAS  MANAGED TO CLEAR OFF ALL ITS DEBTS BY NOW



HOW?


TSH SOLD OFF 2 ASSETS (SABAH & BULUGAN FOR ALMOST RM1 BILLIIONS CASH TO SETTLE ITS DEBT)

WHILE JPG HIVED OFF TWO OF ITS ESTATES IN PENGERANG TO DO TOWNSHIPS


THAT IS WHY WHILE TSH GOT ITS RM1.5 BILLIONS DEBT SETTLED

 JPG NOW GOT ALMOST RM1,5 BILLIONS TO BE SETTLED


HOW?

BY WAY OF IPO

IT IS STATED THAT PART OF CAPITAL RAISED IN IPO WILL BE USED TO SETTLE LOANS

AND PART OF CAPITAL WILL BE USED TO SET UP DOWNSTREAM PALM OIL REFINERY (TSH HAS ALREADY DONE )


BUT LOOK FURTHER IN JPG BALANCE SHEET


Deferred tax liabilities.....RM 458,821,000






HIDDEN IN THE BALANCE SHEET OF JPG IS RM458.8 MILLIONS DEFERRED TAX LIABILITIES WHICH WILL NEED TO BE PAID SOMEDAY


AND TSH?

SEE


Deferred tax liabilities.....RM 85,776,000

ONLY 18.6% of JPG

AND COULD BE EASILY SETTLED BY ITS STRONG EARNINGS AS TSH YEARLY DEBT WILL SOON BE MINIMAL WITH STRONG CASH SURPLUS


SO FROM HERE WE SEE TSH TOTAL NET CASH/CASH EQUIVALENT IS ALMOST RM400 MILLIONS CASH POSITIVE

WHILE JPG TOTAL LIABILITIES IS NEAR RM2 BILLIONS IF TAX LIABILITIES INCLUDED


So if JPG is worth 95.5 sen TSH should be worth far more


TSH Current price Rm1.21

Our first target price is Rm1.50

Next Rm2.00

And Rm3.00 to Rm5.00 if any more assets are disposed in Ikn Nusantara to unlock value


WITH KIND REGARDS


Calvin Tan


Please do your own due diligence or  consult your Remisier/Fund Manager before buying or selling

IF STILL NOT SURE GET ACCOUNTANT/AUDITOR TO DO AN AUDIT

More articles on THE INVESTMENT APPROACH OF CALVIN TAN
Discussions
2 people like this. Showing 2 of 2 comments

calvintaneng

THE BEST PERSON TO GIVE AN ACTUAL STATUS WILL BE AN HONEST AUDITOR

1 month ago

calvintaneng

A careless surface perusal will see Jpg better than Tsh

however with X-Ray eye 👀 we see Tsh very superior

1 month ago

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