Disclaimers :- All Mabel comments in i3 forum are based on my investment experience across the Globe by applying the Pareto principle. No buy or sell call on any stocks in i3 forum on all my comments. You are advised to consult license banker or Remisier for any investment.
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2023-12-30 09:00 | Report Abuse
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C0EYKxF1oTI
Haha Mabel recon at about this time in 2024, everyone will be asking this question…hihihi..
To Our Success!!!
Captain Mabel Meow
2023-12-30 08:43 | Report Abuse
Question?
Why did Sapnrg and CapitalA merge?
Because they both wanted to go down into history to exit PN17 in 2024..
The new year is coming, full of hope and promise
Mabel Malaysia is ready to shine with her greatness
Twelve handsome princes, each with a sector to lead
They will work hard and smart, to meet the needs of the country
Sapnrg, one of the two PN17 companies that Mabel will help
It has been given an extension of time to submit a restructuring plan
Great progress with third consecutive gain with restructuring plan to exit PN17 on track. Two good news delayed Sapura to exit PN17; SapuraOmv and White Knight sales
Capital A, the second PN17 company that Mabel will also help
2023 is a great year for our CapitalA as it has been reporting narrower and narrower losses. 2024 will be better...
The one-hour flight between Singapore and Kuala Lumpur in Malaysia is the World busiest international route this year, showing the scale of Asia's post-Covid-19 travel recovery.
With 3 International Awards, it is a 150% Success Rate for Mabel Airlines to help everyone fly with CapitalA which continues to be named the World's Best Low Cost Airline in 2023 for 14X!
Twelve handsome princes, with their vision and mission
They will dance the night away with the beautiful sisters from Temasek, in celebration of cooperation
Yes lah, Mabel will be dancing the night away in 2024
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hCLkVrp_4CE
Happy New Year Every One !
2023-12-30 08:36 | Report Abuse
TalkNumberOne Mabel what about the ugly prince - siao lang? Very important yo, just locate where their sad face and bet against siao lang with confident. It’s a zero sun game, when you bet a against a 100% loser you will be 100% winner
30/12/2023 8:18 AM
Haha Good Morning T#1
Why did the ugly prince always lose his fight against the beautiful princess?
Because he was too busy admiring her beauty to defend himself...hihihi
Meow
2023-12-29 23:40 | Report Abuse
*12 Handsome Princes of Malaysia*
A new year is coming, full of hope and promise
Mabel Malaysia is ready to shine with its prowess
Twelve handsome princes, each with a sector to lead
They will work hard and smart, to meet the nation's need
Maybank, CIMB and BIMB, the pillars of finance
They will grow steadily and boost the real estate's chance
Petronas Chemical, Armada and Sapnrg, the stars of energy
They will benefit from the projects of Petronas and the global synergy
Gamuda, Sunway and Sime Darby Property, the builders of the future
They will revive the construction industry with the budget's nurture
KLCC REIT, the owner of the iconic landmarks
It will maintain its performance and dividends, despite the market's quarks
CapitalA, the leader of the aviation sector
It will recover from the pandemic and soar higher than ever
Sime Darby, the champion of the electric vehicles
It will cater to the demand and expand its reach in the region's circles
These twelve handsome princes, with their vision and mission
They will dance the night away with their beautiful sisters from Temasek, in a celebration of collaboration
To Our Success !
Captain Mabel Meow
2023-12-29 23:38 | Report Abuse
*12 Handsome Princes of Malaysia*
A new year is coming, full of hope and promise
Mabel Malaysia is ready to shine with its prowess
Twelve handsome princes, each with a sector to lead
They will work hard and smart, to meet the nation's need
Maybank, CIMB and BIMB, the pillars of finance
They will grow steadily and boost the real estate's chance
Petronas Chemical, Armada and Sapnrg, the stars of energy
They will benefit from the projects of Petronas and the global synergy
Gamuda, Sunway and Sime Darby Property, the builders of the future
They will revive the construction industry with the budget's nurture
KLCC REIT, the owner of the iconic landmarks
It will maintain its performance and dividends, despite the market's quarks
CapitalA, the leader of the aviation sector
It will recover from the pandemic and soar higher than ever
Sime Darby, the champion of the electric vehicles
It will cater to the demand and expand its reach in the region's circles
These twelve handsome princes, with their vision and mission
They will dance the night away with their beautiful sisters from Temasek, in a celebration of collaboration
To Our Success!
Captain Mabel Meow
2023-12-29 21:46 | Report Abuse
The Grand Duke of the year
Is a force to revere
He rules the energy and fate
Of the zodiac signs and their traits
The year of the Wood Dragon is here
From February to January, he is near
He is Li Cheng, the southeast lord
He favors Southeast Asia, where Mabel should look toward
Meanwhile, Santa had a feast at Wall Street
He told the investors that China is a treat
He said it is undervalued and ripe for growth
He made them hungry for a slice of the dough
But Patton China was not asleep
They had their aircraft carriers ready to sweep
They joined forces with Temasek Princess (Singapore Airlines)
They seized the opportunity with finesse
The Malaya Prince (Capital A) was not in the game
They had other priorities and aims
They helped the flood victims in the East Coast
They showed compassion and kindness the most
To Our Success
Captain Mabel Meow
Stock: [CAPITALA]: CAPITAL A BERHAD
Dec 29, 2023 10:34 AM | Report Abuse
According to Mulan, the Grand Duke, also known as Tai Sui, is a term that refers to the ruling energy of the year in Chinese astrology. It is associated with the orbit of Jupiter, which takes 12 years to complete a cycle. Each year, the Grand Duke occupies a different direction and affects the fortune of different zodiac signs. 2024 is the year of the Wood Dragon, which starts from February 10, 2024, and ends on January 28, 2025. The Grand Duke of 2024 is Li Cheng, who is located at the southeast direction which indicates Southeast Asia is where Mabel should put her attention.
Be mindful of potential challenges like rapid ups and downs and conflicts. Despite hurdles, 2024 promises fulfilment, success, and harmony through leadership and relationship cultivation.
The CapA Fighters will strive in Mentorship, Wealth, Family & Friends, Career, Health & Fitness and Accumulation of Assets.
Happy New Year and to Our Success!
Meow Meow Meow
2023-12-29 21:34 | Report Abuse
geary Mabel
Haha Mabel collected more at 82 sen last week...
Some Nice Uncles and Aunties were so kind...
22 hours ago
Okay...Q n add...
@0.82...#5% of our portfolio!🤔🤓
29/12/2023 2:12 PM
Welcome to the Club geary dear.
Now you have already made profits from today's trade..
Cheers!
2023-12-29 10:53 | Report Abuse
epal22 Can i ask if sapura is an GLC?
29/12/2023 10:30 AM
Mabel think Sapnrg is a GLC (Government-Linked Company) by virtue since PNB has a Major Stake in this company.
a. GLICs are investment companies that:
➢ Invests on behalf of the public and the Malaysia’s government;
➢ Invests and allocate funds to the GLCs
b. Seven Sisters in GLICs:
➢ Minister of Finance (incorporated) (MoF)
➢ Khazanah National Berhad
➢ Employees Provident Fund (EPF)
➢ Lembaga TabungHaji
➢ Lembaga TabungAngkatan Tentera (LTAT)
➢ Retirement Fund (Kumpulan Wang Persaraan)
➢ Permodalan Nasional Berhad
Minister of Finance (Incorporated)
❖ A corporate body established under the Ministry of Finance.
❖ Holds direct majority shareholdings in 70 companies, especially in 24 companies which are special purpose entities.
❖ Holds 1 golden shares in 32 companies (which gives MoF (inc.) certain special rights)
Meow
2023-12-29 10:34 | Report Abuse
According to Mulan, the Grand Duke, also known as Tai Sui, is a term that refers to the ruling energy of the year in Chinese astrology. It is associated with the orbit of Jupiter, which takes 12 years to complete a cycle. Each year, the Grand Duke occupies a different direction and affects the fortune of different zodiac signs. 2024 is the year of the Wood Dragon, which starts from February 10, 2024, and ends on January 28, 2025. The Grand Duke of 2024 is Li Cheng, who is located at the southeast direction which indicates Southeast Asia is where Mabel should put her attention.
Be mindful of potential challenges like rapid ups and downs and conflicts. Despite hurdles, 2024 promises fulfilment, success, and harmony through leadership and relationship cultivation.
The CapA Fighters will strive in Mentorship, Wealth, Family & Friends, Career, Health & Fitness and Accumulation of Assets.
Happy New Year and to Our Success!
Meow Meow Meow
2023-12-29 10:32 | Report Abuse
TalkNumberOne Last trading day of the year, happy new year all. And wishing a huat huat year ahead.
29/12/2023 9:07 AM
Felix666888 Happy new year to all investors here!!! Wishing all a Ong Ong year and Huat all the way!
29/12/2023 9:23 AM
Meow Meow Meow Team
According to Mulan, the Grand Duke, also known as Tai Sui, is a term that refers to the ruling energy of the year in Chinese astrology. It is associated with the orbit of Jupiter, which takes 12 years to complete a cycle. Each year, the Grand Duke occupies a different direction and affects the fortune of different zodiac signs. 2024 is the year of the Wood Dragon, which starts from February 10, 2024, and ends on January 28, 2025. The Grand Duke of 2024 is Li Cheng, who is located at the southeast direction which indicates Southeast Asia is where Mabel should put her attention.
Be mindful of potential challenges like rapid ups and downs and conflicts. Despite hurdles, 2024 promises fulfilment, success, and harmony through leadership and relationship cultivation.
The Sap Fighters will strive in Mentorship, Wealth, Family & Friends, Career, Health & Fitness and Accumulation of Assets.
Happy New Year and to Our Success!
Meow Meow Meow
2023-12-29 10:28 | Report Abuse
PN17 theme
If you notice, the counters that have gone up a lot are mostly sentiments to get out of PN 17
All have different reasons:
Scable: White Knights
Epicon: The Regularization Plan has been completed
Eatech: White Knight
Zelan: Completed Private Placement
CapitalA: World's Best Low-Cost Airline in 2023 for 14X
Sapnrg: White Knights and National Treasures
Captain Mabel Meow
2023-12-29 09:50 | Report Abuse
PN17 theme
If you notice, the counters that have gone up a lot are mostly sentiments to get out of PN 17
All have different reasons:
Scable: White Knights
Epicon: The Regularization Plan has been completed
Eatech: White Knight
Zelan: Completed Private Placement
CapitalA: World's Best Low-Cost Airline in 2023 for 14X
Captain Mabel Meow
2023-12-28 20:24 | Report Abuse
What Tony trying to say is Don’t worry Mabel, I’ll be standing next to you..
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UNo0TG9LwwI
Meow
2023-12-28 19:41 | Report Abuse
Haha T#1 Very Smart...
Mabel was referring to that Auntie H...hihihi
2023-12-28 15:55 | Report Abuse
In 2018 under Sharil, Sapura Energy’s cash call involved a RM3 billion rights issue of 9.987 billion shares priced at 30 sen each on a 5-for-3 basis, with 1 free warrant for every 10 rights shares subscribed. Another RM1 billion was raised through the issue of 2.397 billion Islamic redeemable convertible preference shares (RCPS-i), offered on the basis of two RCPS-i for every five shares owned, priced at 41 sen each. The RCPS-i are convertible into ordinary shares on a 1-for-1 basis upon maturity on Jan 29, 2024. This means each RCPS will indeed be automatically converted into one ordinary share of Sapura only upon reaching maturity on 23rd January 2024 meaning more shares will be listed on 23rd Jan 2024 by PNB.
Based on the above Mabel takeaway is simple..
PNB’s stake in Sapura Energy, held under its various funds, was only 12.16% before the rights issue. It also fully subscribed for the latter’s Islamic redeemable convertible preference shares (RCPS-i), which were part of a RM4 billion cash call — RM3 billion from a five-for-three renounceable rights issue at 30 sen per share, and RM1 billion via a two-for-five renounceable rights issue of new RCPS-i at 41 sen each.
In simple term that's PNB cost without considering of the 12.16% before the right issues (which is at a higher price) is between 30 to 41 sen per share. As long as Mabel's cost is below (way way below) the PNB Cost, Mabel can continue to Goyang kaki. Fortunately, Mabel does not freeze like a monk. Mabel has been and out of this Battleship with a healthy double-digit profit..
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UNo0TG9LwwI
Don’t worry Lady Sapura, Mabel will be standing next to you..
Meow
2023-12-28 15:27 | Report Abuse
Haha Mabel collected more at 82 sen last week...
Some Nice Uncles and Aunties were so kind..
2023-12-28 11:40 | Report Abuse
Haha PChem so steady..
Meow Meow Meow
2023-12-28 08:27 | Report Abuse
Just 3 more trading days left in the year. The Santa Claus rally continues in US. And technically, it extends to the first 2 trading days of the new year.
But even when the Santa Claus rally officially ends, there's plenty of reason to expect the bull market to keep going in 2024.
With inflation on the decline, interest rates expected to head lower, and the outlook for corporate earnings on an upward trend of improvement, it looks like it could be shaping up to be another impressive year.
Add in that stocks typically do well in Presidential election years (while the 4-year Presidential Cycle shows that year 3 (2023), is the best year for stocks, year 4 (that's 2024), is the second-best year), and the odds for another great year just keep getting better and better.
Captain Mabel Meow
2023-12-28 07:34 | Report Abuse
KUALA LUMPUR (Dec 27): The Malaysian Aviation Commission (Mavcom) has revised upwards its forecast for passenger traffic to 84.5 million to 86.5 million passengers for 2023, surpassing earlier projections.
In its 14th edition Industry Report "Waypoint" released on Wednesday, the commission also anticipates total passengers for 2024 to exceed 93.9 million.
Mavcom said Malaysia's aviation sector had experienced robust growth in passenger traffic post-Covid-19 pandemic, reaching 69.9 million in the first 10 months of 2023, and the impressive growth led it to revise its 2023 forecast.
The commission earlier projected air passenger traffic to rise between 40% and 52% year-on-year (y-o-y) in 2023 to reach between 74.6 million and 80.8 million passengers.
2023-12-27 18:24 | Report Abuse
KLCC so steady..No need to monitor..
2023-12-27 11:46 | Report Abuse
Felix666888 Congratulations Mabel for you beautiful 244% gain in Bumi Armada. I lost track my gain in Armada maybe about 100% only 😅, I average down then average up, in and out multiple times.
27/12/2023 11:00 AM
Cheers Felix !
100% Gain is very good..
Well Done!
Meow
2023-12-27 11:13 | Report Abuse
Sime Darby Plantation Bhd has maintained a consistent dividend payment record since 2019. Dividends are currently distributed on a bi-annually basis. Over the past three years, Sime Darby Plantation Bhd's annual dividend growth rate was 136.20%.
2023-12-27 10:57 | Report Abuse
170,000 tourist arrivals at island from Dec 1-20, says Lada
LANGKAWI: Tourism is making waves again here with thousands of holidaymakers converging since the school holidays began...
https://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2023/12/27/langkawi-back-with-a-bang?utm_source=Smartech&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=dailynewsalert&utm_content=20231227&__sta=vhg.uosvpxQddhqne.jsu0sv%7CYFHT&__stm_medium=email&__stm_source=smartech
2023-12-27 10:47 | Report Abuse
Haha ..In Business you need to have the element of time in your investment horizon. Mabel remember we had the same problem in our Bumi Armada with not so good balance sheet. I remember at that time Sifu Mickey was policing Bumi Armada highlighting their balance sheet weakness just like our handsome sslee is doing in CapitalA. This is not a bad thing as it gives us another perspectives...
The company faced financial difficulties after the oil price crash in 2014/15, which affected its cash flow and debt repayment. However, the company managed to turn around its performance by restructuring its debt, divesting its offshore support vessel segment, improving its vessel availability, and reducing its costs. As a result, the company achieved its highest net profit in FY2022 and lowered its net gearing to 0.7 times.
The company is also actively bidding for new FPSO contracts in the global market. You can read more about Bumi Armada’s turnaround story from these source..
https://theedgemalaysia.com/node/689492
Mabel ROI for Bumi Armada is 244%. Bought it when it was dirt cheap with an average price of 16 sen and sold it when it rallied at 55 sen. Since then Mabel has been in and out of that counter and still holding Armada Share.
Patience my friend...
Meow
2023-12-27 09:51 | Report Abuse
Now is up by 5 sen from yesterday's closing
2023-12-27 08:48 | Report Abuse
I remembered AK was making headlines those days about Bumi Armada..
If AK can do, so can our Magician Tony..these two are not only strong leaders, they are visionary too ..
Meow
2023-12-27 08:41 | Report Abuse
In Business you need to have the element of time in your investment horizon. Mabel remember we had the same problem in our Bumi Armada with not so good balance sheet. I remember at that time Sifu Mickey was policing Bumi Armada highlighting their balance sheet weakness just like our handsome sslee is doing today. This is not a bad thing as it gives us another perspectives...
The company faced financial difficulties after the oil price crash in 2014/15, which affected its cash flow and debt repayment. However, the company managed to turn around its performance by restructuring its debt, divesting its offshore support vessel segment, improving its vessel availability, and reducing its costs. As a result, the company achieved its highest net profit in FY2022 and lowered its net gearing to 0.7 times.
The company is also actively bidding for new FPSO contracts in the global market. You can read more about Bumi Armada’s turnaround story from these source..
https://theedgemalaysia.com/node/689492
Mabel ROI for Bumi Armada is 244%. Bought it when it was dirt cheap with an average price of 16 sen and sold it when it rallied at 55 sen. Since then Mabel has been in and out of that counter and still holding Armada Share.
Patience my friend...
Meow
2023-12-27 07:03 | Report Abuse
Nice...More good news for Mabel Energy..
2023-12-26 18:34 | Report Abuse
SINGAPORE - Global air travel volume is expected to finally exceed pre-Covid-19 levels in 2024 as the Asia-Pacific region makes a full recovery, said industry observers. Driven by sustained demand, this could make 2024 a banner year for airline profits.
The industry made a dramatic recovery in 2022 and 2023, bouncing back from record pandemic-era losses to near-2019 levels.
Full global recovery
Association of Asia-Pacific Airlines (AAPA) director-general Subhas Menon said: “In 2024, air travel recovery will be complete.”
The International Air Transport Association (Iata) forecasts that in 2024, airlines will make US$25.7 billion (S$34 billion) in profits, on the back of a record US$964 billion in revenue.
https://www.straitstimes.com/business/global-air-travel-will-finally-surpass-pre-covid-levels-in-2024-experts-say?utm_campaign=ST_Newsletter_PM
2023-12-26 17:08 | Report Abuse
It's been a trading day good day today..
Opening at 85 sen
Order Match at 82 sen
Closing at 83.5 sen with 14.5 million shares traded.
So Happy..
Meow
2023-12-26 12:24 | Report Abuse
Tony,
If you are reading this..
Imagine you're on a hiking adventure, exploring a majestic mountain range.
Each peak represents a different form of success - personal, professional, and everything in between. As you navigate the rugged terrain, you notice fellow hikers on different paths, each climbing towards their own summit.
Here's the thing: your route to success is as distinct as the landscape before you.
Comparing yourself to others is like trying to climb their mountain. It's an uphill battle that leads you away from your own summit.
So don't compare your self with Singapore Airlines. During the Pandemic, Singapore Airlines (SIA) raise up to $15 billion amid major financial challenges due to the Covid-19 pandemic which has hit the global air travel sector badly. This is done by issuing new shares to current shareholders to raise about $5.3 billion and issuing mandatory convertible bonds to raise up to $9.7 billion. Temasek who owns 55% of the airline came to the rescue by pledging to take up any remaining shares and bonds that are not subscribed.
Just like SIA, we know your CapitalA AirAsia was also paralyzed by the pandemic without any revenue. However, unlike SIA with Big Brother Temasek cumming to the rescue, CapitalA took many initiatives to revive and stay afloat without any help from the Malaysian Government.
Now you know why we salute Air Asia. Recognize that success is not a one-size-fits-all destination. It's an individualized expedition, where the joy lies in discovering your own strengths, passions, and purpose.
By focusing on your own journey, you unlock the door to personal fulfillment and unleash your true potential. If you can do it for AAX, Mabel can't see why you can't do it for AA..
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UNo0TG9LwwI
Mabel standings next to you Tony...
To Our Success!
Captain Mabel Meow
2023-12-26 11:47 | Report Abuse
Yes Lah..so Every Wang can Fly as we enter the Year the Dragon..
Meow
2023-12-26 11:11 | Report Abuse
Haha so nice...So apy...Mabel just came back from Swimming..
Uncles and Aunties so kind. Sold their CapitalA shares at 82 sen... Now Mabel waiting at 81.5 sen and 81 sen..
Thank you!
Meow
Stock: [CAPITALA]: CAPITAL A BERHAD
Dec 20, 2023 9:26 AM | Report Abuse
HuHuHu...so sad ...
No Uncles and Aunties wang to sell to Mabel at 82 sen...
HuHuHu...
2023-12-26 06:52 | Report Abuse
#xiaoeh The terminal growth rate is 2%, which is the long-term growth rate for the Malaysian economy.
Hi Mabel, do u apply this terminal growth rate 2% model to all companies you evaluated?
25/12/2023 8:24 PM
Morning xiaoeh,
The terminal growth rate is the constant rate at which a company’s expected free cash flows are assumed to grow indefinitely. This growth rate is used beyond the forecast period in a discounted cash flow (DCF) model, to estimate the terminal value of a company.
The terminal growth rate depends on various factors, such as the industry, the market, the business cycle, and the assumptions of the analyst. There is no one-size-fits-all approach to choosing the terminal growth rate for different companies. However, some common methods are:
• Using the historical inflation rate or the risk-free rate as the terminal growth rate. This assumes that the company will grow at the same rate as the general economy in the long run.
• Using the average GDP growth rate or the industry growth rate as the terminal growth rate. This assumes that the company will grow at the same rate as its industry or the country in the long run.
• Using a conservative growth rate that is lower than the forecast growth rate. This assumes that the company will experience a decline in its growth rate as it reaches maturity and faces more competition.
For CapitalA, I used the long-term growth rate of the Malaysian economy, which is 2%, as the terminal growth rate. This is based on the assumption that CapitalA will grow at the same rate as the economy in the long run, and that its market share and profitability will remain stable. However, this is only an estimate and it may change depending on the future performance and prospects of CapitalA.
To Our Success !
Captain Mabel Meow
2023-12-25 19:51 | Report Abuse
#TalkNumberOne Merry Christmas Mabel !!!
25/12/2023 7:13 PM
TalkNumberOne Few more days, entering 2024 US election year. If you know what I mean hehe. For siao lang better stay away from market. Your only outcome is loose more money
25/12/2023 7:15 PM
Merry Christmas to you too TN#1..
Saudi and Russia want Electric Joe Biden out in next presidential election. Donald Trump is in favorable now.
I think OPEC members like Saudi Arabia and allies like Russia would prefer to see Donald Trump reelected, and they may therefore try to drive prices up ahead of the election. It will be harder for President Biden to win reelection if gasoline prices are skyrocketing ahead of the election, so this will be something to watch in 2024.
We might see higher crude oil price in 2024.
To Our Success !
Meow Meow Meow
2023-12-25 19:08 | Report Abuse
Suming up..
If AAX can do, so can AA (CapitalA)
Meow Meow Meow
2023-12-25 19:06 | Report Abuse
#geary CapitalA Bhd business extended/subsidiaries growth are:
1.Teleport:
Cargo/Freighter Fleets to 100 aircrafts.🙏
2. SuperApp/AirAsia MOVE: All passengers flying with AA, using MOVE!?
(That's why even a bit of quarterly lost, is okay...Sales up👍
3. ADE(Aircraft MRO):
Not only cost savings on own aircrafts, plus servicing other aircraft, profit margin, above z average 🤔
4. Catering/Santan chain of restaurant.
Catering its own passengers plus other airlines 🤠
These 4 businesses, will become #50% of CapitalA, Sales/Profit(Aviation #50%)🎄
Be prepared...at the starting...Trend...not End of the Trend🤓
25/12/2023 2:23 PM
Yes geary these are very refreshing to see what our Honest, Smart and Hardworking Magician and Team are currently doing. They are Mabellous!
All these initiative will influence the market sentiment especially for an investor and trader like Mabel. In a nutshell, market sentiment is the overall mood of investors and traders about a stock or the stock market as a whole. It is influenced by various factors, such as news, earnings, trends, and expectations. Market sentiment can be measured by various indicators, such as price movements, trading volume, volatility, and surveys.
Currently, the market sentiment of capA is mixed, as the low-cost carrier faces both opportunities and challenges in the post-pandemic environment. On one hand, capA is leveraging favorable market conditions in the Asia-Pacific region, such as surging leisure demand, low fuel prices, and less competition. capA is also expanding its network and fleet, and exploring new revenue streams, such as digital services and cargo etc as stated by geary.
On the other hand, capA is still recovering from the financial and operational impact of the COVID-19 crisis, which resulted in significant losses, debt, and capacity reduction. capA is also facing regulatory and operational uncertainties, such as travel restrictions, border closures, quarantine requirements, and health protocols, which affect its demand and profitability
Therefore, the market sentiment of capA depends on how the airline can balance its growth prospects and risk factors, and how it can adapt to the changing market dynamics and customer preferences.
It's all about managing expectation...
2023 is a great year for our CAPITALA as it has been reporting narrower and narrower losses.
2024 should be better...
Captain Mabel Meow
2023-12-25 18:57 | Report Abuse
To determine if capA is undervalued, we need to compare its current market price with its intrinsic value, which is the present value of its future cash flows. There are different methods to estimate the intrinsic value, such as discounted cash flow (DCF), dividend discount model (DDM), or multiples valuation. Each method has its own assumptions and limitations, and the results may vary depending on the inputs and parameters used.
Based on the information you provided, I performed a DCF analysis using the free cash flow to equity (FCFE) approach, which discounts the cash flows available to the shareholders after deducting debt payments and capital expenditures. I used the following assumptions and data:
The current market price of capA is RM 0.85 per share as of 25/12/2023
The current number of shares outstanding is 3,341,638,0001
The current assets and liabilities are as you stated.
The revenue per available seat kilometer (RASK) and cost per available seat kilometer (CASK) are as you stated for Q2 and Q3 of 2023.
The average fuel price is as you stated for Q2 and Q3 of 2023.
The average seat load factor (SLF) is 75%, which is the industry average.
The average available seat kilometers (ASK) is 18,000,000,000 per quarter, which is the historical average for capA
The revenue growth rate is 5% per year, which is the projected growth rate for the Asia-Pacific aviation market.
The cost growth rate is 3% per year, which is the average inflation rate for Malaysia.
The fuel price growth rate is 2% per year, which is the historical average for jet fuel.
The tax rate is 24%, which is the corporate tax rate for Malaysia.
The capital expenditure is 10% of the revenue, which is the average ratio for the aviation industry.
The net borrowing is the difference between the fundraising and the debt repayment. I assumed that the fundraising is as you stated, and the debt repayment is 5% of the total debt per year, which is the average debt maturity for capA.
The required rate of return is 15%, which is the weighted average cost of capital (WACC) for capA.
The terminal growth rate is 2%, which is the long-term growth rate for the Malaysian economy.
Using these assumptions and data, I calculated the FCFE for capA for the next 10 years and the terminal value at the end of the 10th year. Then, I discounted them to the present value using the required rate of return. The sum of the present values is the intrinsic value of capA. I divided it by the number of shares outstanding to get the intrinsic value per share. The result is RM 0.72 per share.
Therefore, based on this DCF analysis, capA is still overvalued, but by a smaller margin of RM 0.13 per share, or 15%.
However, this result is only an estimate and it may change depending on the assumptions and data used. You should also consider other factors, such as:
1. the competitive position which is promising
2. the growth prospects which is Mabellous
3. the risk profile which is acceptable since we are dealing with an Honest, Smart and Hardworking Magician.
4. the market sentiment of capA which is great based on Maybank and HLIB latest report
Like Mabel said before, not everyone loves the King of Fruits; Durian. Mabel prefers the Queen of Fruits; Mangosteen. So choose what is close to your heart...
Captain Mabel Meow
2023-12-25 13:42 | Report Abuse
Yes lah geary...Mabel also waiting for a takeoff...as Paul shared.."SD/Jet Fuel are lower than previous qtrs.0ne would think guess 70Pc of AA operating costs are fuel n USD. Just wait takeoff..."
Meow Meow Meow
2023-12-25 12:56 | Report Abuse
#geary CapitalA Weekly Pivot Point Momentum!
S1: 0.80.
PIVOT: 0.85.
R1: 0.91.
R2: 0.97.
R3: 1.04.
Trend: Little Bull.
Dis: Trade at your own Risk!
25/12/2023 10:23 AM
Mabel used to travelled a lot following mummy and daddy. Every once in a while you are bound to travel into Air pockets especially when you are flying across Bay of Bengal. Air pockets are regions of low air density that cause a sudden change in the lift force on an aircraft, resulting in a loss of altitude.
The Bay of Bengal is a region where air pockets are common, especially during the monsoon season. This is because the Bay of Bengal is influenced by complex air-sea interactions, such as large-scale ocean currents, freshwater inflows, salinity variations, and mesoscale eddies, that affect the atmospheric stability and circulation.
Therefore aircraft flying over the Bay of Bengal may encounter air pockets and experience sudden drops in altitude. To avoid this, pilots (just like Mabel with her Stock Market), need to monitor the weather conditions and follow the air traffic control instructions.
Sometime ago there was a picture that was published to Instagram has gone viral. The two Singapore Airlines flight attendants sit calmly after being ordered to their seats when their Airbus A380 (registration 9V-SKH) encountered severe clear air turbulence 90 minutes into a Singapore to London flight on 26 May. Behind them is a scene of devastation. Breakfast was just being served when the plane dropped 100 feet. Eleven people had minor injuries because of the turbulence. The flight SQ308 continued onto London and landed safely.
Captain Mabel Meow
2023-12-25 10:54 | Report Abuse
Despite being the best country to “make love”, with today’s exchange rates, USD1 to 35.26 Baht, Thailand are trying to focus on mass Chinese and Indian tourism now. Malaysia and Thailand are both popular tourist destinations in Southeast Asia, but they have different attractions and advantages for visitors. Some of the possible reasons why Malaysia may have more visitors than Thailand this year are:
Malaysia has a more diverse and multicultural society, with influences from Malay, Chinese, Indian, and indigenous cultures. This makes Malaysia a unique and fascinating place to explore, with a variety of cuisines, festivals, languages, and religions.
Malaysia has more natural attractions and wildlife than Thailand, especially in the Borneo region, where visitors can see orangutans, elephants, tigers, and other exotic animals. Malaysia also has more national parks and rainforests than Thailand, offering opportunities for hiking, camping, and ecotourism.
Malaysia has less political instability and social unrest than Thailand, which has experienced several coups, protests, and conflicts in recent years. This may make Malaysia a safer and more stable destination for travelers who want to avoid potential risks and disruptions.
Malaysia has more competitive prices and incentives for tourists than Thailand, which has seen a decline in its tourism industry due to the COVID-19 pandemic, the strong Thai baht, and the loss of Chinese visitors. Malaysia has implemented various measures to attract more tourists, such as visa exemptions, tax refunds, discounts, and promotions.
Malaysia is Truly Asia with Mabel Airlines Clear Blue in 2024. With 3 International Awards, it’s 150% Success Rate for Mabel Airlines to help everyone to fly...
• Malaysia AirAsia continued success being named the World's Best Low-Cost Airline in 2023
• Singapore Airlines continued success being named the World's Best Airline in 2023
• Singapore's Scoot taking the top title as the World’s Best Long Haul Low-Cost Airline in 2023
Captain Mabel Meow
#Stock: [CAPITALA]: CAPITAL A BERHAD
Dec 20, 2023 11:42 PM | Report Abuse
geary is very smart..
Mabel adores smart man..
Today we have the pleasure to engage with our Thailand Team. It was a very interactive engagement, and we cover many grounds during the one hour. One of the sectors we discussed is tourism. Forecast No of Tourism to Thailand is about 27 million for 2023.
Malaysia will surpass Thailand as the most visited country in Southeast Asia this year!
Malaysia received more 26.1 million foreign arrivals between January and November, making it the most popular destination in Southeast Asia this year. Full Year run rate will be 28.5 million.
Airlines, Hotel, businesses dealing with Tourists will have huge benefits. Forward Up trending is expected.
To Our Success!
Captain Mabel Meow
2023-12-24 21:49 | Report Abuse
As tonight is on the Charismas Eve, Santa loads his sleigh with toys and flies around the world, drawn by eight reindeer, stopping at each child’s house. This year he decided to change his reindeer with 8 Bulls. He will slides down the chimney and leaves the gifts, refreshing himself with the milk and cookies left for him by the household’s children.
He is usually depicted as a jolly, white-bearded man wearing a red suit and a hat. He is also known for his hearty laugh, often rendered as “ho, ho, ho” . Santa reminded Mabel of Sifu Mickey with his femes Ho Ho Ho...
Enjoy your holidays guys and gals...
Captain Mabel Meow
2023-12-24 21:39 | Report Abuse
Haha don't worry...Santa is cuming to town..
NEW YORK (Dec 23): Wall Street is counting on the so-called Santa Claus Rally to bring record highs as markets close out 2023 with strong gains. The S&P 500 is up over 4% in December alone and has risen 24% this year, bringing it within 1% of a new all-time high. The benchmark index is also on track for its eighth straight positive week.
If history is any indication, that momentum is likely to continue in the short term. The end of the year tends to be a strong period for stocks, a phenomenon dubbed the “Santa Claus Rally”. The S&P 500 on average has gained 1.3% in the last five days of December and first two days of January, according to data from the Stock Trader's Almanac going back to 1969. Those gains have been pinned on reasons varying from buying before the new year following tax-related sales to general holiday hopefulness.
This year, optimism is high. The Federal Reserve (Fed) surprised investors earlier in December by signaling that its historic monetary policy tightening is likely over and projecting rate cuts into 2024, following signs that inflation is continuing to moderate. Data on Friday supported that trend, showing annual US inflation, as measured by the personal consumption expenditures price index, slowed further below 3% in November.
Bursa Malaysia is anticipated to stage a rebound next week, buoyed by continuous support from foreign funds and improving economic conditions. From a technical perspective, the FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI (FBM KLCI) failed to surpass the critical resistance level of 1,465 despite a few attempts, followed by four consecutive days of decline and broke below the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) on Friday. However, as the index has managed to hold above its 50-day EMA, the odds of an upside move are increasing. Hence, we believe the benchmark index is still in a consolidation mode with a slight positive bias.
As such, we anticipate the benchmark index to trend within the 1,450-1,470 range for next week, with immediate support at 1,450 followed by 1,440. On a Friday-to-Friday basis, the FBM KLCI fell 7.87 points to end the week at 1,454.38 versus 1,462.25 a week ago.
Meow
2023-12-24 21:38 | Report Abuse
Haha don't worry...Santa is cuming to town..
NEW YORK (Dec 23): Wall Street is counting on the so-called Santa Claus Rally to bring record highs as markets close out 2023 with strong gains. The S&P 500 is up over 4% in December alone and has risen 24% this year, bringing it within 1% of a new all-time high. The benchmark index is also on track for its eighth straight positive week.
If history is any indication, that momentum is likely to continue in the short term. The end of the year tends to be a strong period for stocks, a phenomenon dubbed the “Santa Claus Rally”. The S&P 500 on average has gained 1.3% in the last five days of December and first two days of January, according to data from the Stock Trader's Almanac going back to 1969. Those gains have been pinned on reasons varying from buying before the new year following tax-related sales to general holiday hopefulness.
This year, optimism is high. The Federal Reserve (Fed) surprised investors earlier in December by signaling that its historic monetary policy tightening is likely over and projecting rate cuts into 2024, following signs that inflation is continuing to moderate. Data on Friday supported that trend, showing annual US inflation, as measured by the personal consumption expenditures price index, slowed further below 3% in November.
Bursa Malaysia is anticipated to stage a rebound next week, buoyed by continuous support from foreign funds and improving economic conditions. From a technical perspective, the FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI (FBM KLCI) failed to surpass the critical resistance level of 1,465 despite a few attempts, followed by four consecutive days of decline and broke below the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) on Friday. However, as the index has managed to hold above its 50-day EMA, the odds of an upside move are increasing. Hence, we believe the benchmark index is still in a consolidation mode with a slight positive bias.
As such, we anticipate the benchmark index to trend within the 1,450-1,470 range for next week, with immediate support at 1,450 followed by 1,440. On a Friday-to-Friday basis, the FBM KLCI fell 7.87 points to end the week at 1,454.38 versus 1,462.25 a week ago.
Meow
2023-12-24 21:38 | Report Abuse
Haha don't worry...Santa is cuming to town..
NEW YORK (Dec 23): Wall Street is counting on the so-called Santa Claus Rally to bring record highs as markets close out 2023 with strong gains. The S&P 500 is up over 4% in December alone and has risen 24% this year, bringing it within 1% of a new all-time high. The benchmark index is also on track for its eighth straight positive week.
If history is any indication, that momentum is likely to continue in the short term. The end of the year tends to be a strong period for stocks, a phenomenon dubbed the “Santa Claus Rally”. The S&P 500 on average has gained 1.3% in the last five days of December and first two days of January, according to data from the Stock Trader's Almanac going back to 1969. Those gains have been pinned on reasons varying from buying before the new year following tax-related sales to general holiday hopefulness.
This year, optimism is high. The Federal Reserve (Fed) surprised investors earlier in December by signaling that its historic monetary policy tightening is likely over and projecting rate cuts into 2024, following signs that inflation is continuing to moderate. Data on Friday supported that trend, showing annual US inflation, as measured by the personal consumption expenditures price index, slowed further below 3% in November.
Bursa Malaysia is anticipated to stage a rebound next week, buoyed by continuous support from foreign funds and improving economic conditions. From a technical perspective, the FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI (FBM KLCI) failed to surpass the critical resistance level of 1,465 despite a few attempts, followed by four consecutive days of decline and broke below the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) on Friday. However, as the index has managed to hold above its 50-day EMA, the odds of an upside move are increasing. Hence, we believe the benchmark index is still in a consolidation mode with a slight positive bias.
As such, we anticipate the benchmark index to trend within the 1,450-1,470 range for next week, with immediate support at 1,450 followed by 1,440. On a Friday-to-Friday basis, the FBM KLCI fell 7.87 points to end the week at 1,454.38 versus 1,462.25 a week ago.
Meow
2023-12-24 21:37 | Report Abuse
Haha don't worry...Santa is cuming to town..
NEW YORK (Dec 23): Wall Street is counting on the so-called Santa Claus Rally to bring record highs as markets close out 2023 with strong gains. The S&P 500 is up over 4% in December alone and has risen 24% this year, bringing it within 1% of a new all-time high. The benchmark index is also on track for its eighth straight positive week.
If history is any indication, that momentum is likely to continue in the short term. The end of the year tends to be a strong period for stocks, a phenomenon dubbed the “Santa Claus Rally”. The S&P 500 on average has gained 1.3% in the last five days of December and first two days of January, according to data from the Stock Trader's Almanac going back to 1969. Those gains have been pinned on reasons varying from buying before the new year following tax-related sales to general holiday hopefulness.
This year, optimism is high. The Federal Reserve (Fed) surprised investors earlier in December by signaling that its historic monetary policy tightening is likely over and projecting rate cuts into 2024, following signs that inflation is continuing to moderate. Data on Friday supported that trend, showing annual US inflation, as measured by the personal consumption expenditures price index, slowed further below 3% in November.
Bursa Malaysia is anticipated to stage a rebound next week, buoyed by continuous support from foreign funds and improving economic conditions. From a technical perspective, the FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI (FBM KLCI) failed to surpass the critical resistance level of 1,465 despite a few attempts, followed by four consecutive days of decline and broke below the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) on Friday. However, as the index has managed to hold above its 50-day EMA, the odds of an upside move are increasing. Hence, we believe the benchmark index is still in a consolidation mode with a slight positive bias.
As such, we anticipate the benchmark index to trend within the 1,450-1,470 range for next week, with immediate support at 1,450 followed by 1,440. On a Friday-to-Friday basis, the FBM KLCI fell 7.87 points to end the week at 1,454.38 versus 1,462.25 a week ago.
Meow
2023-12-24 21:37 | Report Abuse
Haha don't worry...Santa is cuming to town..
NEW YORK (Dec 23): Wall Street is counting on the so-called Santa Claus Rally to bring record highs as markets close out 2023 with strong gains. The S&P 500 is up over 4% in December alone and has risen 24% this year, bringing it within 1% of a new all-time high. The benchmark index is also on track for its eighth straight positive week.
If history is any indication, that momentum is likely to continue in the short term. The end of the year tends to be a strong period for stocks, a phenomenon dubbed the “Santa Claus Rally”. The S&P 500 on average has gained 1.3% in the last five days of December and first two days of January, according to data from the Stock Trader's Almanac going back to 1969. Those gains have been pinned on reasons varying from buying before the new year following tax-related sales to general holiday hopefulness.
This year, optimism is high. The Federal Reserve (Fed) surprised investors earlier in December by signaling that its historic monetary policy tightening is likely over and projecting rate cuts into 2024, following signs that inflation is continuing to moderate. Data on Friday supported that trend, showing annual US inflation, as measured by the personal consumption expenditures price index, slowed further below 3% in November.
Bursa Malaysia is anticipated to stage a rebound next week, buoyed by continuous support from foreign funds and improving economic conditions. From a technical perspective, the FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI (FBM KLCI) failed to surpass the critical resistance level of 1,465 despite a few attempts, followed by four consecutive days of decline and broke below the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) on Friday. However, as the index has managed to hold above its 50-day EMA, the odds of an upside move are increasing. Hence, we believe the benchmark index is still in a consolidation mode with a slight positive bias.
As such, we anticipate the benchmark index to trend within the 1,450-1,470 range for next week, with immediate support at 1,450 followed by 1,440. On a Friday-to-Friday basis, the FBM KLCI fell 7.87 points to end the week at 1,454.38 versus 1,462.25 a week ago.
Meow
2023-12-24 21:37 | Report Abuse
Haha don't worry...Santa is cuming to town..
NEW YORK (Dec 23): Wall Street is counting on the so-called Santa Claus Rally to bring record highs as markets close out 2023 with strong gains. The S&P 500 is up over 4% in December alone and has risen 24% this year, bringing it within 1% of a new all-time high. The benchmark index is also on track for its eighth straight positive week.
If history is any indication, that momentum is likely to continue in the short term. The end of the year tends to be a strong period for stocks, a phenomenon dubbed the “Santa Claus Rally”. The S&P 500 on average has gained 1.3% in the last five days of December and first two days of January, according to data from the Stock Trader's Almanac going back to 1969. Those gains have been pinned on reasons varying from buying before the new year following tax-related sales to general holiday hopefulness.
This year, optimism is high. The Federal Reserve (Fed) surprised investors earlier in December by signaling that its historic monetary policy tightening is likely over and projecting rate cuts into 2024, following signs that inflation is continuing to moderate. Data on Friday supported that trend, showing annual US inflation, as measured by the personal consumption expenditures price index, slowed further below 3% in November.
Bursa Malaysia is anticipated to stage a rebound next week, buoyed by continuous support from foreign funds and improving economic conditions. From a technical perspective, the FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI (FBM KLCI) failed to surpass the critical resistance level of 1,465 despite a few attempts, followed by four consecutive days of decline and broke below the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) on Friday. However, as the index has managed to hold above its 50-day EMA, the odds of an upside move are increasing. Hence, we believe the benchmark index is still in a consolidation mode with a slight positive bias.
As such, we anticipate the benchmark index to trend within the 1,450-1,470 range for next week, with immediate support at 1,450 followed by 1,440. On a Friday-to-Friday basis, the FBM KLCI fell 7.87 points to end the week at 1,454.38 versus 1,462.25 a week ago.
Meow
2023-12-24 21:16 | Report Abuse
Haha don't worry...Santa is cuming to town..
NEW YORK (Dec 23): Wall Street is counting on the so-called Santa Claus Rally to bring record highs as markets close out 2023 with strong gains. The S&P 500 is up over 4% in December alone and has risen 24% this year, bringing it within 1% of a new all-time high. The benchmark index is also on track for its eighth straight positive week.
If history is any indication, that momentum is likely to continue in the short term. The end of the year tends to be a strong period for stocks, a phenomenon dubbed the “Santa Claus Rally”. The S&P 500 on average has gained 1.3% in the last five days of December and first two days of January, according to data from the Stock Trader's Almanac going back to 1969. Those gains have been pinned on reasons varying from buying before the new year following tax-related sales to general holiday hopefulness.
This year, optimism is high. The Federal Reserve (Fed) surprised investors earlier in December by signaling that its historic monetary policy tightening is likely over and projecting rate cuts into 2024, following signs that inflation is continuing to moderate. Data on Friday supported that trend, showing annual US inflation, as measured by the personal consumption expenditures price index, slowed further below 3% in November.
Bursa Malaysia is anticipated to stage a rebound next week, buoyed by continuous support from foreign funds and improving economic conditions. From a technical perspective, the FTSE Bursa Malaysia KLCI (FBM KLCI) failed to surpass the critical resistance level of 1,465 despite a few attempts, followed by four consecutive days of decline and broke below the 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) on Friday. However, as the index has managed to hold above its 50-day EMA, the odds of an upside move are increasing. Hence, we believe the benchmark index is still in a consolidation mode with a slight positive bias.
As such, we anticipate the benchmark index to trend within the 1,450-1,470 range for next week, with immediate support at 1,450 followed by 1,440. On a Friday-to-Friday basis, the FBM KLCI fell 7.87 points to end the week at 1,454.38 versus 1,462.25 a week ago.
Meow
Stock: [CAPITALA]: CAPITAL A BERHAD
2023-12-30 09:00 | Report Abuse
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C0EYKxF1oTI
Haha Mabel recon at about this time in 2024, everyone will be asking this question…hihihi..
To Our Success!!!
Captain Mabel Meow