probability

Probability | Joined since 2014-03-18

Investing Experience Not Disclosed
Risk Profile Moderate

Probability is a measure of 'likeliness' that an event will occur - there are no 100% certainty.

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2022-10-06 15:34 | Report Abuse

common..you can do better...

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2022-10-06 15:33 | Report Abuse

calling all the naysayers...make it drop la..

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2022-10-06 15:32 | Report Abuse

he he..its not losing it..but confidence..

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2022-10-06 15:18 | Report Abuse

get lost scumbag...HY forum do not need u here...

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2022-10-06 15:17 | Report Abuse

let it drop la..as long scumbag like you get wiped out...

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2022-10-06 15:16 | Report Abuse

low IQ scumbag..posting messages without a clue...

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2022-10-06 15:15 | Report Abuse

you think you can make the price drop ah? LOL...

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2022-10-06 15:11 | Report Abuse

no backbone..cocks**ker

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2022-10-06 15:03 | Report Abuse

yes..exactly...i hope everyone comprehend..

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2022-10-06 14:14 | Report Abuse

its so confused..spending all its remaining life and energy here without any purpose..

what a damaged soul..

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2022-10-06 11:59 | Report Abuse

spend you time elsewhere there is value la...none of your low IQ comments have any effects on the share price..

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2022-10-06 11:56 | Report Abuse

another low IQ in the forum that does not know any other word than 'çussing'....

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2022-10-06 11:53 | Report Abuse

lesson learnt: poking directly at low IQ scumbag,,,will trigger more garbage from its rotting brain...LOL!

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2022-10-06 11:52 | Report Abuse

unfortunately there is no way you can change low IQ scumbag behaviour unless the scumbag has a brain transplant

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2022-10-06 11:46 | Report Abuse

actually one more reason, it did not go up after the Q2 results is because big players who bought before results itself must be confused with its OCI statement that had cause the NTA to decline by RM 4 (net decline considering EPS is RM 2)

we can only hope Q3 results will give them a clearer picture

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2022-10-06 11:43 | Report Abuse

exactly this is the reason it did not go up as expected earlier by myself ma...even though the earnings is better than i had predicted

this is completely beyond my control ma

surely the low IQ scumbag wont be able to understand..

Posted by UlarSawa > Oct 6, 2022 11:41 AM | Report Abuse

One thing Ular dunno what to say lah. No doubt everyone promote the ctrs want it up. But sometime just not up to them to decide it can up or not lah. Sentiment play a part also lah. Now the whole bursa pun the the bottom side leh. Mood are not there to go up also leh. Haiyoh. Correct?

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2022-10-06 11:40 | Report Abuse

unlike the low IQ scumbag..terencat akal here

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2022-10-06 11:39 | Report Abuse

you are right sifu...now this is what i call high IQ ular

Posted by UlarSawa > Oct 6, 2022 11:38 AM | Report Abuse

No lah probability is not high odd. It is the odd not say it must be high or low odd leh. Unless you put High probability then it mean high odd lah. Haiyoh. Correct?

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2022-10-06 11:37 | Report Abuse

Low IQ scumbag...spend your time elswhere la..nobody values your low iq opinion...you better realize it and spend time elsewhere for your own good...

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2022-10-06 11:35 | Report Abuse

Low IQ scumbag...spent your time elswhere la..nobody reads your garbage postings here...smells like tahi...

Posted by BobAxelrod > Oct 6, 2022 11:33 AM | Report Abuse

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2022-10-06 11:30 | Report Abuse

thats why the name 'probability'- meaning high odds ma...thats all we humans can do...haiyo, correct?

Posted by UlarSawa > Oct 6, 2022 11:25 AM | Report Abuse

Yes you can make assumptions to derive the eps. But still not 100% will be correct also leh. Haiyoh. Correct?

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2022-10-06 11:27 | Report Abuse

bring unrelate post here for what? you think a person has to be perfect and correct all the time to have the rights to voice his thoughts...

low IQ scumbag flooding the forum

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2022-10-06 11:18 | Report Abuse

if you dont know how they derive these conservatively...ask la....

just because, you dont get it...dont act smart and blame others pluck from air la...

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2022-10-06 00:22 | Report Abuse

tomorrow Diesel crack spread will break pass 50 USD/brl

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2022-10-06 00:22 | Report Abuse

Diesel at 46% yield, at say crack spread of USD 43.6/brl

www.tradingview.com/symbols/NYMEX-GZ1!/

Gross margin from Diesel alone

= (10.7 million barrels/qtr x 46% yield) x (43.6 USD/brl) x (MYR 4.64/USD)
= 995 million MYR ....


PBT = 915 million
PAT = 695 million
EPS = 2.32

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2022-10-05 23:57 | Report Abuse

god gave you all brains to think and make use of opportunity...use it please, dont waste with such dumb discussions

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2022-10-05 23:53 | Report Abuse

guys, pls stop posting rubbish that are not related to stocks..talking about person and their intentions does not add any value..its not going to enable any of you to make money by such posts..

on Ular, at least he talks on with some logic though he is often pessimistic

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2022-10-02 23:01 | Report Abuse

Diesel at 46% yield, at today's crack USD 43.6/brl

www.tradingview.com/symbols/NYMEX-GZ1!/

Gross margin from Diesel alone

= (10.7 million barrels/qtr x 46% yield) x (43.6 USD/brl) x (MYR 4.64/USD)
= 995 million MYR ....


PBT = 915 million
PAT = 695 million
EPS = 2.32

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2022-10-02 22:57 | Report Abuse

30/09/2022
...........
Mogas92 crack spread: USD 1.652

change in mogas92 spread between Q2 & Q1: 16.733
Change in net asset in OCI between Q2 & Q1:
[(1.751-0.261)-(0.339-0.045)] = 1.196 billion

change in mogas92 spread between Q3 & Q2: - 29.926
Thus, change in net asset between Q3 & Q2:

[(1.751-0.261) - (0.339-0.045)]*(29.926/16.733)
= 1.196*(29.926/16.733)
= 2.14 billion change (equivalent to RM 7)

OCI net asset in Q3 will be: (1.49 Billion) + 2.14 Billion
= 650 million

NTA will rise by RM 7 as a minimum in Q3
.........................................

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2022-10-02 21:21 | Report Abuse

Malaysia Diesel output (MT):

Apr: 728,887
May: 886,360
June: 1,189,158

July: 1,237,929

(HY had maximized Diesel output as soon Gasoline crack dipped)