Probability is a measure of 'likeliness' that an event will occur - there are no 100% certainty.
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2024-01-30 11:05 | Report Abuse
considering the power demand for DC in singapore, they will go all out to commissioned it as early as possible
Posted by dragon328 > Jan 29, 2024 8:32 PM | Report Abuse
The current effective capacity (i.e. the efficient gas-fired power plants) of PowerSeraya is about 2,000MW. Hence this new 600MW hydrogen-ready CCGT unit will increase effective capacity of PowerSeraya by 30%.
Rough calculations show that this new 600MW unit alone may add gross profit of at least SGD200 million a year to PowerSeraya once operational from end 2027. It is initially ready for 30% mix with hydrogen, and may be expanded to 100% hydrogen in the future when green hydrogen cost becomes cheaper than natural gas cost. Then gross profit might double or triple up when crude oil and LNG prices are high.
2024-01-29 11:35 | Report Abuse
thanks guys..@wendy76, cgtan2020, dragon328
2024-01-28 09:58 | Report Abuse
nice to see sslee determination despite many mistakes along the way, has finally given solid return
really a good example of investor who is flexible and learn the market very fast..on top of that he is super hardworking
proud a person with same profession as i am can make it..Congrats sslee! Welldone!
didnt know chow yun fat has same determination level too! ;)
https://www.thestar.com.my/lifestyle/entertainment/2024/01/22/chow-yun-fat-68-not-satisfied-with-completing-half-marathon-in-2hr-26min
Posted by Sslee > Jan 28, 2024 7:56 AM | Report Abuse
I already sold about 60%. Will keep the cash in trading account. Come Feb I will study the latest companies financial result and see any other stocks worth buying.
Nowadays for investment I only buy stocks that give dividend. By the way my trading stock Armada is doing well.
I start holding Insas since 2018 and make it to top 30 shareholders list in 2021 and 2022 but drop out of the list in 2023. I sold some as I found some other more attractive stocks.
Safety and strength in diversification.
2024-01-27 14:59 | Report Abuse
To all the young investors,
Insas one thing for sure, its value is way way higher than what market is pricing now....
But, all the available mechanism which can force the price to move to approach fair valuation as hinted by all sifus like KC Chong, OTB, TheEdge TKO, Sslee, Stockraider, Leno all....i guess will never come to fruition unless some human has the will to do so...
But, there is another natural mechanism...that is time
As Dato Thong Kok Khee ages..there is a high chance he has to take Insas private eventually before his passing
so the young investors has a very strong chance to gain from investment in Insas
If at all Thong handover the shares to his children before privatisation, these young investors can also do the same to their kids before their passing
2024-01-26 21:59 | Report Abuse
amazing news just saw! Another interesting week coming...
Posted by pang72 > Jan 26, 2024 8:01 PM | Report Abuse
UBS GROUP AG (a substantial shareholder) acquired 5,865,600 shares on 22-Jan-2024.
UBS adds $14.2 mils YTL shares AGAIN
2024-01-26 10:44 | Report Abuse
Leno..appreciate if you could calm down a bit. Your messages appears like from a clown and the cat looks like shocked & scary...most likely will chase away potential investors
TQ
Sslee brings great vibes to Insas...
2024-01-25 19:30 | Report Abuse
@moncmondo87, kindly share the pdf on my messenger too, thanks
2024-01-24 10:39 | Report Abuse
may be HLIB wouldnt like it to be published here...thats why their agents had deleted the sharing by dragon328 earlier
suggest to ping myself privately if needed...i wouldnt want dragon328 to get banned...its fine if i get banned instead
2024-01-23 10:54 | Report Abuse
with current optimism in Bursa, Insas shall hit RM 2 anytime soon
It appears Insas management no longer has intention to keep the price depressed
2024-01-22 11:58 | Report Abuse
@TheContrarian, i see..not really been reading the TheEdge on Tong's column..
2024-01-22 11:51 | Report Abuse
Looks like really something seriously cooking at Insas...
2024-01-21 10:01 | Report Abuse
just realized this.. thanks Goldberg
Posted by Goldberg > Jan 20, 2024 10:10 AM | Report Abuse
19-Jan-2024 Insider UBS GROUP AG (a substantial shareholder) acquired 6,596,200 shares on 16-Jan-2024.
2024-01-12 17:00 | Report Abuse
have a nice weekend all..look forward for another exciting week ahead
2024-01-08 20:47 | Report Abuse
this is a multibillion large market cap stock...
movement like this akin to the 2011 Japan's magnitude 8.9 earthquake where the total energy release is equivalent to about 6700 gigatons of TNT (6.7 million megatons)...generating a tsunami that went hundreds of miles
the price will go far..perhaps slowly after this... but surely
2024-01-08 16:01 | Report Abuse
somehow i feel the foreign buying interest is related to NVIDIA
its simply too strong
2024-01-07 14:23 | Report Abuse
reposting an important note from dragon328 to remind myself, as its easy to loose track with constant nonsense flooding the forum at times
Posted by dragon328 > Jan 5, 2024 12:28 PM | Report Abuse
The share price movement is not dictated by a few words that you said or I say, the volume of YTL Power shares traded over these few days are so high that it can only be foreign funds aggressively buying.
Foreign funds can access to more up-to-date information and more professional reports by Singapore analysts on the Singapore electricity market from research reports on listed companies there like Keppel and Sembcorp.
It is no mistake that both Keppel and Sembcorp are trading near 5 year high, at PER of 11x to 12x based on past year earnings. Investors in Keppel and Sembcorp must be happy with the earnings projection given by the respective management when they pay 11x or 12x PER for the stocks. Foreign funds must be finding YTL Power as a cheaper alternative to power plays in Singapore, as currently PowerSeraya contributes over 80% of earnings of YTLP. Even based on sole contribution from PowerSeraya alone, YTLP is trading a forward PER of less than 8.0x compared to 11x for Sembcorp. And they are getting all other assets (Wessex, Jordan, Jawa Power, data centres, WTE project, digital bank etc) of YTL Power for free.
You are right that stock market is forward looking. How far ahead would you look ahead? 12 months? 2 years? If PowerSeraya/YTLP management tells you that the strong earnings will continue into 2026, meaning FY2024 and FY2025 and possibly FY2026 earnings will be as strong from Singapore. How far ahead more will you want to look ahead?
2024-01-05 17:11 | Report Abuse
thanks dragon328 :), wonderful first week of dragon year indeed...:)
2024-01-05 16:03 | Report Abuse
yeah..it would be good to just strongly break out from 3.20 today
next week free runaway...for take off
Posted by Uniholder > Jan 5, 2024 3:56 PM | Report Abuse
Oh noooo, not today 3.28 plssss, 🤣
2024-01-05 14:57 | Report Abuse
when it moves to high too fast..a lot of long term investors also has a high chance to let go....as they afraid to lose the money they suddenly made..
that is the reason the buyer is aggressive...as they want to whack before insider information comes to the general public..and of course lastly at the end...to our anal-ist before they raise the TP
Posted by Uniholder > Jan 5, 2024 2:48 PM | Report Abuse
This movement has attract a lot of people to get in the train….. 🎉
2024-01-05 14:43 | Report Abuse
ok, 3.20 cukuplah...really dragon year 2024!
2024-01-05 14:38 | Report Abuse
@uniholder....328 today itself is it?
2024-01-05 12:16 | Report Abuse
Malaysian analyst may look down on YTL, but not Jensen Huang
2024-01-05 11:17 | Report Abuse
possible ..coz i predict YTL and YTLP % rise today has to match at closing
Posted by Uniholder > Jan 5, 2024 11:15 AM | Report Abuse
Maybe…. just maybe… maybe can break 3.20 base on current movement n rally…. 😝🎈🎉
2024-01-05 11:11 | Report Abuse
problem with foreign fund buying shares is...the TA gets difficult to predict.....its better to hold on strongly ( i regret so much for selling some call warrants too early)
they will keep buying till they are satisfied i think
2024-01-05 11:07 | Report Abuse
omg...just keep YTLP as fixed deposit for another 2 month and see...:)
Posted by PresidentLOL > Jan 5, 2024 11:04 AM | Report Abuse
relax machaaaa. New year bull run ma, remember 2022 plantation bull run?? it last for a month. plus YTL group is in index and will bring KLSE index breakout to the moon. Bull for ytlp will last for a month til CNY and many more months. so RM5.00 before next QR :)))) boss cakap rm5.00 ya
2024-01-05 09:55 | Report Abuse
2024-01-05 09:46 | Report Abuse
instincts are often correct...
Posted by Uniholder > Jan 5, 2024 9:43 AM | Report Abuse
In my opinion we are not far away from 3.28 @dragon328
2024-01-04 16:56 | Report Abuse
the buying is too strong..they are long sighted
2024-01-04 11:17 | Report Abuse
amazing to see OTB TP for 2023 achieved (just 3 trading days slip to 2024)...
great to have gems like OTB and dragon328 in i3
2024-01-04 10:57 | Report Abuse
...RM 3 soon
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=efVf8pyW7Hs
2024-01-04 08:25 | Report Abuse
@xiaochen
i didnt get what you mean by dragging down the EPS
if you have a significant capex / investment for future return, wouldnt the depreciation only take place when the investment is completed and it started to commercially produce revenue?
In such a case, the EPS would not be affected significantly
2024-01-03 13:21 | Report Abuse
probably its because the value of NVIDIA collaboration with YTLP is difficult for many analyst to quantify
i see it as a double whammy (power demand in Singapore and lucrative DC demand in Johor)
https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2023/12/12/boom-time-for-malaysian-ai
SPI Asset Management managing partner Stephen Innes said the surge in share prices of AI-linked companies is just the beginning and investors have not fully digested the strong upside prospects of this latest development in the tech space.
“We are only seeing the tip of the iceberg on a decade-long transition to AI.
https://wccftech.com/nvidias-h100-gpus-powered-ai-powerhouses-data-centers-consume-electricity-equivalent-to-entire-nations/
NVIDIA's H100 AI GPUs will reportedly reach a deployed capacity of a whopping 3.5 Million units by next year, consuming enough electricity to power entire countries.
2023-12-31 12:44 | Report Abuse
we shall choose long term value stocks with goreng2 potential..he he
2023-12-31 12:41 | Report Abuse
last few years i think KCChong losing money i think with his China stocks...not been tracking him..
2023-12-31 12:38 | Report Abuse
if i am to name two long term investors who consistently made money ..its intelligent investor and TanKW...these guys are definition of long term investors with great insight..very few can make returns like them
2023-12-31 12:28 | Report Abuse
any strategy is no harm one...as long as can make money..i thought sifu charlest might have long term insights too...guess no
2023-12-31 12:23 | Report Abuse
oh..despite me trying my best not to poke..he got pricked already..lol!
2023-12-31 12:08 | Report Abuse
i want to know what is Charlest pick for 2024...guess it changes very fast that you cannot choose any for long term..am i right?
2023-12-30 13:17 | Report Abuse
what is interesting..none of these old faces disappear from i3 to retire and be happy with the money they made even after 10 years...guess money is never enough or perhaps the fun of winning is the main aim than the money
2023-12-30 13:14 | Report Abuse
now i become a student only..no more calculations..let others calculate..lol!
2023-12-30 13:12 | Report Abuse
i wonder what sifu charlest and OTB made from 2013 till now..what is the % gain like
they are the true Bursa warriors..along with few others i know like Pang72, hng33, Intelligent Investor, gohkimhock ...
2023-12-24 20:02 | Report Abuse
Explains why Nvidia & YTL investing DC in Johor
https://w.media/johor-batam-singapore-plus-dci-report-2022-data-centre-colocation-hyperscale-cloud-interconnection/
The overflow scenario has emerged in Southeast Asia as the Singapore data centre market enters a new phase in its evolution. A data centre build pause, put in place by the Singaporean government, effectively put a halt to the development of new supply. And while the moratorium was recently lifted, new data centre expansions will be subject to close scrutiny and probably be limited to a certain subset of operators and potentially open the door to more self-builds from hyperscalers.
Given where things are going in Singapore, the logical question is what next given that demand is not slowing down. More experimental scenarios such as underground or floating data centres have been explored, but the feasibility is questionable and the ability to serve aggressive levels of demand is just not there. Enter the overflow market. And in the context of Singapore, two nearshore locations have emerged – Johor in Malaysia and Batam in Indonesia – to try and accommodate the demand that Singapore will be less and less equipped to serve over the long-term.
Johor and Batam are situated in different jurisdictions and the underlying connectivity takes different routes. In the case of Johor, terrestrial connectivity is available, but for Indonesia, it is via subsea cables. But both locations are in close proximity and this eliminates performance degradation for a large cross-section of the workloads that exist today. Serving Singapore through Johor and Batam is entirely feasible and both operators and capital are looking very closely at the opportunity and making bets.
2023-12-24 14:20 | Report Abuse
Looks like Nvidia has to go full swing on date center expansion in Malaysia considering the constraints in Singapore
and look at the growth in power consumption from data center
https://www.akcp.com/blog/singapore-lifting-the-ban-for-new-data-centers-whats-the-catch/
The Terms For New Data Centers
Limiting Capacity
Singapore’s government has opened up, lifting the ban for new data centers, but with constraints, including limiting the power capacity for new facilities to roughly 5 megawatts. The moratorium was a good thing to slow down the rate of expansion and reflect on the issues about sustainability and the challenges faced by the electrical grid network.
The capacity ceiling may be sufficient for retail operators, but it will be a hindrance for facilities catering to hyperscalers like Amazon, Microsoft, and Apple, which typically demand 8-24 megawatts of electricity.
MTI said it is reaching out to industry players for feedback and further input on the amended policy, which has yet to publish comprehensive instructions. He explained that the industry’s work in 2019 was critical in helping the government devise a system that will allow the sector to grow in a sustainable manner while also ensuring that Singapore meets its climate change mitigation targets in the coming years.
As of last year, there were 70 data centers in Southeast Asia’s wealthiest country, with a total power capacity of 1,000 megawatts.
According to government data, these server hosting facilities were responsible for roughly 7% of the country’s overall power usage in 2020, up from 5.3% a year earlier.
2023-12-24 13:56 | Report Abuse
In singapore, 7% of total power consumption goes to Data Centers....i think just a rise by another 2% (from Nvidia's growth) will make significant rise in YTL Powerseraya margin for 2024 & 2025
2023-12-24 13:43 | Report Abuse
The below means, the power demand will exponentially rise in Singapore due to Data Centers there which is generating 15% of Nvidia's revenue presently
YTL Powerseraya will benefit by the forecasted growth in Nvidia in 2024 too
Its a double whammy for YTL Power
https://www.forbes.com/sites/forbestechcouncil/2023/10/23/how-data-centers-are-evolving-to-meet-ai-demand/?sh=7ac0b81277ac
This means we must develop and deploy solutions capable of delivering ever-increasing power over time while simultaneously employing more efficient methods to make it happen.
As supercomputers continue to shrink and become more power-dense, our industry is constantly thinking about how we keep them cool, while concurrently tapping alternative power sources to support the increased energy demand.
Stock: [YTLPOWR]: YTL POWER INTERNATIONAL BHD
2024-01-30 16:07 | Report Abuse
by 2027, SGD to MYR will be more than 4.0...
Malaysian currency has no hope (there is rumour Najib may have pengampunan)
investing in YTLP (with the bulk of revenue from powerseraya) is like investing in SG
https://www.xe.com/currencyconverter/convert/?Amount=1&From=SGD&To=MYR