Wah very risk taker, buy so much warrant, if bad news really can not sleep, warrant can up 100% in one week but drop back 100% in one day!!

When the announcement will out? End of today trading after 5pm?

At fist want to implement SBB Nov 2015. Intention buy back from Wellington & EPF.

Then SBB only buy back very little 100k share till today as market up due to good 4Qtr result, then price up from 1.40 to 1.83.

Then everybody waiting for harvest of 1st Qtr 2016 good result at end of May 2016, suddenly want to raise fund.

What is the purpose for USD200 mil?

I am really curious why they need so much money...sure affect the confident of investor. Want to tell us to invest more in Japan & India? I am really lose confident to their associate, Tony have enough resource to control?

No wonder EPF & Wellington run away.

Cash rich currently want to do right issue, totally don't have common sense but simply give a doubt will only show your ignorance.

AA NORMALLY WILL REPORT GOOD NEWS, BAD NEWS ALL SWEEP & KEEP UNDER CARPET....

HOPE IS A GOOD SIGN FOR MONDAY ANNOUNCEMENT.......

I think 1.65 to 1.70 will have strong support, as long as buy for long term, 1.75 & below also consider attractive price....

There is 4 good news on AA currently:

1. Low jet fuel price average below USD50
2. Tariff is increasing as increase tourist from china to south east asia, after terrorist Europe attack, more will come till end of the year.
3. RM / Ruppiah & other south east asian country currency is more stable now.
4. Market sentiment become stronger & better.

The next Quarter result is estimated to have better result, if is true, the EPS of RM0.40 for year 2016 is acheivable.

Use conservative rate of 6 yrs can get new TP of RM2.40.

Normally, with RM0.40 EPS, if privatise is true, must get at least 10 yrs = RM4.00

Conclusion, not easy to privatise in AA, at least need spend RM11 to 13 billion ringgit.

Becareful on all these Signal, don't try to believe, if sure win, borrow ah long also earn big $$$$$$.....

Then why want to give u for free? think about it....

Many plp run road all due to want to earn fast $$$, fast $$$ means high risk...

Still have many contra kaki look for few cents profit.

It may be lower & higher on daily movement, as long as no big news, price will not far from here...

TP of 1.50 / 1.60 very difficult to get, unless 50% of intention buyer all stop buying....

I will foreseen there will have more & more buyer come in either FF or Local....

1.70 to 1.74 will be good to enter waiting for another harvest time......

Check back the POS & Genting, Foreigner fund almost everyday buying since Feb 2016...

When AA start fly, TP3.00 just a matter of time only...Hope everybody can fly together... Golden opportunity....AA 2nd cheapest airline in the world now.....

Buy now b4 too late....

Look at POS & Genting up so much today, due to foreigner fund buying?

When is the turn for AA? up 30% in one week is possible..... From RM1.80 to RM2.34....

Please hold AA for long term, u will see the uptrend for sure, if currency of RM & Ruppiah not fluctuate too much, plus no other Big bad news, then consider goods new.
All positive news is keep maintain & look good, Q1 2016 result is on good track & high profit is estimated.

Be patient....

Don't care Wellington / EPF disposed.

But i care TF disposed....

Normally captain sell ticket very influencing, TF, please don't sell yr AA holding, as investor will worry.....

What if wellington follow EPF also cease from sustantial, then i want to know how can it be drop.....below RM1.50?

For long term, have opportunity to collect, may be below RM1.60, i suggest to buy bit by bit 1.65/1.63/1.61 and so on.....

Very soon AA will consolidate as EPF still have 137,000,000 share going to sale to market, depend on what price they want to sell.

If they want threw it fast, can drop 3 to 5 days.

COntra kaki becareful.......

You may have higher TP RM2.90 / RM4 / RM5.

But AA major shareholder everyday disposed share, i won't think price can sustain without big shareholder invest.

AA have 2.8 billion share not 100 mil share only....think about it....

Want to push AA to RM 2.90 need many many Cash on Hand...unless EPF & wellington stop sales & buy back... New invester come in, SBB start execute.... then possible...





ignissimia I like Icon8888's analysis the most among all those floating around.

I am more bullish of the potential fuel savings in FY16 though. A Mayban Research dated 29 Feb 2016 has put 30% of AA's 2016 jet fuel requirements as being hedged at USD52 a barrel. I think it is unnecessary to do much fuel hedging in 2016. We can play by the ear as we go along meanwhile but I do not see a runnaway fuel price in the foreseeable future.

The first Qtr is almost done. The average price is be nowhere near USD59, maybe USD42. Today it is around USD48 and may nudge up somemore before sliding back due to overwhelming supplies being unleashed into the market.

My take for AA's 2016 average fuel price is USD50. That is an additional amount of MYR232m in fuel savings or 8.3sen per share. Extending earnings of 48.3sen/share by a PE ratio of 6 gives a share price of MYR2.90.
10/03/2016 15:18

If sudden drop from 1.74 to 1.68, how? cut lost and buy back 1.64??

drop again to 1.60, wah, lost 10k already.....How?

Up trend feel worry, down trend how? no need worry...as long as long term mah, short term if buy contra, also difficult to sleep at night...

1.73 now.....should wait mah. even can go to 1.70

The person who buy 1.75 6 mil share just now, should wait for a while.So many seller, sure can eat 1.71/1.72/1.73/1.74, why so hurry?

1.75 ticket finished, customer pls call for 1.76

can 1.75 all eat?, if break can hit 1.80

What happen if monday AA up to RM1.90, really hope so....We want new AA Boss, keep buy and not for sale....

Current Holding EPF 5.246% +Wellington 5.663%, both are going to be kick out from substantial shareholder >5%.

Where is all these share going, but share price still surge to 1.73!!!

The answer will very soon to be out to market...There may have "big invester" accumulate the share holding...

WHo is the Boss?

Very interesting...

If the super tiny invester like me also think about this question, what happen to those minority shareholder? They will also have the same question like me...

AA can sustain & keep flying?

TF said to media on last week in s'pore, he start feel tired on monitor the day to day operation issue. He may pass to his successor. Who is this guy? a question mark also.

Unforeseen news really surrounding AA, don't under-estimated.

You may said create bad news, price drop so can buy cheaper....privatise??

hahah, leave it to your thinking.

AA without TF, i am the 1st one sell it.

Don't forget AA can shoot to RM3.80 record in year 2011 is because share buying from EPF & Wellington. Share price will serious affected by big shareholder buying or selling, only them able to judge the market price.

Sad to heard Wellington start disposed despite the good 4Q result of AA.
EPF disposed 12 mil share in 1 days, means they are "hunger" to sell & only willing to keep for short term.
TF, also follow selling.

What Happen?

Big Invester no confident in current management?

TP RM2 really a question mark now.

AA really need new invester in these low stock market sentiment.

Local fund manager only able to contribute very minimum as aviation sector consider as "high risk". If they able to buy also not more than 1% of total AA share.

The next quarter result also critical to AA share price, if sustain, Hope EPF & Wellington stop selling. TF must try not to sell anymore lah, if not i also want to sell.

Contra People run & sell now....Good so PLp can buy 1.64/1.63 again

1.65 now...

AA need at least 2 new "big" shareholder, who can own more than 10% of AA share.

Then AA may only revalue to another level. If not, too many short term invester will not reflect their actual value.

Those have not buy 1.63 just now, waiting for 1.50, should buy 1.68 now.

AA will fly up again for another 3 days....

Fasten seat belt & enjoy yr trip

If AA drop further to 1.60, is opportunity to collect ticket.

TF may hv his personal reason to sold his share, but one day he will buy back once have the $$$ to invest,because AA is his "baby", the founder of AA....

EPF is the one buy sale, buy sale, so don't even to bother this kind of short term invester

Wellington, Substantial invester, one month no movement so far, don't see their reaction after good financial result, will they buy back their share from around 6% to normal 13%, if yes, AA will break RM2.

EPF start disposed the AA share again, good short term playing strategy, sell at 1.56 to 1.63 on 02/03/16.
They foreseen AA share will drop back?
With Tony selling, Wellington on hold selling, any other substantial shareholder keep buying AA share ?
I think AA can not break RM2 before next quarter result, they need to provide constant profit not fluctuate profit.
Big shareholder also sell the share even on RM1.50, really cheap offer....feel sad to hear all these.

If to think it in logical way, Look at the summary of Tony shareholding today, most of the share on investment bank are "pledged"

Sold share to repaid loan is very high possibility. All pledged need to paid interest.

If he is pleadged for US loan, when RM up is better option to repaid, if RM start drop back to 4.40, AA share will also be affected, then is not worth to repay loan with disposal of low AA share price.

I think he has no choice unless he still have "cash on hand".

If the above is true, he was very stressed during the past 1 year, not only his personal financial problem, the AA still have a tonnes of problem to face & settle, he may not sleep well all the time.

I think he has learn the lesson from this "BIG" mistake.

Probably, R Moi can teach him how to have a good financial plan. :)

It is 5th days continuous up. After FS announce last friday, AA already up from 1.39 to 1.73, that is 24.46% up. "Bull" trend already exist, it should up further together with so many goods news as follow:

1. China free visa to malaysia just started 2 days ago.
2. Malaysia currency keep strengthen for the past 5 days.
3. Foreigner keep buy malaysia stock.
4. AA have return profit & keep earn BIG BIG $$$$$$.

If the above factor remain unchanged for another 1 week, estimated AA can touch RM2.00.

For those who not buy AA yet, should grad this opportunity. Keep long term will be earn more.....

Still remember AA was dropped straight 10 trading days, AA now has continuous up for 4 days, will it break the 10 days drop record, hope this can happen, then next week will break RM2!!!!!

Haha, Alliance just upgrade their sale target RM1.05(27/11/15) to Buy Call on new TP RM1.90 today.

Those waiting for RM1.00, really need to look for miracle.

Guys, as i said RM1.80 will very soon to reach it. Fasten seat belt & stay steady, enjoy your foods & drinks during the journey.

AA is undervalued seriously, with global stock market rebound, can push even higher to RM1.8 to RM2.0, keep buy & enjoy the profit.

Look like some big shareholder start buy in AA, is it sign of Wellington buy back?
If yes, AA will very soon break RM1.80 as ticket in market not many.

r moi, big profit for yr c24, almost 100% profit if buy at 0.22. I should transfer half from my mother to warrant....

COngra to your patient & sharp analysis all the time.

Very soon u are able to transfer mother share with more qty of share instead of just keeping mother share.

AAX is another bright star among AA group, if they are able to compete in the market with profit earning, RM1.00 target is not far away.

Many plp bet AA will go down, but not happen today, prepare many bullet, some try buy back RM1.00, some try 1.20, try 1.30 and many many, for me i think they still not learn from the investment tactic, ALL look for SHORT TERM $$$$$, mostly are "Contra Kaki" no monet to hold but talk very Big here.

On AA RM0.90 last year, i ask plp to buy "Don't miss the super opportunity" some laugh at me sure have chance buy back RM0.50

On AA rebound to RM1.20, i ask again please buy back, they said scary & wait for RM1.00

On AA today 1.45, They start regret because they sell today....


Sad to heard those who can not hold for long term......


Now i come out with my own TP with 2 cents worth, AA will "slowly" fly back to RM3 this year.

Maybe higher than RM3......

I won't sell even RM3 as i am the long term invester, i believe the low oil price will substain up to year 2020.

The AA latest result still not so impress to make the stock to limit up, still can but cheap price, any price below RM2 i still consider cheap.

Short term are more reliance on whether big shareholder willington still sale their share of 5%, EPF & fund manager continue buy? if Willington wanna sell everything, u can buy RM1.50 at monday.....

Short Term AA estimate range 1.50 to 1.60, long term can even fly to RM4 !!!!!, Buy now and don't waise the opportunity!!!!

I also think that 4 Qtr estiimated IAA lost, Airasia India lost, Airasia Philippines
also lost, only Thailand & malaysia are profit. If IAA can break even consider super good result. IAA make lost since 1Q 2014. I also doubt their sustainability.

EPF ony left 5.47%, 152 mil share, sell 30mil one day, one week sell all already lah. Wellington definitely continue to sell all within this month.

Funny EPF, sell & buy at almost same price. If i were them sell them sell all lah.

EPF is going to exclude from substantial shareholder listing (Below 5%) within this months. Currently still hold about 5.4%. It is very obviously they want to exit AA, maybe to invest in MAS when MAS want to re-listing back to Bursa.
They sell at lower than their buying price (because they buy a lot when AA >RM2.00)
, Therefore why make them to sold it in a hurry time. AA may turn around in yr 2016, why not wait & may sell at higher price?

Latest jet fuel price have been continued dropped to USD44 per Barrel compare last month ard USD50. If the price can maintain below USD50 means AA can get more cost saving another 10%++. The low fuel price will be reflected the better result onwards from Q1 2016. Buy AA now before it is too late.

buy C24 better as it is the lowest mother share conversion @1.05