Subsidy removal is abrupt. Upward adjustment of selling prices is gradual. Profitability will take a big hit before slowly recovering somewhat.

Cincai estimates of quarterly eps for FYE 30 June 2024 :
6.9 sen
4.5sen
1.6 sen
5 sen
Total: 18 sen.

Downward revision:
Cincai kira, this quarterly eps should be around 4-5sen. Fair value rm1.8.

This counter can trap you for very long but as a consolation, your company will sit on RM1b cash after 4 years if it will not distribute dividend to you. Haha

The selling pressure is heavy. Most likely Genine Chain Ltd has been selling. Any buyer can absorb possibly 70m shares being thrown away? Haha

I expect 5sen eps this quarter. Yearly maintainable eps being 22sen. Fair value rm2.20. Achievable if cpo stays above rm3700 and dividend is increased meaningfully.

Heavy profit taking. Value investors find best time to tambah now.

No limit up yet.

Still a long way from fair value of RM2.20. Mayb it will limit up today. Haha

2024’s estimated EPS: RM0.22. Minimum valuation:RM1.50. Fair valuation:RM2.20.

Sendiri pandai-pandai lah buat own assessment to make some money loh. Risk is management possibly not taking care of minority interest seriously loh.

Ramai took profit, and that gives believers good chances to buy at lower prices. RM1.50 in 2024 is in sight if dividend increases this year.

Hold for 2 years, if CPO stands above rm4k, this share will be worth RM2-2.50.

5 sen eps, 2sen dividend for next quarterly report at end of Feb 24.

1 year free cash flow RM350m, selling now for RM970m. Apa lagi you mahu? Sure must buy loh till at least RM1.5b market cap.

This company has a dividend policy of paying 20% out of net profit? If so, can expect a bit dividend soon.

Market doesn’t believe the profits are sustainable. The price seems to move before actual results are announced. The share price likely moves towards 20sen next year.

Genine still has 70m shares to sell. When can Calvin get the billions he promised to come in and sweep up the shares? Haha

Operating cash flow of RM350m a year, conservatively speaking, selling now for RM930m. Ridiculously low. Big trust deficit by the market over the management. Fair value is around 4-5 times of operating cash flow, conservatively speaking, which translates into around RM1.65 a share. What a joke because at the current market price, investors are essentially expecting the management will do some hanky panky again.

Where’s the billions Calvin said would flush in and sweep up Jtiasa shares? Haha

Looks like Jtiasa should fetch around RM1.50 a share, to be roughly comparable to SOP.

Genine still has 70m more shares to sell. Expect some steep pullbacks on its way up.

So far so good. Selling down offers better value for prospective buyers. One question mark remains: management dubious integrity, at least historically speaking. This market is currently pricing it at 50% of its fair value.

Price collapses. Calvin tarak support kah? Haha

Today, another 4m shares thrown off onto market. 80m more shares to go. Those who like this company may get it at 70sen oh.

84m shares sell-off probably will get digested between 75-85sen in coming 1.5 months. Surely they are not happy with the controlling shareholders, likely due to the trust-deficit issue, especially as their share sell-off came on the heel of the recent RM52m related party transaction. It’s a red flag and controlling shareholders need to do stop any hanky-panky deals.

Free cash flow of RM300m a year selling for RM828m now. RM1.2b mkt cap is about right, given the lingering trust deficit issues.

I don’t like to see what happened in Subur Tiasa. After takeover was rejected, the company started to report losses. Subur Tiasa used to report fantastic profits.

This Jayatiasa also already paid rm55m out to related party and more may come.

Still, the value is quite good. I bought a bit today and people already started chasing it up. Aiseh.

This company operates in two booming sectors: oil and palm oil. It seems to have pricing power and able to maintain EPS of at least RM0.12 a year, going forward. The company is in a position to increase dividend to RM0.08 a year. The fair value of this company lies around RM1.20. Attractive price to enter currently.

RM1.74 tomorrow?

This company still has legacy trust-deficit and transparency issues. Lots of people are selling into good quarterly results to get out.

Pantech’s PE multiple is currently akin to steel counter at single digit but today all steel counters shot up but Pantech share price didn’t move up.

I guess there are about 10m esos unexercised. After exercise, grantees could sell for quick and handsome profits.
The bigger issue may b the yearly RM10m director remuneration. 3 rather-senior directors may need to slowly hand over to next generation so the company continues to grow at good pace.

Profit-taking as this price is at around its all-time high?

Selling pressure is there. It’s unlikely to increase meaningfully till the 2 structured warrants expire, I think.

Jan to Mar 2023, PO price was high but it only made RM0.01 eps. Apr to Jun 2023, PO was lower, eps likely would not look pretty. Betul kah?

Dodgy management with integrity issues, if you have been following its stories for many years.

This company has no competitor in its market. The industry is flying, with continual replenishments and additions of ever-more sophisticated gaming machines after MCO. This company will fly with the industry.

Price drops. Market still deems it as a routine, cyclical steel stock.

3i has swallowed bitter pills of Dlady, for not selling at RM60. But he dressed his mistake up by measuring instead a 12-year positive return from Dlady, for his own comfort, as part of his long term investment strategy.

Even a 25% discount factor is too low. Risk premium for Jaks’ management abysmal integrity level alone is north of 20%, disregarding biz and industry risks.

The ship is back floating. Congratulations all.

Creditors don’t mind putting the company under receivership, as they, especially the aircraft suppliers, are muscular financially and certainly eyeing Tony’s Airasia licence, which they can take over via their own local proxy.

Whether or not Tony and team can submit a regularisation plan or not depends on the various creditors and lenders. If they say no, nothing will happen till they are satisfied. The terms of payment rescheduling can be very painful to shareholders of Capital A and AAX.

RM100m operating cash flow a year in 2023, selling to you for RM534m, meaning a multiple of just 5.34!

Targeting RM600m sales in 2023! More than 100% increase over 2022! RM0.04 EPS is possible for 2023.

Analysts used 25000 as forecast average for 2023.

RM0.45 is surely coming, and RM0.40 is also probable.

Next quarterly EPS will be 2.5sen, I guess. Palm oil is also weakening back past few days.

No research house covers this stock and gives any target price. If I remember correctly, a few years back, there was once the company suddenly took out a few hundreds millions loan and then the money went to receivables. Ever since then, I dared not consider this company for investment. It’s not clear where they do the oil packing based on the property list in annual report.

One year cash inflow after servicing interest is RM1b. This interest will diminish over time if borrowings continue to be paid down and there will be other new income streams from new FPSOs, but this may be offset by occasional material setbacks like the current Kraken issues. Use a PE of 10, you get RM10b. Minus net debt of RM4.5b, you get RM5.5b or RM0.93 a share. Currently, market discount 49% for you.