Followers
0
Following
0
Blog Posts
0
Threads
304
Blogs
Threads
Portfolio
Follower
Following
2021-10-11 12:56 | Report Abuse
DNEX everyone knew his good news, everyone bought at very low value price, so any sense bankers or big sharks will help to pull the price high just to let retailers take profits at this time?, make sense right?
2021-09-22 14:51 | Report Abuse
New directors need cheap tickets to enter, price push down already foresee
2021-09-22 14:04 | Report Abuse
@ToneeFa, good news, will wait your green light to buy more lol, hehe!!
2021-09-19 17:13 | Report Abuse
Ride on the wind of Printer selling like hot cake as Pandemic many parents bought printer and usage of inks hike, including those work from home
2021-09-09 08:52 | Report Abuse
Data Point Source Value
Valuation Model 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity
Levered Free Cash Flow Extrapolated from most recent financials. See below
Discount Rate (Cost of Equity) See below 9.8%
Perpetual Growth Rate 5-Year Average of MY Long-Term Govt Bond Rate 3.6%
An important part of a discounted cash flow is the discount rate, below we explain how it has been calculated.
Calculation of Discount Rate/ Cost of Equity for KLSE:PA
Data Point Calculation/ Source Result
Risk-Free Rate 5-Year Average of MY Long-Term Govt Bond Rate 3.6%
Equity Risk Premium S&P Global 5.9%
Metals and Mining Unlevered Beta Simply Wall St/ S&P Global 1.06
Re-levered Beta = 0.33 + [(0.66 * Unlevered beta) * (1 + (1 - tax rate) (Debt/Market Equity))]
= 0.33 + [(0.66 * 1.064) * (1 + (1 - 24.0%) (1.38%))] 1.05
Levered Beta Levered Beta limited to 0.8 to 2.0
(practical range for a stable firm) 1.05
Discount Rate/ Cost of Equity = Cost of Equity = Risk Free Rate + (Levered Beta * Equity Risk Premium)
= 3.62% + (1.05 * 5.88%) 9.79%
Discounted Cash Flow Calculation for KLSE:PA using 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity
The calculations below outline how an intrinsic value for P.A. Resources Berhad is arrived at by discounting future cash flows to their present value using the 2 stage method. We use analyst's estimates of cash flows going forward 10 years for the 1st stage, the 2nd stage assumes the company grows at a stable rate into perpetuity.
KLSE:PA DCF 1st Stage: Next 10 years cash flow forecast
Levered FCF (MYR, Millions) Source Present Value
Discounted (@ 9.79%)
2022 20.17 Est @ 83.21% 18.37
2023 32.14 Est @ 59.33% 26.66
2024 45.84 Est @ 42.62% 34.63
2025 60.01 Est @ 30.92% 41.3
2026 73.66 Est @ 22.73% 46.16
2027 86.17 Est @ 17% 49.19
2028 97.36 Est @ 12.98% 50.62
2029 107.27 Est @ 10.17% 50.79
2030 116.07 Est @ 8.21% 50.06
2031 124 Est @ 6.83% 48.71
Present value of next 10 years cash flows MYR416
KLSE:PA DCF 2nd Stage: Terminal Value
Calculation Result
Terminal Value FCF2031 × (1 + g) ÷ (Discount Rate – g)
= MYR124.003 x (1 + 3.62%) ÷ (9.79% - 3.62% ) MYR2,080.89
Present Value of Terminal Value = Terminal Value ÷ (1 + r)10
MYR2,081 ÷ (1 + 9.79%)10 MYR817.39
KLSE:PA Total Equity Value
Calculation Result
Total Equity Value = Present value of next 10 years cash flows + Terminal Value
= MYR416 + MYR817 MYR1,233.39
Equity Value per Share
(MYR) = Total value / Shares Outstanding
= MYR1,233 / 1,242 MYR0.99
KLSE:PA Discount to Share Price
Calculation Result
Value per share (MYR) From above. MYR0.99
Current discount Discount to share price of MYR0.41
= (MYR0.99 - MYR0.41) / MYR0.99 58.2%
2021-09-08 12:35 | Report Abuse
Quickly buy and push help, pity those who trap and let them loose from trap
2021-09-08 11:22 | Report Abuse
quickly buy help those poor peoples out from trap if you dare
2021-09-07 22:54 | Report Abuse
Throw before too late, sharks had earn enough
2021-08-26 14:23 | Report Abuse
Don't fall in love with your stock, can earn better on elsewhere.
2021-08-20 14:40 | Report Abuse
Fake news all flying around nowadays, the best for now is to avoid everyday stare on stock market
2021-08-20 14:36 | Report Abuse
PM9 = PN2.0 in foreign investor eyes equally useless
2021-08-18 08:05 | Report Abuse
Sick with oldie politicians, when can our country like France and NZ whereby new and more longer vision young politicians emerge to replace those old politicians??
2021-08-16 14:07 | Report Abuse
Problems arise because Malaysia too relied on old folks useless politicians and surpressed new generation of open minded young peoples
2021-08-16 07:28 | Report Abuse
EPF selling was because Astro just given out the dividen
2021-08-06 08:02 | Report Abuse
敏源 indicator to sell is the most accurate indicators in the world
2021-08-05 08:48 | Report Abuse
Rubbish, don't be foolish, you can earn elsewhere for your money more efficient rolling
2021-07-28 08:52 | Report Abuse
Pump and dumb, because sharks also being trapped, they need to minimally break even and run away
2021-07-28 08:50 | Report Abuse
Sharks in distribution mode, don't catch knife
2021-07-27 07:19 | Report Abuse
Undervalued stock, look from different perspective
https://simplywall.st/stocks/my/food-beverage-tobacco/klse-msm/msm-malaysia-holdings-berhad-shares
2021-07-19 20:06 | Report Abuse
Don't waste your time and money here, you can earn better position else where
2021-06-22 13:49 | Report Abuse
This stock is so much under valued, buy before too late
2021-06-21 09:41 | Report Abuse
MFLOUR is over valued, director try to flush out at times
2021-06-04 08:40 | Report Abuse
Remember for Phamaniaga, the intrinsic value is always 6, this was why every time reach 6 it will drop
2021-05-25 14:52 | Report Abuse
GG, gone case, trap trap trap
2021-05-21 08:06 | Report Abuse
This is the typical case taukeh thought can cons retailer to buy in, but nowadays retailer were no longer like 10-20 years back kind of dump. Well done retailers
2021-05-19 09:30 | Report Abuse
丰成综合上挑RM1.45/敏源 whenever you see this, is the best indicator ask you to cabut before too late
2021-05-19 09:27 | Report Abuse
Rubbish stock, later kena cons baru tahu
2021-05-12 08:10 | Report Abuse
Cannot enter already as the 2nd TP also reached
2021-04-26 10:52 | Report Abuse
Throw this counter, you can earn elsewhere
2021-04-22 10:37 | Report Abuse
If you have nothing to buy then buy this, if you have better target then can earn elsewhere will definitely faster than this
2021-04-22 07:22 | Report Abuse
Throw this counter, you can earn elsewhere, don't waste your bullet, no point
2021-04-09 14:42 | Report Abuse
Run, useless cons counter
2021-04-08 08:45 | Report Abuse
Many technical chartist dare not to in, when they found out the trend reversal, could be too late as the best price already no longer left.
2021-04-01 12:15 | Report Abuse
Thanks KYY give us negative indicators, only we know time to sell
2021-03-26 15:05 | Report Abuse
No need to argue with KYY, take it positively treat him and thank him as negative indicators to any stocks that he try to promote. At least he help me many time to run on high price area when he promote a stock
2021-03-26 14:50 | Report Abuse
Also treat below this guy as negative indicator too, suspect they all from same gang
https://klse.i3investor.com/blogs/nanyang_stock_expert/2021-03-17-story-h1542839270.jsp
2021-03-26 14:45 | Report Abuse
I only treat KYY as opposite market indicators, if he promote then sell haha
2021-03-26 14:43 | Report Abuse
Run before too late, don't fall into the trap of that Ipoh old hunter hand
2021-03-16 13:23 | Report Abuse
to seek and bid for hydro projects in Malaysia?? Not yet confirm? Oh no~~~~
2021-03-16 13:20 | Report Abuse
Overall market weakened partly due to Anwar going to hold conference call by 4:30pm, really sick with Malaysia old men politicians, old men they already cari cukup makan, they don't care about we who cari makan still. In future please everyone try to kick out all old men politicians who over 55 yrs old, on top of that see what their excuses given not to open Parliament was because parliament full of old folks who have weak immunity, what a sucks reasons, if that case we might as well vote in only young and strong future generation instead of useless old men
Stock: [ANCOMNY]: ANCOM NYLEX BERHAD
2021-10-11 15:20 | Report Abuse
Sold