[NESTLE] QoQ TTM Result on 30-Sep-2002 [#3]

Stock

[NESTLE] NESTLE (M) BHD

Announcement Date

06-Nov-2002

Admission Sponsor

Sponsor

Financial Year

31-Dec-2002

Quarter

30-Sep-2002 [#3]

Profit Trend

QoQ- 4.31%

YoY- 0.76%

Quarter Report

klse given to klse.xls

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NESTLE's Result

NESTLE's Financial Summary

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YoY %

Horiz. %

	30/06/03	31/03/03	31/12/02	30/09/02	30/06/02	31/03/02	31/12/01	CAGR
TTM Result
Revenue	2,459,323	2,503,300	2,479,649	2,600,634	2,654,841	2,593,619	2,585,708	-3.29%
YoY %	-1.76%	0.95%	-4.65%	-2.04%	2.36%	0.31%	-	-
Horiz. %	95.11%	96.81%	95.90%	100.58%	102.67%	100.31%	100.00%	-
PBT	215,657	242,110	234,171	254,794	259,534	253,878	264,744	-12.81%
YoY %	-10.93%	3.39%	-8.09%	-1.83%	2.23%	-4.10%	-	-
Horiz. %	81.46%	91.45%	88.45%	96.24%	98.03%	95.90%	100.00%	-
Tax	-46,901	-52,914	-51,586	-49,769	-62,973	-56,821	-60,794	-15.92%
YoY %	11.36%	-2.57%	-3.65%	20.97%	-10.83%	6.54%	-	-
Horiz. %	77.15%	87.04%	84.85%	81.86%	103.58%	93.46%	100.00%	-
NP	168,756	189,196	182,585	205,025	196,561	197,057	203,950	-11.89%
YoY %	-10.80%	3.62%	-10.95%	4.31%	-0.25%	-3.38%	-	-
Horiz. %	82.74%	92.77%	89.52%	100.53%	96.38%	96.62%	100.00%	-
								-
YoY %	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-	-
Horiz. %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
NP to SH	168,756	189,196	182,585	205,025	196,561	197,057	203,950	-11.89%
YoY %	-10.80%	3.62%	-10.95%	4.31%	-0.25%	-3.38%	-	-
Horiz. %	82.74%	92.77%	89.52%	100.53%	96.38%	96.62%	100.00%	-
								-
YoY %	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-	-
Horiz. %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Tax Rate	21.75%	21.86%	22.03%	19.53%	24.26%	22.38%	22.96%	-
YoY %	-0.50%	-0.77%	12.80%	-19.50%	8.40%	-2.53%	-	-
Horiz. %	94.73%	95.21%	95.95%	85.06%	105.66%	97.47%	100.00%	-
Total Cost	2,290,567	2,314,104	2,297,064	2,395,609	2,458,280	2,396,562	2,381,758	-2.57%
YoY %	-1.02%	0.74%	-4.11%	-2.55%	2.58%	0.62%	-	-
Horiz. %	96.17%	97.16%	96.44%	100.58%	103.21%	100.62%	100.00%	-
								-
YoY %	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	-	-
Horiz. %	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
Net Worth	316,641	403,274	361,262	377,563	375,187	466,587	415,130	-16.56%
YoY %	-21.48%	11.63%	-4.32%	0.63%	-19.59%	12.40%	-	-
Horiz. %	76.28%	97.14%	87.02%	90.95%	90.38%	112.40%	100.00%	-

	30/06/03	31/03/03	31/12/02	30/09/02	30/06/02	31/03/02	31/12/01	CAGR
Dividend
Div	293,197	281,452	281,452	312,452	242,098	242,103	242,103	13.65%
YoY %	4.17%	0.00%	-9.92%	29.06%	-0.00%	0.00%	-	-
Horiz. %	121.10%	116.25%	116.25%	129.06%	100.00%	100.00%	100.00%	-
Div Payout %	173.74%	148.76%	154.15%	152.40%	123.17%	122.86%	118.71%	-
YoY %	16.79%	-3.50%	1.15%	23.73%	0.25%	3.50%	-	-
Horiz. %	146.36%	125.31%	129.85%	128.38%	103.76%	103.50%	100.00%	-

	30/06/03	31/03/03	31/12/02	30/09/02	30/06/02	31/03/02	31/12/01	CAGR
Equity
Net Worth	316,641	403,274	361,262	377,563	375,187	466,587	415,130	-16.56%
YoY %	-21.48%	11.63%	-4.32%	0.63%	-19.59%	12.40%	-	-
Horiz. %	76.28%	97.14%	87.02%	90.95%	90.38%	112.40%	100.00%	-
NOSH	234,549	234,461	234,586	234,511	234,492	234,465	234,536	0.00%
YoY %	0.04%	-0.05%	0.03%	0.01%	0.01%	-0.03%	-	-
Horiz. %	100.01%	99.97%	100.02%	99.99%	99.98%	99.97%	100.00%	-

	30/06/03	31/03/03	31/12/02	30/09/02	30/06/02	31/03/02	31/12/01	CAGR
Ratio Analysis
NP Margin	6.86%	7.56%	7.36%	7.88%	7.40%	7.60%	7.89%	-
YoY %	-9.26%	2.72%	-6.60%	6.49%	-2.63%	-3.68%	-	-
Horiz. %	86.95%	95.82%	93.28%	99.87%	93.79%	96.32%	100.00%	-
ROE	53.30%	46.91%	50.54%	54.30%	52.39%	42.23%	49.13%	-
YoY %	13.62%	-7.18%	-6.92%	3.65%	24.06%	-14.04%	-	-
Horiz. %	108.49%	95.48%	102.87%	110.52%	106.64%	85.96%	100.00%	-

	30/06/03	31/03/03	31/12/02	30/09/02	30/06/02	31/03/02	31/12/01	CAGR
Per Share
RPS	1,048.53	1,067.68	1,057.03	1,108.96	1,132.17	1,106.18	1,102.47	-3.29%
YoY %	-1.79%	1.01%	-4.68%	-2.05%	2.35%	0.34%	-	-
Horiz. %	95.11%	96.84%	95.88%	100.59%	102.69%	100.34%	100.00%	-
EPS	71.95	80.69	77.83	87.43	83.82	84.05	86.96	-11.89%
YoY %	-10.83%	3.67%	-10.98%	4.31%	-0.27%	-3.35%	-	-
Horiz. %	82.74%	92.79%	89.50%	100.54%	96.39%	96.65%	100.00%	-
DPS	125.00	120.00	120.00	133.23	103.23	103.23	103.23	13.64%
YoY %	4.17%	0.00%	-9.93%	29.06%	0.00%	0.00%	-	-
Horiz. %	121.09%	116.25%	116.25%	129.06%	100.00%	100.00%	100.00%	-
NAPS	1.35	1.72	1.54	1.61	1.60	1.99	1.77	-16.56%
YoY %	-21.51%	11.69%	-4.35%	0.63%	-19.60%	12.43%	-	-
Horiz. %	76.27%	97.18%	87.01%	90.96%	90.40%	112.43%	100.00%	-

	30/06/03	31/03/03	31/12/02	30/09/02	30/06/02	31/03/02	31/12/01	CAGR
Adjusted Per Share Value based on latest NOSH - 234,511
RPS	1,048.75	1,067.51	1,057.42	1,109.01	1,132.13	1,106.02	1,102.65	-3.29%
YoY %	-1.76%	0.95%	-4.65%	-2.04%	2.36%	0.31%	-	-
Horiz. %	95.11%	96.81%	95.90%	100.58%	102.67%	100.31%	100.00%	-
EPS	71.96	80.68	77.86	87.43	83.82	84.03	86.97	-11.89%
YoY %	-10.81%	3.62%	-10.95%	4.31%	-0.25%	-3.38%	-	-
Horiz. %	82.74%	92.77%	89.53%	100.53%	96.38%	96.62%	100.00%	-
DPS	125.03	120.02	120.02	133.24	103.24	103.24	103.24	13.65%
YoY %	4.17%	0.00%	-9.92%	29.06%	0.00%	0.00%	-	-
Horiz. %	121.11%	116.25%	116.25%	129.06%	100.00%	100.00%	100.00%	-
NAPS	1.3503	1.7197	1.5406	1.6101	1.5999	1.9897	1.7703	-16.56%
YoY %	-21.48%	11.63%	-4.32%	0.64%	-19.59%	12.39%	-	-
Horiz. %	76.28%	97.14%	87.02%	90.95%	90.37%	112.39%	100.00%	-

	30/06/03	31/03/03	31/12/02	30/09/02	30/06/02	31/03/02	31/12/01	CAGR
Price Multiplier on Financial Quarter End Date
Date	30/06/03	31/03/03	31/12/02	30/09/02	28/06/02	29/03/02	31/12/01	-
Price	20.50	20.20	20.00	20.20	20.50	19.90	20.50	-
P/RPS	1.96	1.89	1.89	1.82	1.81	1.80	1.86	3.56%
YoY %	3.70%	0.00%	3.85%	0.55%	0.56%	-3.23%	-	-
Horiz. %	105.38%	101.61%	101.61%	97.85%	97.31%	96.77%	100.00%	-
P/EPS	28.49	25.03	25.70	23.11	24.46	23.68	23.57	13.51%
YoY %	13.82%	-2.61%	11.21%	-5.52%	3.29%	0.47%	-	-
Horiz. %	120.87%	106.19%	109.04%	98.05%	103.78%	100.47%	100.00%	-
EY	3.51	3.99	3.89	4.33	4.09	4.22	4.24	-11.86%
YoY %	-12.03%	2.57%	-10.16%	5.87%	-3.08%	-0.47%	-	-
Horiz. %	82.78%	94.10%	91.75%	102.12%	96.46%	99.53%	100.00%	-
DY	6.10	5.94	6.00	6.60	5.04	5.19	5.04	13.61%
YoY %	2.69%	-1.00%	-9.09%	30.95%	-2.89%	2.98%	-	-
Horiz. %	121.03%	117.86%	119.05%	130.95%	100.00%	102.98%	100.00%	-
P/NAPS	15.19	11.74	12.99	12.55	12.81	10.00	11.58	19.88%
YoY %	29.39%	-9.62%	3.51%	-2.03%	28.10%	-13.64%	-	-
Horiz. %	131.17%	101.38%	112.18%	108.38%	110.62%	86.36%	100.00%	-

	30/06/03	31/03/03	31/12/02	30/09/02	30/06/02	31/03/02	31/12/01	CAGR
Price Multiplier on Announcement Date
Date	06/08/03	30/04/03	27/02/03	06/11/02	21/08/02	08/05/02	28/02/02	-
Price	20.80	20.00	19.50	19.30	20.30	19.60	19.30	-
P/RPS	1.98	1.87	1.84	1.74	1.79	1.77	1.75	8.60%
YoY %	5.88%	1.63%	5.75%	-2.79%	1.13%	1.14%	-	-
Horiz. %	113.14%	106.86%	105.14%	99.43%	102.29%	101.14%	100.00%	-
P/EPS	28.91	24.79	25.05	22.08	24.22	23.32	22.19	19.34%
YoY %	16.62%	-1.04%	13.45%	-8.84%	3.86%	5.09%	-	-
Horiz. %	130.28%	111.72%	112.89%	99.50%	109.15%	105.09%	100.00%	-
EY	3.46	4.03	3.99	4.53	4.13	4.29	4.51	-16.23%
YoY %	-14.14%	1.00%	-11.92%	9.69%	-3.73%	-4.88%	-	-
Horiz. %	76.72%	89.36%	88.47%	100.44%	91.57%	95.12%	100.00%	-
DY	6.01	6.00	6.15	6.90	5.09	5.27	5.35	8.08%
YoY %	0.17%	-2.44%	-10.87%	35.56%	-3.42%	-1.50%	-	-
Horiz. %	112.34%	112.15%	114.95%	128.97%	95.14%	98.50%	100.00%	-
P/NAPS	15.41	11.63	12.66	11.99	12.69	9.85	10.90	26.04%
YoY %	32.50%	-8.14%	5.59%	-5.52%	28.83%	-9.63%	-	-
Horiz. %	141.38%	106.70%	116.15%	110.00%	116.42%	90.37%	100.00%	-

PBT = Profit before Tax, NP = Net Profit, NP to SH = Net Profit Attributable to Shareholder, Div = Dividend, NP Margin = Net Profit Margin, ROE = Return on Equity, NOSH = Number of Shares, RPS = Revenue per Share, EPS = Earning Per Share, DPS = Dividend Per Share, NAPS = Net Asset Per Share, EOQ = End of Quarter, ANN = Announcement, P/RPS = Price/Revenue per Share, P/EPS = Price/Earning per Share, P/NAPS = Price/Net Asset per Share, EY = Earning Yield, DY = Dividend Yield.

NOSH is estimated based on the NP to SH and EPS. Div is an estimated figure based on the DPS and NOSH. Net Worth is an estimated figure based on the NAPS and NOSH.

Div Payout %, NP Margin, ROE, DY, QoQ ⃤ & YoY ⃤ figures in Percentage; RPS, EPS & DPS's figures in Cent; and NAPS's figures in Dollar.

All figures in '000 unless specified.

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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....

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