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28 comment(s). Last comment by walawei 2014-10-16 20:27

calvintaneng

56,429 posts

Posted by calvintaneng > 2014-10-11 23:28 | Report Abuse

From the Chart we can conclude

1) The Collapse in 2008/2009 March was Arrested By QE1.

And When QE 1 ends there was a decline.

Same for QE 2. The pattern was repeated by Market weakness.

Coinciding with tail end of QE 3 is October month. An inauspicious month because it coincides with Oct 1929 at the start of the Great Depression.

As you can see from the Chart the Downturn is reverted by more QE

So The Fall Or Rise of Dow Jones rests not in the hands of short sellers BUT IN THE HANDS OF CENTRAL BANKERS

THE RULE OF THE GAME HAS BEEN CHANGED!

calvintaneng

56,429 posts

Posted by calvintaneng > 2014-10-11 23:30 | Report Abuse

What should we do?

We Should Buy On Weakness

Don't buy all at one go.

Space out your buying

As price weaken further add a little more

Posted by optimus9999 > 2014-10-11 23:37 | Report Abuse

Lonkey calvin....what type of analysis is this? u wana bring us go Holland is it? wakakakak....laughdieme

zu1967

3,791 posts

Posted by zu1967 > 2014-10-11 23:40 | Report Abuse

Optimus vs calvin. Gua jd referee. Kikikikiki

Posted by optimus9999 > 2014-10-11 23:43 | Report Abuse

Singaporean wana bring Malaysians to Holland....wakakkaak

calvintaneng

56,429 posts

Posted by calvintaneng > 2014-10-11 23:53 | Report Abuse

You are Now Between The Real Devil of Inflation & The Perceived Market Crash of Deep Blue Sea.

One is A Real Enemy

One Is A Perceived Threat

1) THE FIRST DANGER IS VERY REAL - KEEP CASH

Petrol price rise of 20 cents for Ron95 translates into 10% Inflation! GST at 6% add it to 16% Inflation Next Year.

So Putting CASH IN BANK Will offer little protection from Ravaging 16% Inflation which will definitely Do Damage to Your Purchasing Power!

THE DEVIL OF INFLATION GOT YOU!

Now the Perceived Threat - Market Collapse. Sure? Very sure?

We Beg to Differ! Yellen is more Dovish than Ben Bernanke. She will definitely start QE 4 and print money.

AND PRINT SHE WILL. ON THIS YOU CAN BE ASSURED!

bovun2014

252 posts

Posted by bovun2014 > 2014-10-12 08:22 | Report Abuse

just cash out. Cash is king!! no matter how good fundamental the stocks, just be patient, t=you wouldn't feel surprise to buy valuable gems with fraction of money. wait for other investor to panic to sell low, lower and lowest.

BumbleBee

602 posts

Posted by BumbleBee > 2014-10-12 10:08 | Report Abuse

Thanks all for the valuable input. Uncle oredi dizzy ...buy or sell? wakakakaka

cariayam

266 posts

Posted by cariayam > 2014-10-12 10:18 | Report Abuse

Agreed with Calvin ....buy good stocks if they go down ....collect slowly ...QE effect wont last forever ....investors traders have short memories .....hahahahaha

leno

6,167 posts

Posted by leno > 2014-10-12 14:15 |

Post removed.Why?

calvintaneng

56,429 posts

Posted by calvintaneng > 2014-10-12 14:22 | Report Abuse

Haha! This cat not only cute but quite intelligent also.

jolie2

2,039 posts

Posted by jolie2 > 2014-10-12 14:42 | Report Abuse

the market already gives signal before it crash

1st: foreign fund pull out first . Everyday the news report it
2nd: crude palm oil price drop. signal china market growth limited.
3rd : house price peak
4th: penny stock volume peak .7 billion volume. All the aunties and uncles excited.

Now CRASH.

Everybody Run even though without their pants on.

Later, we realized that all this is bcos of QE123.

That's why it is the macroview come first before the microview. Not terbalik.

BumbleBee

602 posts

Posted by BumbleBee > 2014-10-12 14:49 | Report Abuse

Leno. Just sharing, uncle is too old to cares ??? Kikikiki

sunztzhe

2,248 posts

Posted by sunztzhe > 2014-10-12 14:58 | Report Abuse

jolie2,
1st: Foreign equity funds had already underweighted BURSA. Very few foreign funds in BURSA now and that implies that future upside could be fast when foreign funds return.
2nd: CPO had already dropped, maybe bottom at RM 1800 to RM2,000(depends on RM FX rate to USD). With abolishment of export duty, maybe India may commence buying CPO.
3rd: Developers will have to sell more affordable homes especially selling houses less than RM 500,000 to young Malaysian households that qualify latest Budget 2015 incentives from the Msian government. Serious long term Developers with cheap sizeable land bank will thrive till 31st December 2016
4th: Penny stocks ( include small caps and mid caps) had already corrected and may possibly correct further. Nevertheless there are still undervalued penny stocks.

Market Crash? That is being very mellow dramatic. A market correction had happened and may persist for a short while more and thereafter global markets will be sideways for a while until the bull re-emerges

uncle_tt

28 posts

Posted by uncle_tt > 2014-10-12 18:01 | Report Abuse

JUST BE GRATEFUL WE ARE NOT IN SYRIA OR IRAQ BUT WONDERFUL MSIA

sunztzhe

2,248 posts

Posted by sunztzhe > 2014-10-12 18:52 | Report Abuse

The drop in price of crude oil had spooked the market n created great uncertainty on the global stock markets. There is new evidence that the drop in crude oil prices is being manipulated to punish Russia. The key question to ask are
- will global consumption of energy decrease or increase in the future?
- can the supply of unconventional shale oil have a sustained significant impact on future crude oil supply ?
The global demand for energy produced from crude oil n gas will continue to grow as more n more emerging market countries in former Soviet republics, Asia n South America aspires for US n Western European lifestyle. This can only mean that the demand for energy will increase in the future. Major oilfields in the world r facing declining production n many have resorted to enhanced oil recovery to try to maintain production volume.
Unconventional shale oil n gas accounts for 2%-3% of world supply. The unconventional shale oil n gas has maximum production during the first year n thereafter the production tails off at an exponential rate where the maximum life of the shale field is 10 years. It may even be shorter.USA is now a gas exporter but how long can USA continue to export unconventional gas? The export may not be sustainable over a long time period as shale oil n gas production will be unreliable.

So the key question to ask is how long can the Price of crude oil remain at around USD 90 given that the people in the emerging economies in former Soviet republics, Asia, South America aspire for US n European lifestyle which consumes high energy on a per capita basis? As energy consumption grows in the future, the future demand for crude oil n gas may even exceed the future supply.

sunztzhe

2,248 posts

Posted by sunztzhe > 2014-10-12 20:01 | Report Abuse

The unintended consequence of manipulating the crude oil price to punish Russia is that the profits of Major US Oil & Gas corporations will be negatively affected and if sustained over a long term basis, it will trigger mass layoffs in unprofitable fields. This manipulation of Crude oil price to punish Russia is untenable and may not be sustained as eventually economic discipline and market forces will take over.

The mid term USA elections is coming soon on November 4th, 2014 and it looks like Republicans candidates who are pro business have high chance of victory and will most likely secure the majority. If that happens President Obama will be a lame duck president for the remaining term in office and the manipulation of crude oil price may no longer be tenable.

sunztzhe

2,248 posts

Posted by sunztzhe > 2014-10-12 21:25 | Report Abuse

US manufacturing had and are already moving back to USA and requires better infrastructure facilities in USA. It is just a matter of time that current gloom, doom and market uncertainty will soon make way for renewed optimism as Tarullo, a voting member of the Fed's policymaking committee had already hinted of future possibilities in USA

Quote: "Right now the physical capital stock (of the country) is about as old as it has been in the post World War Two era ... That suggests an underinvestment" Unquote

It will be very interesting to see who gets elected in the forthcoming mid term elections in USA on November 4th 2014. The odds are in favor of Republican candidates securing victory in their respective constituencies and also in securing a house majority in the forthcoming mid term elections...

ykloh

517 posts

Posted by ykloh > 2014-10-13 00:33 | Report Abuse

These QEs, looks to me that the usa is trying to build pyramids, up side down.

Alphabeta

235 posts

Posted by Alphabeta > 2014-10-13 12:08 | Report Abuse

Strengthening of the US Dollar may hurt its export and US MNC future earnings in dollar term.

Opec lead by Saudi are willing to go for a price war with US shale than to sacrifice market share. Saudi think US shale threshold is around USD 90 per barrel, anything below that is not commercially viable for them to continue unless extraction technology improve further. Anyway, a lower oil price will benefit economies in general especially airline.

With so much uncertainties, investors will be very jittery and market volatility will be inevitable. I agreed with fortunebullz to go bottom fish for fundamentally sound businesses when market get oversold.

Posted by jamal123456 > 2014-10-13 17:59 | Report Abuse

What share to watch

BumbleBee

602 posts

Posted by BumbleBee > 2014-10-13 18:13 | Report Abuse

wow...this article so in demand ....4,908 VIEWS !!

Blog: Uncle Bumble Bee Ramblings - All posts

Why The Stock Market Dropped? 4908 12 23 Oct 11, 2014 Edit | Delete

Page 1

godbless88

1,316 posts

Posted by godbless88 > 2014-10-13 18:17 | Report Abuse

Uncle sudah famous now. the next i3 super blogger haha :)

BumbleBee

602 posts

Posted by BumbleBee > 2014-10-13 22:09 | Report Abuse

sigh....wish it was RM4,908 instead of 4,908 VIEWS ....kikikiki ....godbless88 thanks!

cariayam

266 posts

Posted by cariayam > 2014-10-15 18:17 | Report Abuse

still dropping ....cheaper and cheaper ...........kikikiki

calvintaneng

56,429 posts

Posted by calvintaneng > 2014-10-15 23:45 | Report Abuse

BJ CORP HAS POWERFUL RM1.5 BILLION SHARE BUY BACK SUPPORT!

BumbleBee

602 posts

Posted by BumbleBee > 2014-10-16 20:25 | Report Abuse

THE STOCK MARKET WANT TO FED TO PUMP STERIODS CALLED QE 4 !!!!!!!!!!!

walawei

39 posts

Posted by walawei > 2014-10-16 20:27 | Report Abuse

walao market drop short futures larr. now not time to discuss stocks larr. now everyday short futures larr

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