Sell on news, buy on facts... Buy when everyone is fearful to buy (when Frontken is 0.08) Sell when everyone wants a piece of the pie .... Good luck investing......
Good sharing YiStock, no reasons for asking ppl not to use PE, if u wanna share ur knowledge, must give reasons so everyone can learn. It is meaningless to ask ppl "dont use this" "dont use that" when u are not pointing out what is wrong with it. Liek tkp! said, if dont like dont read, if cannot spread knowledge to others, dont give funny comments...
I see your potential to be a good investor, so it is just a guidance. Use it as a filter, but not as something that determine intrinsic value.
1. PE is just a shorthand, can be easily distorted. 2 companies can have exactly same PE, one loaded with debts, another doesnt, PE cant tell you, but their EV enterprise value will be very different. Then which one would you choose, of course the one without debt, because relatively, it is cheaper, it can generate the same earnings without using debts.
2. PE shouldnt be use to compare with different industry because industry structure is very different.
2. ROE effects PE. Gtronic, SKP can command such a high PE partly because of their ROE (another part future expectation), unless you have a certain degree of confidence Frontkn can achieve those ROE level in near term, PE simple would not reach there.
My opinion is going to be based on what you wrote, i dont have a clue what Frontkn does except theyre in semi conductor. If theyre in semi conductor, economic of scale is going to be something you want to research, google minimum efficient scale. Semi conductor industry is high capex, without economic of scale their cost per unit will be way higher than competitors. If competitors decided to bring the price down by sacrificing profit margin, they will not survive because their cost are higher. Example if their cost per unit is RM5, competitors RM4, selling price $6. If competitors lower price to RM5, they will still earn RM1, Frontkn will breakeven. Any lower it will bleed.
Example hartalega, they have the highest margin in glove industry, if they decided to cut margin, other glovesmaker like supermax, topglove will bleed, just that harta choose not to. Altho now as competition get intense, their margin are being squeezed as well.
Last thing, the stock has been neglected mainly because of the low ROE i believe. Cost of capital would be somewhere near 10%, the company hasnt been able to earn ROE of above 10% for more than 6 years. If this continue, the company is going to grow their way to bankrupt and destroy every shareholder value. Then again unless you have a great knowledge in semi conductor industry and confident ROE would rise above cost of capital, think and rethink the downside.
Posted by truthseeker1 > Apr 27, 2015 06:17 PM | Report Abuse Timing of this blog created? Sell on news or sell by blog creator?
Looks like you are in the habit of personal attacking people writing posts, especially those who write with facts and figures, and plausible stories to tell.
Fronkten share price has been rising for quite some time. Today it encounters a correction, just like all other technology stocks. And you come out with this personal attack?
when optimusprime bought this stock earlier, he never said like this, he keep telling good things about this counter, when he sold, then he start to talk negative things about the stock, no principal no stand whatsoever, little mouse running here and there when any counter he didn't hold experience a correction.
icon8888, if the question is directed to me as not sifu, my assumption is during bear movement, wait for ample margin of safety before add position. During bullish movement, hold as there is unlimited upside. Sell only when company fundamental deteriorate regardless of bull or bear. You are season investor and i m sure you have your figures in your mind.
The real sifu to consult is Mr OTB. Hope to have chance to meet in Mr OTB office one day. Cheers!
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Dunknow
7,384 posts
Posted by Dunknow > 2015-04-25 20:34 | Report Abuse
Dunknow flag uuuuuu....