Thanks for the article. Well, Parkson is still bleeding, no doubt. On the positive side, the same store sales growth for China is positive for the latest quarter, as well as for 9M2017. Although in the low single digit, at least it's not red anymore.
Hi davidtslim. Thank you for your hard work and willingness to share your research. Good job and well done. I have learned a lot and hope to continue reading your publications here in i3.
reminiscence of analysing HY butt spreads ....and gets buried by the butt spread analysis......
better...easier...no need fantastic butt spread analysis or even rebar analysts.....what you need is business sense.
Blog: message to steel investors.....
Jun 16, 2018 01:11 PM | Report Abuse
soo...if this Lionind was a bad buy at $ 1.70....It is still a bad buy at 90 sen. see above. cash generated $ 263 milllion? where got cash, stocks and debtors increased by $ $ 400 million to > $1 billion got....stocks and debtors each more than 6 months operations., deteriorating quality, ...This company has June year end....lets see how they will finalize the accounts for the year end.... good unaudited results,...the share price comes down, next result will be audited......hahahahaha
$ 150 million goodwill, $ 800 million investments in Parkson.....lets see what they will do with these.....
Alliance has finished their trial runs.....fun to watch for 2H 2018.....
remember HY? same kind of analysts gets their pants burnt.....the OTB types.....you don't see good analysts burnt by HY or by Lionind.....
For each of the last 5 years...this company has always produced disastrous June results...after good interim results....
Its their habit to produce good interim results and put all the bad news in the last quarter......same expected this time, if not even worse.....look closer...I give you hint already....
what I cannot tolerate is amatuer analysts present themselves as sifus, take people to hollland, and still act bigshot as if nothing has happened.....reminds me of Najib still updating his Facebook.
soo...people like you never learn.....attracted to con-games like bees to honey....
however, if people place business sense before figures, such disasters are a thing of the past....if people place business sense and management quality before figures even better.....and if people look beyond the surface figures, even better......
Let us see the final result at the end of 2018. Make money or losing money if you buy Lionind at the present price of 0.89 will be known at the end of 2018. I want to make known that I bought Lionind around 0.70 to 0.74 in a big way.
Investment in stock market, there is no right or wrong. It is depend on your strategy. If the strategy is right, you will make money.
I am not an accountant, my strategy is based on TA and FA. FA is very good because the PER is around 3.17. EV/Ebit is 4.48. Free cash flow is very good.
TA is showing the price had bottom around 0.70. If I bought Lionind at a cheap price, the risk is very low unless the price is below 0.70 again.
I just express my opinion here, I did not ask you to buy. The final decision to buy is always yours.
Please note the latest quarter result Q3 2018 of Lionind.
Net cash = 73.7 million CFFO = 52.867 million Free Cash Flow = 131.389 million Interest cost = 21.221 million Interest coverage = 7.286. EV/Ebit = 4.48 PER = 3.17
I believe the FA report of Lionind is fantastic. I am not an accountant, my 2 cents opinion only.
good stockpickers work in this order.....business sense, management quality, past figures.
amateur analysts work in this order....past figures, butt spread analysis they themselves do not understand....low PE buy...cyclical stocks even better., red chips even better.
always end with thank you for your money but final decision is yours.
Posted by lala23 > Jun 5, 2018 04:07 PM | Report Abuse
dont understand why many attack OTB. the man did not harm anyone or attack any stock or person. and his emails are always factual. unlike someone else who spews business sense bullshit and attack other stocks to prove his ego
People like that onelah. Just look at Dr. Wee Ka Siong, work hard for Ayer Hitam but netizens always blame and criticize him. This is truely call bully, pity.
actually...I don't care for OTB....If his name is XYZ, I will treat him with equal contempt....It is just my nature I cannot let a Najib running around and updating his Facebook even now.
Posted by rchi > Jun 16, 2018 06:10 PM | Report Abuse
pivotal moment....i prcctise it all the time,latest trade supermx c45,bot 23 sold 29.5 the next day. if got it right,the feeling is like a climax...haha ==========
good for you.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....