Chicken that poultry used are not local breed! They are imported breed! And imported breed needs imported feed! Yeah, surprise! This chicken only eat corn that are imported! You can feed them with local corn, but the result will be disappointing! Welcome to globalization! Once the chain are broken, things shot up! Hyperinflation and scarcity arise! Yeah, we hear about producing our own food security! So that we don't have to import chicken feed, rice, and so forth! Hello, we don't have to import cooking oil since we have more than enough crude palm! The thing is, price of crude oil nowadays are super high! As for rice, do you know we can only produce half what we demanded! Yeah, we import another half from Vietnam, Thailand and so forth! Even if we try to produce everything for the sake of our food security, we end up back to ancient times as our national revenue will drop drastically and finally we join Sri Lanka as bankrupt nation!
And then, there's the issue of middlemen! The cartels have been cornered our food supply forever! PM Sabri remove the AP but you know i know the cartels will have their way to totally corner it again in no time!
As for the dumbass who suggest using palmoil cake oil, dude, you can't replace this imported chicken breed feed! Poultry farmers would have done so decades ago! They can't! This imported chicken breed only eat imported corn!
The root cause of the problem is the chicken feed. Address the chicken feed issue by allowing/encouraging farmers to grow maize locally. There is no cornering by the alleged cartel, if you are at their position, you also don't want to do losing business continuously.
The hard facts, not only farming sector is facing the problem. You have any friends in the construction industry, you ask them how many contractors have pulled hand brake & not willing to honor the contracts. They rather let their performance bonds burned instead of continuing. They let the bond burned, they only lose the most 6 digits, they continue the contract, they will lose up to 7 digits ( not including the time wastage doing losing contract).
If we want more affordable chicken, the solution is already shown to us - just look at how supply glut on the gloves post Covid-19. During Covid-19, everyone want a slice of the cake, everyone rush to join the party because it is just too profitable. Just don't control the price, let it float. Let the poultry industry follow the glove cycle of boom & bust. Within the 6-9 months of short term suffering, the market will find the balance level. Consumer can swap to other alternative protein source the moment the poultry price become unreasonable.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
calvintaneng
56,437 posts
Posted by calvintaneng > 2022-06-06 09:42 | Report Abuse
Very simple answer just by looking at Corn (maize) price chart
Corn has gone up from Usd300 to Usd736 (Up a whopping 145%
70% of Chicken production cost comes from Corn meal
So by now chicken prices up 30% to 50% is really nothing to shout
By same yardstick in tandem to Corn price rise of 145% Chicken prices should have doubled
This is the only logical explanation.