The company profit grew at around 8% in FY18 which is a lot lower when compared to the high growth seen in FY17 and FY16 (45% and 48% respectively). This might signal the start of a lower growth rate going forward to more sustainable rate which is still good given that most companies at the moment are finding it hard to deliver growth to their shareholders.
However, at the current market cap of almost RM1.3bil and 12-month trailing profit of RM29mil, the company is already being valued at more than 44x PE. Any future potential growth would have already been price in. Assuming the company managed to deliver a profit of RM40mil in FY19 (meaning the next 3 quarter will need to achieved a profit of RM11mil/ quarter. This level of profit has only been achieved in 4Q18 and 4Q17 only) the company would still carry a high valuation of 32x PE. Some investors might be a bit too bullish on the potential growth rate going forward and will potentially be disappointed if the profit growth slows down even further.
If you are looking to diversify your portfolio outside of TMC Life (due to its relatively high valuation) I would recommend you to look at MBMR.
MBMR is a direct proxy to Perodua via its 22.6% interest in the company. Valuation is cheap at only 6.9x PE (based on target FY18 profit of RM145mil. 9m profit is already RM106mil). PB is low at only 0.7x BV. 4Q18 results is expected to be higher than 3Q18 and last year's 4Q17.
FY19 growth will be driven by the still high demand of the new Myvi and the newly launched SUV Aruz and also the newly revamp Alza in 2H19. The recent announcement of closure and potential disposal of the loss-making alloy wheel manufacturing business alone is expected to boost the company’s profit by an additional RM10mil to RM20mil. I am projecting a profit to shareholder of RM170 mil for FY19 which at the current price values MBMR at only 5.9x PE.
Please go through the analyst reports (https://klse.i3investor.com/servlets/stk/pt/5983.jsp) and do your own analysis before making any decisions. There are 8 analysts in total covering the stock with most of them having a TP of above RM3 (all have a buy rating). The average TP for the 8 analysts is around RM3.50.
This commonsense has no commonsense at all. People talk TMCLIFE here he goes talk MBMR. If you hold many MBMR is your problem la, don't come recommend it here
Don't cheat people's hard earned money who have been so faithful to your stock counter invested in years and years and yet were cheated. Karma surfaced are just a matter of appropriate days!!!
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
gogreen
236 posts
Posted by gogreen > 2019-01-25 10:38 | Report Abuse
I_investor bingo ! I'm the loser at this counter. wakakaka....