I guess the market makers is manipulating the price. If it goes up in a straight line, you and I and everyone will be making a big fortune, so that's not what they will do. My guess is they are taking profit for the recent sell off and for the same time to make you and everybody sell. When you are puzzled, panic and throwing your share, that's the time they will pick it up and push up the price. For me, I will wait, if they manage to push it down to ~1.70 or below, I will start buying down. That's my two cents and you have to decide for yourself.
Yup, I still maintain my medium term target at 2.50. As you can see GENETEC is going through transformation from a counter that was heavily manipulated before it's 10 to 1 consolidation process and move all the way to become a more diversified profit making company, with reasonable dividends and organic growth. Of course I can't deny there are still sharks swimming in the pool, which is very obvious to everyone. Yet, with the current result, which is amongst its best performance if you would go through all it's previous quarters, the lower they push, the better price we will get. That's why I hope the market makers can push down some more so that I can sweep the shares over. What I guess is they would most probably maintain the price at 1.7-1.8, do the collection and later push up. And my 2.50 (or even 3.00) target will be realistic, particularly if GENETEC can give us better results or at least maintain its performance for another one or two quarters.
GENETEC – Target price 256 to 284 based on estimated FY 2019 EPS of 28.45 Sen (YTD FY 2019 EPS 23.26 Sen) using PE range 9 to 10.
Fantastic corporate profit record for Q3 with a net profit of RM4.991 mil (with EPS 12.42 Sen) attributable to shareholders and 9 mths YTD net profit of RM 9.346 mil (with EPS 23.26 Sen) A dividend of 2.5 Sen was declared making YTD interim dividend in total of 5 Sen,
Target price 256 to 284 based on estimated FY 2019 EPS of 28.45 Sen (YTD FY 2019 EPS 23.26 Sen) using PE range 9 to 10. I am expecting Q4 to be moderate as the Directors of the Group anticipate that the Group will achieve satisfactory performance for the remaining quarter.
The Company has announced yesterday it has secured contracts of RM46.1 mil comprising RM32.5 for automotive and RM 13.5 for Semicon, electronic and HDD for FY 2020 , see attached announcement. Market talk is another contract of RM40 mil could be finalised in due course.
I have stated in my earlier posting You cannot judge Genetic performance Q on Q as its business model involved design (for acceptance by customers), construction and installation of industrial system and equipment for its clients in HDD and Automotive industries which take 6 to 12 mths from design to completion and billing.
Review of 9 mths YTD FY 2019 vs 9 mths YTD FY 2018 (9 months period ended 30 Sept) For the YTD 31 Dec FY 2019, the Group recorded a revenue of RM82.8 mil compared to RM72.0 mil for YTD FY 2018, which is an increase of 15%. Gross profit margin has increased to 21.3% compared to 18.4% for 2018.
The Group recorded a net tax (PAT after Non-controlling interest) of RM9.426 mil for the YTD FY 2019 as compared to RM3.702 mil in the corresponding 9 mths for period ended 31 Dec 2018, an increase of 255. The increase in profit was mainly attributable to improved operational efficiency. Refer to Excel Table Attached.
REVIEW OF PERFORMANCE Q3
For the current quarter ended 31 December 2018, the Group recorded a revenue of RM34.5 million, an increase of 25.5% or RM7.0 million as compared to a revenue of RM27.5 million recorded in the preceding corresponding quarter ended 31 December 2017. The Group recorded a net profit before tax of RM5.1 million for the current quarter under review as compared to a net profit before tax of RM3.7 million in the preceding corresponding quarter ended 31 December 2017.The increase in net profit before tax was mainly due to higher sales volume achieved and improved operational efficiency.
Genetec has a strong balance sheet with a nil net gearing. Its current assets is RM73.7 mil compared to current liabilities of RM 26.1mil. Its Share Capital is RM62.2 mil making up of 40.2 mil shares with a net asset of 191 Sen per share.
People already forgotten one so called sifu recommended this many years ago. Fried high then crashed! So many still licking the wounds. So make sure you are not the last man( or woman) standing if it happens again!
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Guys Nice View
122 posts
Posted by Guys Nice View > 2018-11-19 08:02 | Report Abuse
Really bo rojakmee