Presently, and mindful of the 10% free-float rule, investors in GEH are concerned that the purchase price on June 19 is at a significant discount to GEH’s embedded value of $37.81 per share in FY2022. This, in turn is 2% lower than FY2021’s $38.57.
Embedded value is the sum of the value of In-Force Business and the value of the adjusted Shareholders’ Funds. The value of the In-Force Business is calculated using cash flow assumptions for future operating experience and are discounted at a risk-adjusted discount rate. The value of the In-Force Business varies from traditional DCF methods to arrive at an NPV because the risk-adjusted discount rate and allowance for the cost of holding statutory reserves for risk are approximates.
The economic value of one year’s new business rose by 7.1% y-o-y in FY2022 to $860.4 million. However, shareholders’ equity fell by 6% to $9,431.4 million.
The closer OCBC’s stake gets to 90%, the stronger the likelihood of compulsory acquisition by OCBC
Firstly, even after fair and reasonable, it also have to meet threshold of 75% valid acceptance. Then for compulsory acquisition, is 90% of independent shareholder.
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation (OCBC) has issued a response to the letter sent by the Securities Investors Association Singapore (SIAS) on June 21.
In its letter, SIAS posed six questions pertaining to OCBC’s decision to stick to its original offer price of $25.60 per Great Eastern (GEH) share, key factors that led to the offer price, and more.
In its response dated June 27, OCBC explains that it already considered the “methodology, analysis and opinion” of its independent financial adviser (IFA), EY, before making the offer.
“We note the IFA, following the detailed analysis it has undertaken, had considered the traded multiples of comparable companies across various metrics, versus the multiples implied by our offer,” said the bank, adding that its offer price represented a 36.9% premium to GEH’s last-traded price the day before its privatisation announcement on May 10.
The letter, dated June 27, comes after GEH’s free float fell below the regulatory 10% on June 24.
“We further note that the IFA has opined that the offer is not fair but reasonable and has advised the independent GEH directors to recommend that GEH shareholders accept our offer and the independent GEH directors have concurred with the IFA’s recommendation,” continues the release.
Looks like by the time the deadline for the exchange arrives, Great Eastern would already be swallowed by OCBC & the original agreement has to be significantly amended to reflect the much enlarged cash pile & the corresponding reduction in the equity asset column.
Don't think Sg Bagan will allow OCBC to buy over GE shares from Kuchai. Already 90%+ of Kuchai's shareholders voted in favour of the resolution so there is no turning back unless there is another resolution to overrule the earlier resolution. I think OCBC needs to negotiate with Sg Bagan and not Kuchai. As it stands, Sg Bagan got the upper hand and not Kuchai. Just my opinion.
But the proposed acquisition approved by resolution has not gone through at least till Oct 26th at the earliest while Kuchai is still in Great Eastern's register as the owner of 3,032,000 of its shares so how can OCBC be buying from SBagan more than its own 1.73 mil shares?
There must be a good reason why they pushed it so far forward to 29 Oct when the closing date to accept the OCBC offer is 12 July. Is there a hidden message? Read between the lines.
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation’s offer for Great Eastern Holdings G07 0.00% closed at 5.30pm on July 12. OCBC now holds 93.52% of GEH. On June 25, OCBC’s ownership crossed 90%. As a result, GEH shares will be suspended on Monday July 15.
Accordingly, the offer is no longer open for acceptance and any acceptances received after 5.30 p.m. (Singapore time) on 12 July 2024 will be rejected. However, shareholders who have not accepted the offer can still require the offeror to acquire their shares at the offer price pursuant to Section 215(3) of the Companies Act.
This says the transferee or offeror must, within one month from the date of the transfer, give notice to holders of the remaining shares that haven’t been tendered, that they can still tender their shares, and OCBC will have to accept them
The date of transfer refers to the date on which OCBC’s shareholding crossed 90%, on June 25. On July 24, OCBC will likely be announcing that GEH shareholers can still accept the offer at $25.60 per share and this offer will be open for three months from July 24.
OCBC group CEO Helen Wong unveiled a One Group strategy last year. GEH is likely to be part of that strategy. Interestingly, analysts have pointed out that OCBC doesn't charge GEH any bancassurance fees as these are not indicated in its annual report. In 2019, United Overseas Bank U11 0.03% and Prudential renewed a bancassurance agreement for 15 years for $1.5 billion over the course of the 15 years.
The notice did not mention the ex-date for taking over the assets and liabilities of Kuchai. Even if Sg Bagan doesn't sell the GEH shares to OCBC, it's still a valuable shares to hold. For long term, I think Sg Bagan's share should fly.🤞
Lessons from OCBC’s offer for Great Eastern: be unafraid to hold out, but do so with eyes open Earn dividends from shares that are suspended from trading and wait for a richer future offer
Leslie Yee Leslie Yee Published Tue, Jul 16, 2024 ·
On July 24, OCBC will likely be announcing that GEH shareholders can still accept the offer at $25.60 per share and this offer will be open for three months from July 24.
There is still hope that after the kuchai SBagan swap deal...
SBagan can still sell the Great Eastern shares to OCBC within the three months
Great Eastern, though suspended, has announced a fantastic set of results & an improved dividend of 45c per share payable in a month, so I believe the two sister companies should benefit.
KUALA LUMPUR (June 26): The cut-off date for the proposed disposal of Kuchai Development Bhd’s (KL:KUCHAI) assets and liabilities to Sungei Bagan Rubber Company (KL:SBAGAN) in return for a 29.37% stake in Sungei Bagan has been extended by four months to October 29.
The two companies on Wednesday signed a supplemental letter for the extension, according to Kuchai and Sungei Bagan's filings with the stock exchange, which did not specify the reason for the extension.
Delisted share maybe big problem for sg Bagan, I still holding shares of Ytl land, nstp just to name a few..no dividends even annual report for delisted Share holders.
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Zhlim014
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Posted by Zhlim014 > 2024-06-20 12:45 | Report Abuse
We not sure whether ocbc will give that fair and reasonable price on delisting day. If no have, means share suspension