As a conglomerate and major businesses overseas that includes hotels, automobile and plantation, there is always effect from foreign currency movements including restructuring effects of the group. Looks for management, cash flow and business prospects of the group. Also NTA/net cash holding as a safety margin in a prolong economic downturn that will affect many industry.
This stock come to my attention after recent QR release. And i am wondering, why this company stock price is staying low even with high recurring income and huge pile of cash on hand. After reading Annual report from 2019 to 2023, i have come to a conclusion below. 1. The company revenue has shrunken. This is especially on automotive segment which used to be ORiental cash-cow business. Especially on Singapore market, revenue from 2.3billion(2019) dropped to 700mil(2023). Profit also fell from 292mil to 159mil. This is due to high competition from other car brands especially EVs. Numbers of Honda cars sold are dropping, shared in the annual report. 2. The revenue and profits in 2022 and 2023 is supported by plantation business thanks to CPO price surge high and as long as CPO price above $3500. 3. The past few years profits was good because of disposal hotel in Australia. in 2022, disposal gain 200m and recent Q1Y24, another disposal gain of 200m.
I do not own this stock, just did my due diligence study before investing in this stock as this stock really attract dividend investor like myself. Since this company has huge pile of cash, I hope the board of director will make new move to expand their business.
Please share with me if my interpretation is wrong. I am still very keen to invest in this company if there is good points that i missed out.
Investing in this company, with strong asset backing, diversified business locally and regionally with net cash of more than 2 billion is very hard to go wrong. Sometime you unlock value of assets and realise a subtantial profit is not a bad move especially if is a old hotel that has low occupancy and reguires substantial cost for refurbishment. After a restructuring of the major shareholding in the company, I suspect things will be much better going forward. Also their dividend policy now is much much better than prior years,
Now that it already ex-dividend, with no more coming for more than 4 months, I think it will go down to at least 6.50 in the next few days. I myself already EXIT-ed yesterday @ $6.87 after bagging the latest dividend, refusing to be trapped like I was for 8 years from 2014-2022!
Possible. Even Lysaght with cash 97 mil also could declare 35 sen dividend. Oriental with cash more than 3 billion could easily declare more than 0.35 sen.
See Lysaght can move up very easily. Limited floats in open market. I just hold a miserable few lots.Should have acquired more after the bonus 11 for 10 last time.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
virgogo
143 posts
Posted by virgogo > 2024-06-01 14:44 | Report Abuse
As a conglomerate and major businesses overseas that includes hotels, automobile and plantation, there is always effect from foreign currency movements including restructuring effects of the group. Looks for management, cash flow and business prospects of the group. Also NTA/net cash holding as a safety margin in a prolong economic downturn that will affect many industry.