Posted by StartOfTheBull > Oct 12, 2023 9:01 AM | Report Abuse Jaks coming QR is expected to be better
Coming quarter is expected to be Q to Q drop due to RM12.69M of LTIP expenses will only be charged to Q3 2023 under other operating, administrative expenses.
It is the fact that the collection problems has been deteriorating from one year to another.
This can be evident from the audited reports where the impairment for trade receivable has been increased to 17.5% representing RM 48m+++ in 2021 from 14% representing RM 41m++ in 2020
whereas non-trade receivables, it can be evident from the audited report where the impairment for non- trade receivable has been increased to 35 % representing RM 66m++ in 2021 from 28 % representing RM 41m++ in 2020.
It is expected the impairment will be even higher in 2022 and 2023
The debt to equity ratio is " healthy " in disguise due to its massive share capital of 2.9 b . The massive share capital has basically been built up through issuance of warrants , PP and RI over the years with the agenda to keep the debt to equity ratio low as a means of window dressing.
However , it is believed that investor including the existing shareholders are no longer fooled to invest into the company through their further issuance of warrants , PP and RI and likewise the lenders are no longer keen to provide funding irrespective how " healthy " the Debt to Equity ratio shows. Thats why the company is faced with difficulties to raise fund be it internally or externally from now.
The proposed DRP is really a mockery to the investors. Dividend declared to you but no physical payment. The investors are believed to be very pissed with this proposal. Fundamentally speaking, the investors are looking for two things in their investment returns. First is the " Dividend" and second is the " Capital gain through appreciation of share price ".
As at now , No physical delivery of dividend , No appreciation of capital gain but capital loss , on top of all things , the company is appealing to investor to pump in more investment through PP and RI. Do you really believe that the investors are keen to continue to support the company ? Basically , the investors have lost confidence in this company.
From your posting, the share of JV profits is shown to be reducing in the interim which signifies that the projects are near completion if not completed. For this reason, the cash inflows should have been improved with the collection and return of retention .Why is the cashflows still depleting fast and furious? The proposed DRP and time extension of PP tell it whole.
Referring to the proposed DRP , basically, the company is telling the whole world that they would declare " Dividend" but they are unable to pay . They are insinuating that they are cash stricken . They dont have " hard cash" to pay ie no physical payment of Dividend but merely for accounting purposes. Their reason given to you is that the company is in need of fund as working capital to fund the oversea projects.
To put it another way, the company is severely faced with difficulties to raise funding be it external funding ( the external borrowing to date stands at RM 600m and needless to mention PP and RI . RI is out of the question given the bad shape of the company. The only option left is PP. Even For the recent PP, despite it is not sizable , the company still finds it difficult to raise as a result of which desperate time extension is sought to complete the PP. so pathetic. More to reveal.
Faced with serious cash stricken,it is expected that another cash call via Right Issue (RI) would be raised in order to subscribe for additional 10% ownership interest in JHDP which costs around USD50 - 55 millions (RM230 - 250 millions) under option.
Given the pathetic current share price ,Do you really believe that the existing shareholders would exercise the option by taking up the RI even though the payback is 5 years with handsome profit?
With the current MV of 0.21 which has been stagnant with no sign of growths , majority of the existing shareholders are said to be pissed off with the company for their huge capital loss suffered and likely to refuse to subscribe for the RI in protest.
On the other hand,the material litigation with star is yet to be over. It remains to be seem if the company could win the case or not in the Federal court.it is said the chance of winning is to be 50: 50.
MV= P/E ratio x EPS. For Jaks , PE is approximately 15 and EPS is about 2.5 on average so MV should be RM 0.375 . but why is it still bloody stagnant at 0.20-0.21?
The current reflection of share price of 0.21 can only be interpreted as " pathetic" due to its poor demand where most investors have ditched/sidelined this counter for the obvious reason(s).
Despite of of massive Accumulated Profit : 343,661,000, Jaks has never rewarded its investors with dividend. It even has proposed DRP to avoid payment of dividend and use DRP as a lame excuse of reserving the fund for investments. What investments are they referring to ? Basically ,all are building castle in the air. No parties are keen to join with them for future developments given their pathetic shape.
No matter how the promoters to hype on jaks to win the argument swith gibberish or what , the investors are not gullible to be drawn and are more than capable of discerning what is nonsensical and otherwise.
No dividend payout in the past and the proposed DRP are the demonstration of cash stricken with which the company has been faced since inception .No wonder they have been relying on RR and RI to raise fund for their projects as a result of which the share capital has been ballooning to 2.5 b as at to date. External borrowing appears to be out of the question in view of its pathetic financial situtation.
The low gearing is basically a " disguise " due to the difficulty in raising external borrowing and enormous increase in share capital through RR and RI over the years since outset.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Sslee
7,190 posts
Posted by Sslee > 2023-10-12 09:14 | Report Abuse
Posted by StartOfTheBull > Oct 12, 2023 9:01 AM | Report Abuse
Jaks coming QR is expected to be better
Coming quarter is expected to be Q to Q drop due to RM12.69M of LTIP expenses will only be charged to Q3 2023 under other operating, administrative expenses.