I am hoping that other knowledgeable researchers like Icon8888, FAIRnREASONABLE, Calvintaneng n others can look into these two counters and give their views.
TA owns substantial amount of assets overseas and with the weakening of RM (though they have debts in USD) are actually better for TA and TAGB and these appreciations in value are not reflected in the books.
Fabien Extraordinate, u r right. It is wrong that the market says TA n TAGB is having currency exchange losses when the Ringgit depreciates as what has been happening currently.
Let us take an example,
A hotel in Australia. Bought at AUD200mil a few years back ( when Ex Rate was at A$1 : RM2.80). Paid by A$60mil cash n A$140mil loan. The net asset value is A$60mi = RM168mil
Ringgit had depreciated badly since then. The exchange rate today (A$1 : RM3.35). The nest asset value is A$60mil = RM201mil.
The depreciation of Ringgit has actually benefited TA n TAGB. The net worth of the Aussie hotel has actually increased from RM160mil to RM201mil.
It's merely the disparity arising from accounting treatments, TA and TAGB are required to recognise the losses from their foreign currency denominated loans whereas nothing is required to be done on the assets.
Bang on right. Low profits are declared or in some quarters there are losses. But internally the company continues to grow. Most investors dont know, sell down the counter to peanuts in value. I notice management try to give good hints, like in mid 2016 Datin Alicia gave a press statement declaring that trump vancouver sales will largely be shown on financial ending 2016 report (quarterly report announcement at end Feb 2017), but investors are not showing much interest, thus the low price. It is typical of most investors to chase a counter after the price already move up a lot, with high volume. By then too it is already too late.
Why not take some of both. Reason being in case TA decide to sell stock broking business, u can expect to receive something (whatever they hand out, cash and tagb shares maybe). On the other hand if they list a hospitality reit again you can get something through TAGB shares.
The FY16 Q1 and Q2 results of TAGB was not good because a few of its hotels underwent major renovations. The renovation costs were charged out as expenses and hence affected the results. Q3 results was back to normal and we are waiting for Q4 results now and expecting that to be good with the profits from the Vancouver project. I personally think that its results for next year will continue to be good after the hotel renovations which may attract more hotel guests and F&B sales.
Professor has completed R&D on TA! Professor would like to officially issue a BUY Call on TA! Buy on any weakness! With TP at 0.57/0.59 in 3 months from now! (10% and 14% ROI respectively from the current price at 0.515)
Singh 1, thks for your link for the proposed Little Bay Cove land sales. This is a positive news to both TA and TAGB. The proposed land sales will help TA n TAGB to realise its profit immediately.
Based on the 2015 Annual Report, the land is carried in the book at RM417.1mil. (After minus out the land used for Illume (Phase 2) development.
If the land can be sold at A$280mil (RM961.2mil), the profit from this disposal will be RM544.1mil. The profit is about 130% from the amount stated in the accounts.
Like what I said earlier, almost all the properties of TA n TAGB are situated in very prime locations. Its Little Bay Cove land is one the last few suburb development land remaining in southeastern side of Sydney. We had also seen that the NTA (net tangible assets) of TA n TAGB are highly underestimated with the 130% profit just to sell the land. Some of its properties like KLCC land, hotels in Sydney, Melbourne, Singapore and China have the actual present market values more than 3 times the net book values in the accounts.
Singh 1, the positive side of the possible sale are profit can be realised immediatelyand the debt gearing can be brought down to make the counter more attractive. TAGB has many properties and selling one or two pieces to make the balance sheet more attractive may be a good move.
With the completion of Vancouver project and planned sales of Little Bay Cove land, Tiah junior may concentrate on developing its Malaysian landbank and managing the 7 hotels TAGB owned worldwide. The Damansara Avenue project, KLCC land, Bukit Bintang land and Dutamas project will require his leadership to uplock their values. The 7 hotels also need his supervision to increase their yields as mentioned by Tiah junior in an interview last year.
Professor would like to congratulate for those who have followed on earlier professor's buy call,,, 10% profit with TP 0.57 is achieved today, cheers! And professor is confident on the next TP 0.59 with 14% profit is able to be materialize,, stay tune!
A well received n successful project in international level. However, the local investors had valued TAGB as "stone" when it is actually "gold". The price is dirt cheap n extremely undervalued. The price had dropped from RM0.48 during IPO to RM0.34 now.
I'm still holding 400 lots (400,000) TA shares at 0,475. Don't feel like TP at 0.63. Most Malaysians have extremely low holding powers. You guys should wait until 1.00 or higher. Unable to hold stocks for longer term with temptation of "in and out" is the main factor of losing money in the stock market.
We can only find this kind of cheap sales in Bursa Malaysia. We can not find this mispricing in other part of the world. Malaysian investors are not sophiscated enough and they see this piece of gold as stone.
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Posted by singh1 > 2017-01-13 19:06 | Report Abuse
Wonderful research and comments. Thank you sifu.