the coal price has dropped low enough (after limit down for almost 10 days) due to china govt intervention. After this is over which is imminent, other commodity price will recover
So good should make million. At least I made my million in KLSE. There are many readers in I3 made million in 2020. Result speaks louder and clearer.
Shouting loud in I3 will not guarantee you make money in KLSE. Shouting loud does not guarantee you are right. Shouting loud does not guarantee you will win.
World largest Steel maker peak at 13th sept 2021 rm11.84 and now drop like golek sampai kaki bukit at Rmb6.80 only in less thaann 2 mths. So scary Correct?
Coal and iron ore are raw material required in steel production. Cheaper raw material will reduce the production cost. Steel price drops, the profit margin is still the same or better if the drop in the raw material cost is more than the drop in the steel price. Shouting loud does not guarantee you will win.
hi OTB, if steel price drops, how about the existing inventory price, does it go down also or they can still sell at higher price? you will have 1-2 months of inventory that is done using high prices, will buyers want to buy that inventory or wait for lower prices to do their contract purchases?
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Posted by OTB > Nov 2, 2021 12:44 PM | Report Abuse
Coal and iron ore are raw material required in steel production. Cheaper raw material will reduce the production cost. Steel price drops, the profit margin is still the same or better if the drop in the raw material cost is more than the drop in the steel price. Shouting loud does not guarantee you will win.
World total production of steel in 2020 = 1.878 billion MT World total consumption of steel in 2020 = 1.772 billion MT China reduced 30% production of steel from now until 15/3/2022 = 400 million MT US government spent USD2.2 trillion to implement infrastructure projects required at least 110 million MT of steel. EU and G7 leaders to implement B3W initiative required a lot of steel, I cannot quantify the usage.
Overall there is great demand of steel in the world especially in US, EU, G7 and China. Not even 1 country can fill up the vacuum of supply once China reduced steel production by 400 million MT. China reduced production of steel by 30% will affect Chinese steel stocks because of lower PAT. This action will bring more benefits to all steel stocks in the world.
Malaysian steel stocks will benefit the most because Alliance Steel and Eastern Steel S/B will sell more steel to China because they are actually China companies. The production of steel is shifted from China to Malaysia.
Thank you.
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ValueInvestor888
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Posted by ValueInvestor888 > 2021-11-02 11:32 | Report Abuse
the coal price has dropped low enough (after limit down for almost 10 days) due to china govt intervention. After this is over which is imminent, other commodity price will recover