The US first slapped a 10% tariff on furniture imports from China in September last year. The tariff has been raised to 25% since June 2019 and will be further increased to 30% from December. As furniture exports from Malaysia are spared the tariff, this translates to a tremendous price advantage for Malaysian furniture. Home grown furniture maker, homeriz has manage to sign on 8 new US customers so far in 2019. Malaysia furniture exports is expected to grow by 6.1% to US$2.7bil (RM11.3bil) in 2019, accelerating from a 3.1% growth rate registered in 2018.
The quarterly earnings results is expected to be released this week. Hopeful of an excellent one and push the price significantly upwards, I'm with all of Homeriz believers here.
KYY golden rule 2:- Never buy down trend because you don’t know when the price will go higher than your cost for you to sell to make profit. Always buy up trend because you know the price will continue to go higher and you can sell to make money.
Entered back into HOMERIZ-WB at RM 0.22, WB premium as compared to mother share is now around its all time low of 6-7%.
Logic of trade: 1) Homeritz WB premium (7%) is at much lower discount with over 2 years to maturity over Homeritz WA premium (32%) with less than 1 year to maturity. This is illogical. 2) Homeritz WB premium hovering its all time low, indicating safe entry. Average premium over its lifespan so far is 15% 3) Homeritz mother share technically looking pretty, broke out of 2 year trendline resistance with good volume 4) Homeritz mother share fundamentally sound. 0 debt, cash rich, one of the lowest valuation vs its peers in PE-ex cash term and USDMYR in 3rd Q higher than 1H 2019 indicating potentially better Q3 performance 5) Spring Art upcoming IPO brings back interest into the furniture sector, making people look & realise Homeritz undervaluation vs its peers.
WB at 24c, mother at 74c... premium 5%, not logical. Seen it and called it before when WB listed, takes time for market to digest but it will be efficient in d end.
Pohhuat and Pohuat-WB trading at discount despite still have 1 year validity. Homeritz-WB although is newly listed, but it have only 3 year validity.
Compared to Pohhuat, Homeritz even have higher dividend yield, therefore, lower premium on WB is fair to compensate for absent of entitlement on dividend
@wsk20 Agreed. Based on the previous high of 0.3, when mother was 0.73 - let's just be conservative and split the difference, and say WB only has halfway to go - that is 0.27. Add in expectation of better results - should have more room to run over next few days until QR is out.Good luck to all holders.
hng33 i get ur point on dividend, but i believe Homeriz - WA at its lowest, have around 20% premium in its lifetime! WB 5% now is just way too low!
I also like Pohuat, and just like Homeriz I think they're under appreciated by the market. But Homeriz has 0 debt and double digit profit margin. If u take EX-CASH PE ratio, Homeriz valuation is also very similar to Pohuat.
Only worry about Homeriz is that its revenue growth is shrinking but according to the discussion in the link above, I heard they recently secured new orders from the US.
iceberg, last time i entered WB at 0.138, took profit around 0.28. Can see image proof in my profile in stock bit haha
This one abit more risky cos no one knows what will happen in the upcoming QR, but so far we know that owner n wife sold off their warrant to buy little bit of mother share, and usdmyr this jun-sept 2019 is stronger than last year usdmyr jun-sept, so lets pray for the best.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
MK76
950 posts
Posted by MK76 > 2019-10-23 08:06 | Report Abuse
Liiminvest, you very confident with Homeriz even after two days pump down?