Prime57: As a investor, the value of the stock is so attractive that almost provide high dividend yield, there is a buy for the price RM1.10, but if the people still throwing away JCY tomorrow that mean u have to grab more as it is more attractive. That is my own opinion
Any explain here mostly is just a guess, but very attractive dividend yield now with the price is the FACT
Yus7888: Ive a question.. should i keep holding JCY-CI? if im not mistaken the CW will due this December. i bought that day 0.21 x 50k... just bought JCY yesterday 1.35...
Despite the sharp drop, JCY and Cybert are two different situations. With Cybert, there was absolutely no real reason for it to shoot up from 30-something or so sen to 2.00. It went up with a very shaky base and the drop wasn't really a surprise although the sharpness and swiftness of this were.
JCY's rise over the last few months was justified, especially with that brilliant quarter when it benefited from Thailand's floods. The TP of 2.00 was actually viable... if it could maintain the performance. But it couldn't. Its immediate price will be determined on how investors see its potential for the current quarter. Year-on-Year, JCY is doing better so far. However, the TP has to be changed. I think there will be a rebound - a mild one, until people figure it out.
hehe MAt is right lah this counter aint no cybert lah but today sure drop like cybert lah! lesson ( I cannot remember what no :) ) dun catch a falling knife.
If I'm holding the CW - I'll start to de-leverage if there is any rebound / chance. It is not about making money with that profile, it is more on preserving capital.
No offense to JCY-CW investors - my personal opinion only & it can be wrong. Got no interest in tech related counters.
Just my friendly advice keep holding JCY-CI, u will not get any income by holding JCY-CI, it is just a paper issue by Investment Bank and most of the Investment Bank is TA player
A investor type like me, it is not a good step to buy JCY-CI as an investment.
If i m in your boat, i have no choice but buy more to average the JCY-CI price, since the atmosphere being PANIC
Believe the sharp drop in price is the work of financial institutions that had issued call warrants .It is it their interest to keep JCY price depressed so that they can pocket the price premiums on maturity date.On fundamentals, no reason for such a low price. For three quarters already already earned 29 sens per share. Basing on PER of 5, price should be 1.45, and that is only based on 9 months earnings.
I believed what klugman said and it create chain effect causing force selling on those using margin acct. When the force selling over, we will see the price gapping up!
Having browse thru JCY latest qtrly reports, JCY maintains almost the same revenue as last qtr. The lower profit was due mainly to a higher cost of sale incurred, of which labour cost hike was being stated as the main cause. I believe market will eventually come to realize this.
With its past 4 qtr results, @1.12 JCY is trading @PE of 5. @PE 6, JCY should be trading @1.34. Just my simple calculation.
prime57 - That's tough to answer and it's also dangerous to give opinions which people might act on... unless if it turn out to be correct:-) Only time will tell with this one. So, remember - this is just my opinion, and I've been wrong so many times before.
If it's of any comfort, I'm actually eyeing the warrants, including CI. I have to check in The Edge tomorrow about its present premium (or discount). One good thing about it is the strike price of 1.25 which isn't that far away. If there's a rebound, that will be easily reached.
But the minus are: 1) expires 17/12/12, which is less than 4 months away. 2) Mother share is in a downtrend 3) Possibility of mother and warrants going down further
Your buy price at 0.21 - perhaps it's a bit late to cut loss. In that case, you will have to try and make the best out of the situation. Sell now and you *will* make a significant loss. But the worst is *probably* over - even if it slides further, it will not be like the panic we have seen today. So, if you hold on, and if there's a rebound, the loss will be significantly less. Consider averaging down by buying at the lower price. BUT - and I emphasise this - do this only when it is going up. If not, you will end up with TWO buys with losses (instead of just one).
Today Maybank recommend to sell JCY. In the report it said that JCY made a major wave 5 high at RM 1.65 (on 3 May 2012) with grossly overbought and bearish divergent signals. Due to all its negative chart signals, the indicators are pointing firmly to a move towards its support and downside target areas in the short term. Downside target RM 1.07.
@rookiemy - Your analysis makes sense. I think JCY is grossly oversold and a rebound, regardless of whether it is mild or better - looks more likely than it sliding down much further. Don't forget that the last quarter didn't report a loss but actually profits. It's just that it wasn't as good as the previous one. Remember, too, that it's a vast improvement of the y-o-y quarter which was a loss. It's possible the next quarter might report even lower profits. But financial year-wise, its balance sheet will still be in the plus.
As for its operations, I'm sure management is already taking steps to ensure that its lines and workforce are efficiently used, taking into account the projected lower demand for HDD parts. I don't think that it will be lower than 1.00... unless if major shareholders dump their shares.
At this level, JCY is worth the risk and I think 1.40 is achievable although I might have to wait until the end of the year or a bit later. Too bad I didn't come in at Namoyaki's price of 1.08. But at least I have the option of first seeing what happens tomorrow:-)
I hope it just a case of someone wants to get rid JCY asap from his portfolio at any price. and hope other shark collect and push it to normal price again.
Anyway, what happen today to JCY is really unusual. I never expect this kind of thing will happen
its institutional play la. that sort of volume! not getting rid of JCY from portfolio! already said seen this sort in penny stocks especially. klugman made sense, if there is a call warrant!
Steven: Thanks very much. This very information in one screen has helped a lot. Usually, I'd be with a calculator with all those dreary ratios and whatnots.
Where is the super rich guy whose will buy all the free float shares from market ? May be this is the golden opportunity. What if Lamken never dispose all his shares, now he may loss his pant also.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
prime57
9 posts
Posted by prime57 > 2012-08-23 20:34 | Report Abuse
could anyone can explain and review what will happen tomorrow?