Since January, 9 Investment Banks have researched Affin Bank. All 9 banks have given a SELL target price, yet Affin continues to climb due to the Sarawak intention to buy. In my opinion this is an unhealthy hype that will drop sharply after the purchase is finalised.
Contrary to certain views. Most anaylst{s} believed and expect banking stocks to drive the KLCI I 2024. Banking stocks constitute 20% of the KLCi index. In addition foreign funds looking to invest in the market are most likely to make a go in this sector. Banks have displayed resilience and achieved solid earnings in the recent qtr earning result. Not a buy call but repost a review by Kenny Yee of Rakutrade. Another senior equity analyst concurred with his views and cited renewed optimism on the market. Please do your own research before you buy or invest
I bought just 1 lot of this in May '18 @ $2.51 to attend AGM. Just managed to attend 2 in '18 & '19, enjoying 2 sumptuous dinner buffets in Royale Chulan KL. Can sell now but think I'll wait for $3 at least.
precedent transactions involving the acquisition of financial institutions listed in Malaysia PBRs (Price-to-book ratio) ranging from 0.93 times to 2.35 times over the last 15 years from 2007 are as follows:
2013 Bank Islam Malaysia Berhad BIMB Holdings Berhad 1.88
2008 Bank Muamalat Malaysia Berhad DRB-Hicom Berhad 2.15
2018 Asian Finance Bank Berhad MBSB 1.30
2013 Hwang DBS Affin Holdings 1.28
2012 OSK Investment Bank Berhad RHB Capital Berhad 1.77
2012 ECM Libra Investment Bank Berhad Kenanga Investment Bank Berhad 1.27
2011 RHB Capital Berhad Aabar Investments 2.35
2011 EON Capital Berhad Hong Leong Bank Berhad 1.42
2008 EON Capital Berhad Primus Pacific Partners 2.21
2008 RHB Capital Berhad Abu Dhabi Commercial Bank 2.18
2007 Affin Holdings Bank of East Asia 1.30
2007 MIDF PNB 0.93
2007 RHB Capital Berhad Employees Provident Fund of Malaysia 1.76
2007 AMMB Holdings Berhad Australia and New Zealand Banking Group 1.29
Simple approval but BNM or Sarawak{ Abang Johari } not agreeable on certain clause. BNM reports to MOF. Anwar is the PM and Minister of Finance. Very strange
Today’s The Edge Weekly newsprint “ Premier : Sarawak expects to ink S&P on Affin Bank deal in a month “
It’s reported that they need to sort out some minor technical regulatory process . There’s indication it will be finalised within one month . Sarawak has been given conditional approval on June 12 but there are certain technicalities that they have to furnish to Bank Negara. “… I can’t give examples of the technicalities to you, but it is minor , very minor “ Abang Jo said.
KUALA LUMPUR: The deal to increase the Sarawak Government's shareholding from the Armed Forces Fund Board (LTAT), which is the largest shareholder of Affin Bank, is expected to be fully finalised within a month.
The Premier of Sarawak, Datuk Patinggi Tan Sri (Dr) Abang Abdul Rahman Zohari Tun Datuk Abang Openg said that the process of increasing the block of shares in the bank to about 30 from the current 4.8 percent is currently awaiting final approval from Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM).
According to him, BNM had previously given approval involving the acquisition of additional shares in Affin Bank by the Sarawak Government from LTAT on 12 June.
"However, at this time there are three 'minor' matters that need to be finalised in order to proceed with this share purchase agreement after obtaining the necessary regulatory approval," he said.
He said this in a joint press conference with UKAS and TVS after witnessing the signing ceremony of the Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) between the Sarawak Government and LTAT at the Menara Affin Auditorium here on Friday.
In the event, the Premier of Sarawak witnessed the signing of the MoU between the Sarawak Financial Secretary, Dato Sri Dr. Wan Lizozman Wan Omar and Chief Executive of LTAT, Mohammad Ashraf Md Radzi.
Speaking at the same press conference, the Premier of Sarawak said, the Sarawak Government will not interfere in any control over the operation of Affin Bank after the matter is fully finalized later.
He insisted that the state government has no interest or any form of involvement in the management or administration of Affin Bank.
"When we have a shareholding, of course we have a representative on the Board of Directors of Affin Bank and our representative will make recommendations, we (the Sarawak Government) will not interfere.
"Any business decision made by Affin Bank is entirely the responsibility of the Board of Directors and the bank's management," he said.
NUBE is the union of workers in Malaysia commercial banks { clerical staffs and non clerical workers} excluding executive officers who have a separate union. NUBE has started picketing over stalled negotiations
Affin banking group has a total of 115 bank offices operating in Malaysia. Out of the 115 only 4 branch office`s in Sabah plus another 4 in Sarawak. Tremendous scope for Affin to expand is reach in the 2 Borneo states. Sarawak and Sabah once was dominant in their own turf having household names like Hock Hua Bank, Bank Utama, Wah Tat Bank, Miri commercial bank, Bian Chiang bank, Kwong Lee Bank and Kong Min Bank. Even UOB {Founder Wee} started his initial banking group in Sarawak. Sarawak is a rich state but through the bank consolidation and merger. The land of the hornbills has lost all the above regional banks
If Affin bank goes bankrupt, 32million tax payers money will be used to bail out the bank, with the excuse police retirement fund is affected. And this has happen so many time in the past 20 years. Bousted is army retirement fund
Without prejudice. All the 9 banking institution group is govern and under the strict supervision of BNM { unlike the late 90's where the banking industry before the meger and consolidation initiated by MOF and BNM. The current institution share holder{s} group of AFFIN consist of LTAT {28%} that is Armed Forces pension fund, Bank of East Asia {24%} Hong Kong listed companies and a long time strategic investor, Boustead Holdings holds 20% and our local KWSP holds around 5%. Other insurance, IB's, unit trusts and Glic link companies holds betw 2 %-3 %. Not forgetting Sarawak State owned incorporated corporation recently acquired 3% of Affin banking group. Not much of a free float if you really digest their shateholdings
this is surreal. the leaders in the state have set in motion their agenda for autonomy and self sustaining. its for real. next - a few other horn bill counters will follow suit in tandem with the progress. i am invested. all sales on Affin shares halted immediately until further developments. 😁
A buy on Affin is a Buy on the moderate ,progressive,non racial extremist Sarawak govt,n the vast natural resources of Sarawak of O&G and RE.Now that the 'white hair' has gone to meet his maker,Sarawak is ready to realize its full potential.
What klee stated above about transferring the State's funds into Affin and conduct all it's business and banking activities thru Affin is a high possibility. I never thought of that. In fact why not? Once the State holds a controlling stake in the said bank it's only logical and reasonable that they do so. Not so sure about the size of the funds but I'm sure it's going to be significant.
Sarawak state has budgeted 12.36 billion for 2024 in December last year { excluding the special allocation off the Petronas oil revenue royalty which the State has renegotiated} We are a few months away from the Federal Budget for 2025 to be presented in Oct in Parliament by Anwar {PM} Expect Sarawak to receive more positive developments under coming 2025 budget
Currently the bank operates six branches in Sarawak – three in Kuching, and one each in Sibu, Bintulu and Miri. I read Sarawak GDP is RM18 billion a month.
The market is dynamic. Irrational. Affin can be a profitable top tier bank, it will take some time to realize. It may or may not happen. Meanwhile make the best out of the present. 😁
A bank profitability really lies on its own ability to tap into the "Casa" deposit base against the spread in the bank's lending rates. With the State backing the capacity to increase its "Casa deposit ` is enormous. Look at PBB operations their huge 'Casa deposit ` is always a plus for their profitability. Not a buy call on Affin just my 2sen own view on Sarawak State share buy on Affin acqusition. Remember in the past Sarawak have 6 local popular bank operating prior to BNM/MOF countrywide merger and consolidation
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
aklobi
310 posts
Posted by aklobi > 2024-07-10 13:10 | Report Abuse
Congrats Affinians!
However,
Since January, 9 Investment Banks have researched Affin Bank. All 9 banks have given a SELL target price, yet Affin continues to climb due to the Sarawak intention to buy. In my opinion this is an unhealthy hype that will drop sharply after the purchase is finalised.