SORRY i m wrong guys,still believe SBC can deliver very good result maybe i sold 2.40 not good decision because as they sure increase price batang kali house to increase profit . i been there KK last dec ,SABAH IS A PURE, CLEAN,n most people n placeses innosent not poluted as peninsular people ,KK hav known long beautiful windy beach along the jeselton waterfront confirm can sell !
This under-researched small-cap property company is trading at only 5.6x CY15 P/E and a massive 72% discount to its RM6.60 RNAV/share. The discount should narrow as more investors wake up to the potential of its projects in the Klang Valley and Kota Kinabalu, Sabah.
Apart from this, SBC’s share price could be catalysed by the start of the Jesselton Quay JV project. We begin coverage with an Add rating. Our target price is RM3.96 as we apply a 40% discount to its RNAV, in line with the discount for other small-cap property stocks.
SBC is a contractor-turned-developer with property projects in both Peninsular and East Malaysia. SBC is led by Managing Director Sia Teong Heng, who has been with the company for more than 20 years. The company is currently working on five property projects, which offer GDV of RM6.2bn over the next 10 years.
We are particularly excited about the RM1.8bn Jesselton Quay development, an integrated seafront project in Kota Kinabalu, backed by the Sabah state government. Jesselton Quay is a joint venture between SBC and listed port operator Suria Capital (SURIA MK, Not Rated). SBC is waiting for final approvals from the state government before it launches the first phase of commercial units. Approvals should be soon.
Low profile in KL but… SBC is a household name in Sabah but has a low brand profile in the Klang Valley. This is not surprising as the company has been focusing on the Kota Kinabalu property market over the past decade. However, given its rising number of property launches in the Klang Valley over the past few years, we believe that it is only a matter of time before investors grasp SBC’s potential. SBC’s current unbilled sales total RM200m and should see a major boost by end-2014 from its new project launches, i.e. Jesselton Quay (RM500m) and Kiara East (RM500m).
Highest GDV/market cap ratio Among the property stocks under our coverage, SBC’s GDV/market cap ratio of 21.1x is the highest, followed by E&O’s (EAST MK, Add) 16x. We believe that this shows that the stock has potential value to be unlocked.
SBC is currently working on five property development projects that offer a potential GDV of RM6.2bn over the next 5-10 years. Its landbank currently totals around 1,100 acres. We are particularly excited about the Jesselton Quay project in Kota Kinabalu, Sabah, a RM1.8bn joint venture between SBC and listed Sabah port operator, Suria Capital (SURIA MK, Not Rated).
In the Klang Valley, SBC is currently developing Kiara East, a RM1.5bn GDV mixed condominium and retail development on a 20-acre plot of land off Jalan Ipoh, Kuala Lumpur. The project is located right next to Taman Wahyu and the Taman Wahyu KTM commuter station (refer to Figure 4). Construction work started only last year. Kiara East is a 15-minute drive from the Kuala Lumpur city centre and a mere 5-minute drive from Mont’ Kiara.
Kiara East’s neighbours include Mah Sing Group (MSGB MK, Add) and Eco World (ECW MK, Not Rated),
which is an indication of the area’s attractiveness to developers. This area is one of the few locations in a mature neighbourhood with land left for development. Less than 1km from Kiara East, Eco World launched the RM1bn Ecosky integrated project at the end of last year. The first two condominium blocks were sold for around RM650 per sq ft and the company is looking to launch the third block at an average selling price of RM750 per sq ft. Mah Sing’s project near Taman Wahyu, Lakeville Residence, is a RM1.1bn GDV condominium residential and office project
Bandar Ligamas project in Batang Kali In 1995, SBC and the Selangor State Development Corp (PKNS) embarked on a 50:50 joint venture to develop the 1,877-acre Bandar Ligamas project in Batang Kali, Selangor. Batang Kali is approximately a 45-minute drive from Kuala Lumpur and a 15-minute drive from Gohtong Jaya (5km from the peak of Genting Highlands). Similar to Kiara East, there is a KTM commuter station that links Batang Kali to KL Sentral
The buyers of property in Batang Kali are mainly people who live and work in north Klang Valley. SBC aims to market Batang Kali as a second home for residents of Kuala Lumpur due to its close proximity to Resorts World Genting. SBC has already developed more than 3,000 low-cost houses in Bandar Ligamas and met the state government’s low-cost housing quota. The company still has 1,000 acres that are yet to be developed, with GDV of RM3.5bn.
Given the rising land prices in the Klang Valley in the past few years, the company is now focusing on building more profitable medium-to high-end housing in Bandar Ligamas. A single-storey terrace house in Bandar Ligamas now costs around RM250,000 while a double-storey costs around RM350,000. The prices of Bandar Ligamas properties are still affordable and the demand for properties in this price range in the Klang Valley remains healthy. SBC sells an average of 200-250 houses p.a. in Bandar Ligamas.
Although SBC is not well known in Klang Valley, the company is a household name among property investors in Kota Kinabalu, Sabah. SBC was the first developer to build high-end condominiums in Kota Kinabalu (in 2000). The recently-completed The Peak Vista is the tallest condominium in Kota Kinabalu at present. When The Peak Vista was launched in 2011, its average selling price was around RM600 per sq ft. Today, the market value for this condominium is more than RM1,000 per sq ft.
Out of a total of 25 acres for The Peak project, SBC has 7.6 acres of land left for development. It plans to launch the next phase of The Peak (condominiums) later this year. The outstanding GDV of this piece of land is around RM500m. There is still strong demand for this project due to its location that offers fantastic views of South China Sea. We estimate that The Peak will generate an average pretax margin of 20-25% in FY15-16.
Saving the best for last… Jesselton Quay, Sabah’s only integrated waterfront project We are particularly excited about SBC’s Jesselton Quay seafront project, a joint venture between landowner Suria Capital and SBC. Jesselton Quay will be Sabah’s only integrated waterfront, with full support from the state government. Under the arrangement, Suria Capital will provide the 16.2-acre plot of land and SBC will build and develop Jesselton Quay over the next eight years. This plot of land has been vacant since 2007 after the Kota Kinabalu container port was moved to Sapangar Bay.
SBC will pay Suria Capital 18% of the total project GDV (no less than RM324m) over the next eight years. This translates into land cost of RM460 per sq ft for Jesselton Quay, which we believe is fair in view of the development’s potential.
The company wants to transform Jesselton Quay into Borneo’s Riviera, with the longest waterfront city boardwalk in the region measuring 600m. Once completed, Jesselton Quay would be a tourism hub and financial district in Kota Kinabalu. SBC’s Managing Director Mr Sia says, “Jesselton Quay would be a redevelopment and extension north of the old Kota Kinabalu city centre, which could morph the city into one with more regional influence.”
Jesselton Quay will have an international cruise terminal, convention centre, hotel and world-class retail components. According to SBC, Jesselton Quay’s design is based on elements of Singapore’s Marina Bay Sands. SBC will also build residential towers and premium office towers, one of which will be Suria Capital’s office. We estimate that Jesselton Quay will generate an average pretax margin of 20-25% in FY15-18.
SBC has been working on Jesselton Quay with the state government since 2013 and we believe that the company is waiting for final approvals, likely soon. Once the development order for Jesselton Quay is issued and the land premium is paid, the company should be able to launch the first phase soon after. Phase 1 is expected to be a RM500m GDV commercial development.
OUTLOOK 2.1 Jesselton Quay and Kiara East to drive sales Over the next 2-3 years, the Jesselton Quay and Kiara East projects will be SBC’s main earnings drivers. We believe that SBC will launch the next phase for Kiara East, a RM500m GDV residential and commercial project, later this year. SBC is expected to launch the first phase of Jesselton Quay once the project obtains the state government’s final approval. It should be soon.
SBC’s unbilled sales currently stand at RM200m. We expect a major boost by end-2014 from the new Jesselton Quay and Kiara East project launches that are worth at least RM1bn. SBC’s total GDV is RM6.2bn over the next 8-10 years. 2.3 Sabah has great tourism potential Sabah’s population size is just over 3m while Kota Kinabalu’s is around 0.5m. The population size is similar to the level of tourists (domestic and foreign) that visited the state in 2013. Tourist arrivals in Sabah have tripled over the past 10 years to 3.38m tourists in 2013. The statistics showed that in 2013, the highest number of foreign tourists came from China (360,361), followed by Indonesia (211,145), South Korea (106,213) and Brunei (99,122). We note that Kota Kinabalu made it to Agoda.com’s list of top 10 fresh destinations in Asia in 2013.
Given that Star Cruises chose Kota Kinabalu as its homeport at end-2013, Sabah and specifically, Kota Kinabalu could see a significant increase in tourist visitors from 2014 onwards. The higher tourist numbers in Kota Kinabalu augur well for SBC as the state government has earmarked Jesselton Quay as a tourism hub and financial district.
Our SWOT analysis highlights SBC’s strengths in the construction and property sectors. Its landbank is cheap, which means that the company will be able to sustain its high property profit margin. In addition, SBC is involved in the affordable mid-range property segment in the Klang Valley which enjoys strong demand. However, the company needs to raise its profile in the Klang Valley property market. Although SBC is a household name in Kota Kinabalu, not many investors are aware of the company.
Since 2013, SBC has maintained a strong pretax margin of above 20%. One of the main reasons for this is SBC’s cheap landbank, most of which was acquired 10 years ago. The company outsources most of its construction work but carries out some of the smaller jobs if they can complete at a lower cost than its contractors. We conservatively estimate pretax margins of 20-25% for SBC in FY15-16.
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This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
SANG-JERO
3,980 posts
Posted by SANG-JERO > 2014-04-21 12:07 | Report Abuse
TP for today 2.60-2.90.......