Well, I shall wait patiently. I have allocated a portion for this stock and so far has bought 60% of it. Still have 40% dry powder if it tank further. If it doesn't go down.....good for everyone also.
The industry is facing some headwind where increased in electricity, raw material and freight charges cost. This is where the strength of management come into play.
I think revenue will pick up abit because they have additional line installed and another unit ready by end of this year. I more concern on the profit margin. This is due to the electricity has increased tremendously. Previously they only paying ICPT of 3.7c / kwh. Now it is either they choose to pay 17c/kWh or 21.8c/kWh for Green energy. In their AR, the have promote that 60% of their energy is Green and thus makes their product greener. If they reduce any Green Energy, it will look bad on their ESG. Furthermore, Government no longer cap the quota for green energy and hence if they walk the talk, they are allowed to subscribe to 100% green energy which will results in higher operation cost. They are indeed squeeze between a rock and a hard stone.
Demand for their stretch film increase and it contribute to 60% of Tguan revenue. In fact they need to turn down orders according to their AGM minutes. The blown out packaging demand reduce due to less online purchase compare during covid time. Management is exploring other market. Other segment is still loss making previously. If they can break even, then it consider positive already.
Snowball was correct when he stated that the ICPT was reduced from 0.20 to 0.17/kwh. However, keep in mind that Tguan and many other plastic companies signed up for the Green Energy Tariff from January to June of this year, with an ICPT of 0.037/kwh and a GET subscription cost of 0.037. In short, they were only paying 0.074 cents per kWh. Of course, the GET was limited to 30% of total energy consumption. However, if you refer back to the AGM and AR, I believe plastic packaging was given a higher GET capacity, but I'm not sure of the exact figure.
If the management can declare a dividend policy like BP Plastic, that will certainly boost investor confident. And stop all the esos and director disposing the shares recently (even thou a small qty) does not bode well with investor confidence.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Phoebe
467 posts
Posted by Phoebe > 2023-07-12 12:18 | Report Abuse
I got some at RM2.01 and RM2.02. @^_^@ meow