As I told u guys , this stocks walking trend is like airasia . I hold last time b4 it drops to around 1.2x . Then I sold at 1.4x . After that boom 2.xx . I'd never regret bcos there was 2 counter I focus . I'd chosen KNM . Hope or hopeless , still too early to comment ! Khikhikhikhi .
It is not about what statement made by PM, it is the confidence of investors especially foreign on malaysia gov's transparency & accountability. 1 statement can make US scare of Malaysia? what a joke
Hope so , I'd actually waiting a long long time till my neck become longer lor. . Wish come true !this article really positive n helpful , Tq guy . Buy buy buy buy buy bye!
There math is very simple. KNM is at the lowest point of all history (for some reason) and their orderbook is at the best coming from RAPID. Outlook also at its best because they are diversifying into renewable energy. So today RM0.40 is no longer than previous years' RM0.40.
Now, comes the earning. I will do the breakdown and you guys judge yourself whether it's true or not:-
RAPID - earnings only coming in this year 2016 and will flow through till 2018. If 2H2016 new contract from RAPID, then visibility will be at least until 2019.
Ethanol Plant - 1/4 in 2016. Full year contribution in 2017 of RM10mil and onwards for Phase 1.
Peterborough - Full contribution of RM50mil in 2018
Others - They have couple O&M recurring income coming from renewable energy in Malaysia and UK. I don't know what are the earnings contribution.
And one key takeaways is recurring income will be at least 60-70% of its earning while contracting business continue to be the same (assuming). We are talking about at least doubling income in 2 years. Let's assume contracting income is RM40mil and assuming 50% comes from recurring income, that will mean recurring income will give RM40mil too. That makes RM80mil. So it is doubling just by taking into account 50:50 contribution.
So to hit RM0.60 it is no issue. I'm more inclined to think in 1-2 years time it will be at least RM0.80- RM1.00 stock. Rerating will happen 1 year before it happens. Peak is reach when result is shown in 2018.
Why argue so much? It is true this stock is severely undervalued as mention by Mr. Lee. The risk however is the execution risk. That explain why there are so many skeptics here.
hopefully ini kali la. i personally dun think KNM is for long term. But it is a good speculative stock. In state of waiting for the 60cents(not sure when will reach), i will not hesitate to sell it at 48cents for small earning. Wish for 48cent in 2 months.
me too, i follow KNM around 2008 too, i got so lucky to run away during 2011 when KNM at its peak. it been downtrend since then. Of course i will regret if KNM reach 60cents in short terms. if you want me to wait for yrs for 60cents, i prefer to encash and look for others stock.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Woodswater
3,783 posts
Posted by Woodswater > 2016-07-20 18:25 | Report Abuse
As I told u guys , this stocks walking trend is like airasia . I hold last time b4 it drops to around 1.2x . Then I sold at 1.4x . After that boom 2.xx . I'd never regret bcos there was 2 counter I focus . I'd chosen KNM . Hope or hopeless , still too early to comment ! Khikhikhikhi .