act AMMB not really negative u just look at all the while their TP which ad indirectly double up from TP 3 to TP 6 d (100% increase) so wat is it mean?indirectly look good at this company future etc^^
1. Press Metal’s 2QFY14 profit doubled q-o-q and tripled y-o-y, thanks to optimum production at its smelting plants and higher aluminium prices. Its board has proposed a 1:1 bonus issue and 5-sen second interim dividend to rewards its shareholders.
2. Continue to like the company as it is a world-class low-cost aluminium smelter that could leverage on the bottoming out of aluminium prices. BUY, with a higher MYR8.30 FV (from MYR7.38).
3. The results in line as we expect a much stronger 2H profit on the back of higher aluminium prices and smelting volume. Therefore, we make no changes to our earnings estimates.
4. Going forward, expect that PRESS MATEL to record core profits of MYR80m in 3QFY14 and MYR90m in 4QFY14, with quarterly profit to normalise to around MYR94m in FY15 based on our all-in aluminium price assumptions of USD2,300/USD2,365 /USD2,400 in the corresponding periods.
5. Continue to like Press Metal, as it is a world-class low-cost smelter in the first quartile of the global cost curve that is set to leverage on the bottoming out of aluminium prices. Besides improved profitability, its loan repayment using proceeds from the disposal of a 20% stake in Samalaju smelter had cut its net gearing to 1.08x from 1.83x in 1QFY14. 5.1 With the prospect of improved share liquidity postbonus issue, we keep our BUY rating but raise our FV to MYR8.30 (from MYR7.38) after cutting the discount to our fully-diluted DCF to 10% from 20%. Our new FV still implies undemanding 2.4x/2.1x P/BVs and 17.0x/11.9x P/Es on FY14F/15F numbers.
6. Forecast earning in December 2014(F)-(MYR mil )@ RM263 Compared to Dec 2013 only at RM15 ( MYR mil ) ! 13/08/2014 15:07
Although PMB having high profit, the tax payable still very very low in 9 years from now. cash cow, can pay high dividend.... let's see next Q dividend....
Normally the price will be higher after bonus issues is announced, just like CBIP, ASIAFLE, FIMACORP, PESTECH and BONIA. Only one share where its price dropped after bonus issues announcement, that is GKENT. GKENT dropped 23 sen (1.90 to 1.67) after the announcement (for 7 trading days) but after that it kept shooting up. Today (2 weeks before ex-date), its price is 73 sen higher (2.40) and it is still climbing up until the ex date.
Just wondering whether PMETAL will be like GKENT or not? Let's see tomorrow. Anyway I have keyed in to buy at RM6.00, RM5.90 and RM5.80 (1 lot each) for tomorrow.
U reminded me.......... GKENT this treasure stock. when GKENT drop below rm1.90, I dint collect. I felt heart painful. follow by I notice GUOCO stock... shooted at rm1.97 the highest last week. then drop to rm1.64 something. Then I collect quickly GUOCO below rm1.70 once market open.
For PRESS MATEL, the points of potential stock was highlighted in RHB Cover report. Correction price provided investors a chance to collect more and more. anyway, uptrend is intact & positive signal buy@PMETAL.
Masalahnya penjual begitu ramai dan agresif semenjak harganya melepasi RM6. Mereka menjual dalam ratusan. Ini mengakibatkan harganya terus menjunam jatuh menuju ke paras sokongan terpenting, iaitu RM6.00.
Bought 1000 units at RM6.05. If next week it breaks RM6.00, then it will revisit RM5.80 (5 Aug 2014 closing price). Probably what AMMB comments got some truth in it. PMETAL for the time being is overpriced. RM5.65++ is more reasonable (as a launching base).
Even laggards LBALUM rose 12 sen, ARANK rose 5.5 sen and money losing ALCOM rose 9 sen. And need not mention PMBTECH which hits limit up today. PMETAL sure wants face. How can the 'taiko' lose to smaller companies. It will sure to rebound after finding its bottom base.
The weekly EDGE newspaper had advertise both the mother share (PMETAL) and PMETAL-WC. Just hope that RM6 can support the selling pressures. If not, 10% correction from the peak (RM5.70) can be a good buying opportunity.
After reaching a high of 6.18, it easily collapse back to 6.13 in the last 30 minutes of the morning session. So fragile. Hopefully in the afternoon session, it could rise again strongly. Big boys, please help.
What a waste. With all the good news, finally Monday it closes at only RM6.10. This PMETAL really have to go down to below RM6.00 to find a stronger base before it can rebound back strongly. If not it is so weak. The volume is only 678,000. But PMETAL-WC leaps up 12 sen in the last minute.
The next catalyst is this Friday 5 sen dividend because the ex-date is next Monday. Probably will go down for Tuesday, Wednesday and Thursday to below RM6.00. Looks like some big guns are pushing down the price to collect.
Usually bonus issues got four catalysts, i.e. (1) When Bursa approves the bonus issues application (2) One day after EGM (3) Five trading days before the ex date (4) The first day after ex. Three long months to wait for the whole process to be completed.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
ryan7642
1,998 posts
Posted by ryan7642 > 2014-08-13 12:57 | Report Abuse
act AMMB not really negative u just look at all the while their TP which ad indirectly double up from TP 3 to TP 6 d (100% increase) so wat is it mean?indirectly look good at this company future etc^^