MD is buying & senior officers are selling, very interesting case. There is a reason why the MD sits on the other side of the table. Is it a "considered valuation" before they made their decisions? The sellers think it is over valued, and the buyers think it is under valued. I think it is under valued. Add pop corn + bought some tickets. If you want to watch the movie, get your tickets before it is sold out.
I bought gadang at rm 1.5 and sold them in 2015 at rm1.4 due to the bear came out..the most stupid thing i have done in my life.. so gadang holders, u know wat to do? juz sharing the lesson i have learnt..
Gadang is a laggard compared with some of its construction peers. YTD, Gadang is up only 22%, while other peers like GKent, Ekovest and Econpile have gone up 32%-35%, with PE of 12-18x and valued at 1.5b, 2.3b and 1.3b.
The other laggard is Suncon, up around 20%, PE 21x and valued at 2.6b.
YTD, Gadang value has increased 22% from RM700m to RM840m, and during this period, it secured effectively about RM1.13b of construction contract. Every company has different composition of sectors they are in and within the same sector, risk is also different, The value from RM1.1b contract is easily 2-3x the increase in price of RM140m.
Gadang's PE is among the lowest at 8.4x and lowest Mcap at RM840m. The rest is at least RM1.3b to RM2.6b. With one more project of RM500m, market cap can hit above RM1.2b.
tksw sifu, if have good news i will share here no worry. for now, just hold or collect some while you still can. gadang is entering the zone of 1.3.. so i assume 1.29 is still under discount rate ..
Based on my observation, Gadang's MD is quite a conservative and rationale person. He must have seen the value attained exceeded the price movements or non movements. I remember he mentioned the Company is going after contracts with higher margin. I like his capital allocation skills in biz and hopefully he is as good as his investment skills as well. (If we look back in Oct and Nov 2016, the fluctuation of share prices due to various "issues", he and his senior management gain the most from the ESOS, 86 sen)
I have added a bit before he bought that 2.5m shares. Investment decision is best when it is independently made and based on considered valuation as well as rationale, not just "expectation".
As for when the share price reflect its added value, nobody will know. In a longer run, the gap will reduce as when they realised it from the better results.
Like your sifu WB said, price is what you pay, value is what you get. In a short run, the market is a voting machine, and in the long run, its a weighing machine. Time is a friend for investor and an enemy for speculator.
omg.. again dato kok onn is collecting in the past few days.. I really have a good feeling that gadang will fly soon.. tomorrow will topup for the last discount price 1.3
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
sosfinance
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Posted by sosfinance > 2017-05-19 18:59 | Report Abuse
MD is buying & senior officers are selling, very interesting case. There is a reason why the MD sits on the other side of the table. Is it a "considered valuation" before they made their decisions? The sellers think it is over valued, and the buyers think it is under valued. I think it is under valued. Add pop corn + bought some tickets. If you want to watch the movie, get your tickets before it is sold out.