Aluminium price dropped to 2828, DJ dropped near to 300pts....GG...should sell it earlier as it went up too fast previously....now really no eye see...but it is weird that operator choosed bad timing to dump stock...need to keep for longer term d...
ya, i heard others said the same, this WC is a buaya...once he asked to buy the it is the time to run but kyy also got alcom and lbalum, he may be another one who is dumping as well as this guy also play short term recently
PMBT is banking on Silicon as an essential material for our future economy.
Silicon is the basic material for solar industry. Tesla intends to replace cobalt with silicon for its batteries. China alters global silicon supply demand balance as it pivots on environmental friendly policies. These factors drove silicon price to a fresh 3-year high.
Majority own and manage by the Koon family, PMBT and PM are of the same playbook. More importantly when PM started off with less resources and market recognition in the past, today’s PMBT – leverage on experience acquired and the market respect from PM – earning will ramp up swifter.
Silicon metal is an important element added to various grades of aluminum alloys used in performance applications such as automotive components and aerospace products.
Silicon metal also is a critical raw material in the production of silicone compounds used in numerous products including sealants, adhesives, rubber gaskets, caulking compounds, lubricants, food additives, coatings, polishes, and cosmetics, among others.
In addition, silicon metal is the base material in the production of polysilicon, a purified form of silicon used in solar cells and semi-conductors.
In summary, Silicon demand will be driven by solar and electronics in many years to come, whilst supported by its widely adopted application in various industries currently.
Growth factors
Management and efficient Hydro power supply The competitive advantage of the PMBT series of companies lies in its lean production cost. On top of the very capable management strength, the ultra-competitive position is because of its power procurement contract with Sarawak Energy i.e. Bakun Hydropower.
Silicon production requires substantial amount of power. Energy cost as a single cost component weights more than 40% of the total production cost. The availability of an efficient energy sources alone determines the survival rate of the business.
By securing the ultra-competitive Bakun hydropower supply contract – which is one of the lowest in the world, PMBT will emerge as one of the lowest cost producer in the world.
Silicon metal prices continue to soar, China’s silicon metal supply gap highlights
In September 2021, the market price of Silicon metal in China continued to soar. As of September 14, the reference price of Silicon metal in China was $5,540 / ton, more than 2 times higher than the price of the same period in 2020, breaking all kinds of price records.
The reason for the explosive growth of silicon metal this time is cost rise and imbalance between supply and demand. There are mainly the following four points:
First, the cost is mainly the cost of raw materials and electricity, and the cost of producing silicon metal is mainly the cost of electricity. After the end of this year's wet season, the price of electricity has risen, and the production cost has also risen.
Second, due to the epidemic situation, many foreign silicon metal manufacturers cannot produce normally, and the international demand for silicon metal has not decreased, but we have done a good job in controlling the epidemic situation. So foreign inquiries have not stopped for nearly a year.
Thirdly, in August, due to various reasons, the silicon factories had power outage for maintenance, so the output has not come up. Silicon metal products are often in short supply.
Fourth, the influence of national environmental supervision and "carbon neutral, carbon peak" policy.
Asian silicon buyers flood Europe to secure supply
Published date: 29 September 2021 Share:
Asia-Pacific silicon consumers are flooding into the European market seeking spot cargoes, after their Chinese suppliers halted supply because of output cuts at the country's major production hubs.
European producers and traders received a large range of offers from Asian buyers, competing with their usual European customers for spot silicon metal volumes.
"I'm receiving calls from buyers in Taiwan, Japan, India and South Korea. I could easily sell all our production quantity to Asia right now," said one European producer. "But I have to serve my European customers on contracts, our focus is mainly Europe and Japan."
Most producers were focused on delivering on their contractual obligations, but some had small volumes available on the spot market. One western European producer sold several small lots of 5-5-3 grade metal to a South Korean buyer at $8,000/t (€6,863/t) cif Busan.
Traders offered higher prices linked to the Chinese export price but offers above this price were firmly rejected. One trader offered 3-3-0-3 grade metal to a Taiwanese buyer at €9,000/t in warehouse but was rejected. Chinese export prices for 5-5-3 grade silicon metal were assessed at $8,900-8,950/t fob (€7,616-7,658/t).
European buyers also scramble
Several large primary aluminium producers have also entered the spot market alongside secondary aluminium and chemical siloxane producers, pushing European prices higher.
Prices for 5-5-3 grade silicon metal were up at €5,400-5,600/t ddp on 28 September, an increase of €900/t from the previous assessment at €4,500-4,700/t ddp on 23 September. Prices for 4-4-1 grade metal were assessed at €5,600-5,800/t ddp on 28 September, also up by €900/t from €4,700-4,900/t on 23 September. The market for 3-3-0-3 grade was assessed up at €5,800-6,000/t ddp.
One producer sold 75t of 3-3-0-3 grade metal to an existing customer in Europe at €5,975/t ddp. Market participants expect prices to continue rising in the coming days as competition for spot volumes heats up.
Secondary aluminium and large primary and alloy producers were more comfortable absorbing price rises than chemical producers because silicon metal is a smaller proportion of their raw material costs.
Aluminium-silicon alloys contain 5-25pc silicon, with the most commonly used containing 8-12pc. Chemical producers require around 0.5t of silicon metal to produce 1t of siloxane, while polysilicon producers require 1t of metal to produce around 1t of polysilicon.
Consumers were also eager to secure material for the first and second quarter of 2022 at the earliest to avoid higher prices in the traditional October-November contract negotiation period. European producers said that consumers, usually buying from China, are negotiating with them for first-half 2022 supply, anticipating a protracted disruption in China from energy curbs and ahead of the Winter Olympics in Beijing in February.
"I think the problem is more of a structural issue, people are looking for longer-term contracts because of expected difficulty over the next year and fears over China's energy plans. Some are cautious for the full year, but less willing to commit as prices could come down further on," one European producer said.
If limit down then chance to buy.. If u study deeply they cant fully operate this quarter. What saved them was high aluminium ASP. Luckily I TP 059 this morning. Tomorrow I think best to wait panic seller calm down first, after then can do your plan. After qr bomb usually stocks go down, then will turn sideways for accumulation until next qr. If next qr aluminium still at high price can expect price to rocket to da moon
China’s power limited and restricted output policies both pressured the demand for the silicon metal, further caused the raw material prices to increase dramatically, including aluminum alloy ingot.
In the past two months, the metal silicon showed an around 300% increment, which further led the aluminum alloy ingot price to skyrocket.
By some of the sources, the domestic aluminum alloy ingot price in China this September has increased by nearly 20% within a month.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Johnzhang
3,098 posts
Posted by Johnzhang > 2021-09-14 19:21 | Report Abuse
Market sentiment is damn poor !