u can collecting it if u have bullet...haha...bcoz WCT quite many good news this 2 week...then contra player concentrate in it, when it not up too much already throwing by them...
1 of the reason is the warrant is expire soon and the coming election, Beware getting stucked with your warrants in hand and forced to sell cheap or convert cheaply into mother.
wct now is RM 2.65, mean wct-wb only worth rm 0.15 coz conversion price is RM 2.50. Bt now wct-wb is 0.275. So beware of tis counter since got 3 factor quite affect it price, 1, election, 2, erop economic, 3, it nearly expire (22 april 2013). For recently wct-wb price, the mother need to rise to RM 2.78 b4 u can earn money. so brother sister who hold it must understand tis risk & good luck.
Bro midas_max and pirate 99, appreciate your input, agree with you that wct-wb looks risky now. But this is on the surface. If we really look deeper, things are slightly different:
1. There are 11 research houses which gives TP of around 3.17 to 3.93. That gives an average of 3.23 on the mother share. Personally I don't think WCT will pakat with all research houses to give good reports. We are talking about 11 research houses here, not a few.
2. If one is hardworking enough to read every research report from research house. There are a lot of projects(some worth RM1 billion) which are going to be announced by end of this year. More good news are flowing than expected.
3. WCT-WB expiry is April 2013. It still has 8 months to expiry. But as said, most projects are going to be awarded by end of this year. For WCT to surpass RM3.00 by end of this year is not hard. If WCT really reaches 3.23, it would worth be at least 70 cents.
4. Election and European economy situation has some risks, but would be minimized, considering WCT is diversifying its portfolio into property rental from Paradigm Mall, Premiere Hotel and the would-be completed KLIA2 Complex. Not to mention the future OUG commercial plot and Kemayan Mall. The incoming budget 2013 might have positive impact too.
5. That explains why at certain point last month when WCT is at 2.48, WB is still at whopping 35-36 cents. Anyway it is still at 2.65 now and on its uptrend mode. We can see some people and sharks still willing to accummulate due to potential upside.
Like bro Midas_max said, WCT need to cross 2.78 to earn money. Some contra players sold their shares because WB is moving slower than the mother. But for some people, WB is still much cheaper considering the upside of WCT. Of course it still have some risks, but looks to me that WCT only has rooms to go up though.
Dear all, WCT is goverment part of company. Election will be conducted within these few months, if BN win for the election > means WCt will fly to sky.Now WCt will keep dropping for the price below 2.35~2.42 monther share & WCT-wb at 0.2~0.25 cents before election. Pls monitor BN win counter> DRB, WCT, MPHB, FGV, IHH,Petronas chemical. Cheers.
Financial option has two components which make up its value; an intrinsic value and a time value. The intrinsic value of WCT Wb would be 2.35-1.85 or 50 sen. What is its time value? Using the Black-Scholes option pricing model with WCT at 2.35, exercise price of 1.85 and an assumed historical volatility of 25% for WCT, the model gives an option value of 53 sen. This means that the value of Wb is mainly made up from its intrinsic value of 50 sen, and 3 sen of time value. So why is Wb trading at 30 sen? Where is the smart money? I always have this notion that if something seems too good to be true, it normally is. I hope some smart people can enlighten me.
The WB is already near expiry (4 months), although it is theoretically worth >40 sens, there are still two risk factors. One would be the selldown of WCT and WCT-WD shares once they are listed on 10/12. Although this is unlikely, WCT mother share might take a small dent.
Another one is the amount of cash for the WCT-WB holders might require if they are to exercise the warrants to gain the arbitrage differences. WB owners hope someone will come up with the money to buy their WB shares to convert, but the buyers will also think twice since the conversion rate is high compared to WB cost. So in the end someone have to to pay 6x capital to exercise. Will you be the one?
If you have enough cash to exercise you can stop worrying about the price differences. Buy, exercise and then sell mother share and rinse to repeat. There is no trap, just lack of capital from punters. This is how the big money trumps all those small players, by leveraging and reap the 15 cent per share difference.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
moven00
728 posts
Posted by moven00 > 2012-08-28 23:43 | Report Abuse
its abit risky to buy wct-wb now. Quite near to expiry which doesnt augur well with traders. Just my piece of opinion.
I for one, wouldn't risk it.