Here are some news: Jul'14 : Oldtown Bhd has incorporated a wholly foreign-owned enterprise Shenzen OldTown White Coffee Trading Co Ltd Jun'14: Signed master licensee with PT Oldtown Indonesia to strengthen its presence in Indonesia May'14: Oldtown Bhd has executed a master license agreement with OTK (Australia) Sdn Bhd and Leong Kwan Yew to expand into the Australian market
The only strange thing was : Suppose Oldtown Old Town had acquired a 70 per cent stake in Hong Kong’s Advanced City Ltd on Apr 2013 as a stepping stone to expand in China but last month it incorporated Shenzen OldTown White Coffee Trading Co Ltd?
Anyway, US Franklin Resources keep buying Oldtown share from 5.76% (20th May) to 7.35% (8th Aug).. So at share below rm2.00 is an attactive buy for mid/long term.
most of the time people just focus on the outlets, try focusing on the expanding export market. the FMCG growth is very aggressive, especially in China
Nope. because BJFOOD's price is quite high already n good news have been released. Plus, oldtown price havent move much yet. So can accumulate some waiting it to go up since the Franklin Resources Inc. had bought quite a lot recently.
Result quite similar with last quarter, revenue up little / profit down little / NTA up little. So, in general the share performance is depend on company direction and prospect. I think it is still positive, price should up as the recent price was down from rm2.20
luckily managed to maintain EPS in the latest qtr report. many other companies are showing lesser earnings, if not loss. rest assured dear investors of OTB, we will journey to recovery very soon :)
Source: Maybank Research - 28 Aug 2014 We continue to expect top-line growth of F&B to be supported by store openings but margins are likely to remain weak due to ongoing renovation works. We expect decent FMCG sales growth as OTB continues on its expansion plans, particularly in HK/China. To recap, OTB had recently appointed new distributors both in local and overseas markets. We view this positively as this will allow for higher penetration and in turn expedite growth of the FMCG arm.
We lowered our earnings forecasts by 10/14% for FY15/16 on higher cost assumptions and on factoring in our estimated GST impact from Apr 2015. Correspondingly, our TP is lowered to MYR2.40 (from MYR2.67) on an unchanged 21x FY15 PER.
Valuation Correspondingly, our Target Price was toned down to RM1.90 from RM2.25 following the earnings cut. We peg the stock with higher PER of 17.1x (from 16.7x) against the revised FY15 EPS of 11.1 sen as the mean inched higher following the share price movement. The valuation is still unchanged at +0.5 SD of its 2-year mean PER.
Looks like consumer spending in Malaysia is getting weaker these days, despite the surge in the latest GDP reported. Most consumer products based businesses such as OLDTOWN, PWROOT and PADINI are not doing well in the past 2 - 3 quarters.
i agree that consumer spending has decreased lately. i am following both OLDTOWN and PADINI, their revenue has increased. only the profit margin dropped. this could probably due to higher operation costs like rental, utilities and more aggressive marketing campaigns. lets just hope the management will steer back the cost control measures in the next qtr.
Foresee its P&L will be stagnant for at least 4 to 6 qtrs..esp looking at the increase of the raw materials prices (coffee), coming GST and recently poor response of its F&B in China... temporarily quit from OLD Town...but suerely i will be bak to it in one day.. see u again..
Franklin Resources is a substantial shareholder. that's why only their transaction is announced. though i look it positively for a share buy back, do not expect something is cooking immediately as it can be deemed as insider trading (correct me if I'm wrong)
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Investeye
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Posted by Investeye > 2014-08-14 18:05 | Report Abuse
Here are some news:
Jul'14 : Oldtown Bhd has incorporated a wholly foreign-owned enterprise Shenzen OldTown White Coffee Trading Co Ltd
Jun'14: Signed master licensee with PT Oldtown Indonesia to strengthen its presence in Indonesia
May'14: Oldtown Bhd has executed a master license agreement with OTK (Australia) Sdn Bhd and Leong Kwan Yew to expand into the Australian market
The only strange thing was : Suppose Oldtown Old Town had acquired a 70 per cent stake in Hong Kong’s Advanced City Ltd on Apr 2013 as a stepping stone to expand in China but last month it incorporated Shenzen OldTown White Coffee Trading Co Ltd?
Anyway, US Franklin Resources keep buying Oldtown share from 5.76% (20th May) to 7.35% (8th Aug).. So at share below rm2.00 is an attactive buy for mid/long term.