the bonus warrant is in-the-money. But I rather sell it off rather than conversion. Even the warrant worth 1 sen, this counter is worth at least 5 sen now
From my experience, almost all loss making company who consolidate (like Hubline), it will drop at least 20% to 30% within 1 week after consolidation. In Glotec case, all the while the share trading at around RM0.04 - RM0.05 and suddenly after consolidation to 20:1 and the price move to RM0.90, how many ppl will buy loss making company with RM0.90 (eventhough they throw in 4 units to 1 warrant, if mother share drop below RM0.50, the warrant is as good as useless)?? Not many ppl will look at the total share from 5 billion consolidate to around 250 million unit, they only look at current trading price, that is my opinion but many experience investor or fund manager might not agree with me on this.
The value of the company is unchanged after conversion...but if it's going to be sold down to 0.10 after conversion like some of u fear, then the management must be crazy...better stay put and remain a penny stock....but again, this company may not be one of those exceptional cases like Citigroup who managed to reverse their fortunes with reverse split. Conclusion for me: look at company's fundamentals and prospects. This company does not impress in previous QRs....so like Hubline, best consider carefully before jumping in.
share rationalisation exercise very good to reduce traded price gap of 15% per block.. best still, 3rd national car project coming and GFB has more than 20 parts in their radar
If you can look pass all the corporate announcement of new ventures and corporate exercises (share consolidation and free bonus warrants) and look at the company's fundamental, Globaltec is still a loss making company since at least FY2013 which is the year after the merger of AutoV, AIC Corp and Jotech Holding. It was surprising to see that the company turn straight away to loss making in 2013 given that prior to the merger of the 3 companies, they actually made a combine profit of RM37.6mil PAT in 2011.
I am not sure what went wrong in just 6 months after the merger. They still managed to make profit in the quarter after the merger but was not as high as before at only RM2.2mil PAT. Then it just got bad in 3Q13 when they posted their first time loses as a new company. Can anyone provide some clarity on this?
I think it is better for those that are interested to wait for them to post a more sustainable profit before you invest into the company. If not, at least wait for a clearer picture on the development of the Tanjung Enim field which is supposed to be the company future growth catalyst according to management.
The last development that i heard off was the completion of the exploratory/test drilling in the Muralim block last week by Nuenergy. I think they are still testing to see how much recoverable gas reserve are in the tested well. There is also another well that they are currently testing but is yet to be completed. This is still not certain in term of recoverability. There could be gases in the 2 wells but might not be financially viable to extract. Hence why i think you should wait for the development of the well testing first before investing in this company.
For those already invested, you need to be prepare to face some market volatility in the short term. Maybe those invested could provide clarity on what are the other catalysts for the company besides the Nuenergy venture.
If you are looking to diversify your portfolio a bit (at least until the result of the Nuenergy test is out), i would recommend you to look at MBMR.
MBMR is a direct proxy to Perodua via its 22.6% interest in the company. Valuation is cheap at only 5.8x PE (based on target FY18 PATAMI of RM145mil. 9m PATAMI is already RM106mil). PB is low at only 0.6x BV. 4Q18 results is expected to be higher than 3Q18 and last year's 4Q17. For FY19 growth will be driven by the still high demand of new Myvi and the launch of the new SUV in 1Q19.
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
afterlight
54 posts
Posted by afterlight > 2018-09-06 11:19 | Report Abuse
the bonus warrant is in-the-money. But I rather sell it off rather than conversion. Even the warrant worth 1 sen, this counter is worth at least 5 sen now