Cheaper alternative if you want to bet on the revival of Air Asia. But have to look past 2020 i think. If in 2021 the company can deliver RM50 mil PAT (average RM55 mil for FY16 to FY19), at current valuation the company is only valued at 5.3x PE. Dividend yield would be around 7.5% ( company has a policy of paying at least 40% of profit).
I also think the mentality of travelers would change after this if and when they decide to travel overseas. Most would likely prefer to pay a small premium for insurance in case anything happens when travelling in foreign countries. A lot of tourist got stuck in foreign countries during this pandemic with no recourse to aids (accommodation, additional spending funds etc).
I think the share price depends on Q3 & Q4 eps, Q2 eps might not be good too..0.34 may be good entry if Q3 & Q4 improving, or turn the other way.. Goof luck
Unless goreng, otherwise going south is quite certain. Simeproperty chairman said in Apr on company resilient, when results announced, profit dropped by more than 90%, may be that is what she meant resilient, otherwise should be loss. Lol.
Also, anyone can explain what is FVTPL? I extracted below value from AR2019, in statement of CF
Purchases of FVTPL financial assets--> 2019: -326mil vs 2018: -372mil Proceeds from disposal of FVTPL financial assets --> 2019: 249mil vs 2018: 378mil
Does it mean its derivatives was actually making paper loss of >100mil compared to 2018? Thanks.
FVTPL mean fair value thro profit or loss. For investment of FVTPL financial assets you can look into P&L account of investment realise and unrealise profit/loss
Thanks Sslee, it's still not very clear to me but I take it the actual profit for investment of FVTPL for 2019 is 3.89mil. Btw, what is your view on Tunepro?
AmInvest We downgrade our call on Tune Protect Group (TPG) to SELL from HOLD with a lower fair value of RM0.25/share (previously RM0.48/share) based on FY20 P/BV of 0.3x, supported by a lower ROE of 5.8%. We trim our FY20/21/22 earnings by 35.2%/37.8%/35.9% to reflect lower premiums from travel insurance and a reduced estimate for investment income and share of profit from associates
Outlook The outlook of the general insurance business in Malaysia is expected to remain very challenging due to the slowdown in business activities due to the Movement Control Order. We believe insurance premiums may face downward pressure due to weaker demand and higher competition.
Given that a large chunk of underwriting profit for TUNEPRO is derived from travel insurance, the group is likely to continue suffering from the negative impact of Covid-19 until, the pandemic is effectively contained.
Valuation We maintain our Sell call on the stock, with a target price of RM0.24, based on unchanged 0.3x CY21 P/B.
Share buy back is just a silly trick to bump up share price and lower the total dividend payout (if it ever announce one)
TunePro just need to focus on whittling down the middle management and all will be fine. Am still waiting for them to chop some of the distribution channel heads and the strategy head.
Long term prospects for tunepro considering pent up travel demand could be forced to purchase insurance prior to any trips. New products and strategies could emerge if they were to leverage their digital instech platforms. Time to cost cut, get lean and speedy for future biz. I will accumulate and keep this counter for a big future reward.
Sometimes, analysts are people that can't think out of box. They couldn't understand how the business works, evolves over time. And business does intervene drastically in changing competitite and negative environment, including drastic costs cutting exercise and changing the business model. I believe it will since they are getting a big shock from reduction in air travels that contributed 70% of their profitability. But with the transformation plans are intact and current price of RM0.31, that is a bargain in long-term. Anyway, there are into insurance sector and tend to make money over the long-term.
I think Usually analysts only look for 6 months to 1 year earning per share.. when the environment on travel business getting better, they tend to adjust the target price according, so if Tunepro can withstand the storm ahead, the target price will be up accordingly, but investor usually react faster before the analyst report.. so good luck to Tunepro..my thought.
Financial industry counters slowly picking up momentum amid economy reopening soon. And FM going to announce a path to recovery soon. It bode well companies like Tune
Air travel behaviour will change, everyone will surely buy insurance to ensure they have a fallback, good outlook for tunepro. And the automotive sector kickstarted again too.. Hope they are ready to grab a larger market. 50sen coming...
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
johnbrooks
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Posted by johnbrooks > 2020-05-03 11:44 | Report Abuse
Cheaper alternative if you want to bet on the revival of Air Asia. But have to look past 2020 i think. If in 2021 the company can deliver RM50 mil PAT (average RM55 mil for FY16 to FY19), at current valuation the company is only valued at 5.3x PE. Dividend yield would be around 7.5% ( company has a policy of paying at least 40% of profit).