That's my own judgement after hearing the opposite views of both sides at the egm. Buying the stag is a good business case. Getting 75% consent votes could be a challange. With the postponement of the EGM and capital repayment scheme, the uncertaintly of veto is greatly reduced. I wouldnt know wat will the syndicate(s) does when the market opens 15 mins frm now.
Wow! This is exciting. Definitely the most happening event at Bursa today. I'm too chicken to risk in this all-or-nothing speculation. But have to admire those who are very brave. Can't begrudge the profits that they make, if it comes to that.
@mamajeru I don't dare with this kind of speculation. Won't be able to focus on my day-job work :-) Had made a few ringgit from trading this week so I'm trying to end it on a positive note. I'll just watch at the sidelines.
mamajeru Now I'm envious! Congratulations. Must have that kind of courage to make big and quick money. It must have been stressful although it's well worth it when it went your way. I don't think I can go through high stakes punts like this one. At the most, I'd buy the index structured warrants. Risks there too but not as tense as this kind.
This is the fact. The warrants will be CONVERTIBLE upon approval of QA. In the circular, the share buy back of those dissenting voters will reduce the quantum of capital repayment using the RM 80M. Regardless, the warrants will be convertible assuming the QA is approved. So if the mother is 48s after approval, the warrants theoretical price should be 13s. Otherwise the warrants conversion will pull down the capital repayment payout also. BTW, the capital repayment is estimated to happen in Q4 according to the announcement. So, the REAL value play in SONA is the warrants.
@derrickinvestor1 quick summary , the warrant can only be converted to mother share when the qa takes place .
the deal in IPO is that they need to obtain a QA within 3 yrs time and the 3 years is this coming july 30 th , and this is the last attempt to buy over the asset . If this didnt go through , they wont be able to find another asset and get the deal through on time , which means - 90 % of the mothershare + interest over 3 years will be returned to shareholders . ( estimated 0.48 or slightly lesser )
Warrant holders lose all their money .
At the moment from the report , the management is intending to purchase an oil field at 40 % of ( 550 mil ) which already at production . The production cost is @30 Dollar per barrel , and Sona can see an immediate increase in revenue based on current oil price .
Sadly the current petrol price is very volatile , so the performance of this oil field still uncertain .
So many with low / medium risk appetite are selling off their warrants , and ppl like me with high risk appetite , buying them at dirty low price .
IF qa goes through , warrant price will match closely to mothershare - for me Qa is definitely a go - especially after watching what they pulled last wednesday .
can somebody tell me what happens to the money invested in the warrant ? Say if QA is a no go - 90 % of mothershare is returned to the investors together with the 3 years interest rate .
But what happens to the warrant ? Who will end up getting them ? Arent they supposed to return to the warrant holders too ?
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
speakup
26,985 posts
Posted by speakup > 2016-03-30 13:57 | Report Abuse
those who panic sell at 3.5sen 4sen 4.5sen all cry.