Posted by rhtc88 > 2 months ago | Report Abuse

大戶不給上, 一個因素就夠了

Posted by rhtc88 > 2 months ago | Report Abuse

CTOS Culture, today green then tomorrow sure red.

Posted by laulau > 2 months ago | Report Abuse

Morning Friends & Gentlemen!

Accumulate CTOS on dips while price is still low at RM1.22 before the "Window of Opportunity" is gone as current KWAP buying and selling is not a factor that affects the stock price. It is currently rebalancing its portfolio to raise cash to meet increase in pension adjustments of up to 15% for Government retirees from December 1, 2024 as announced by PMX in the recent Budget.

KWAP's Loss is your Gain, as every extra share you acquire will receive 0.84 sens Dividend by 19 December on top of potential Capital Gains of 30~50%! CTOS has market potential of RM2.7 billion to be tapped in Malaysia and Internationally, with stronger growth in the fourth quarter and next year as it adds projects and products, analysts said. Analysts expect increased adoption of CTOS Digital’s alternative scoring business, coupled with “cross-selling opportunities” in portfolio review and analytics solutions, to see stronger growth in 2025.

Investing in CTOS is actually better than short term FD! First TP range is between RM1.36~1.42 followed by next TP range of RM1.50~RM1.80!

https://www.thestar.com.my/business/business-news/2024/11/13/ctos-to-focus-on-growing-its-commercial-segment

*Note.
In 2024, Malaysia's pension adjustments will be based on the final salary adjustments for retirees in December 2024. The adjustments will be implemented in two phases, with the first phase starting on December 1, 2024. 

Details
Salary adjustments
Civil servants will receive a salary increase of 15% for executives and professionals, and 7% for top management.

Pension adjustments
Retirees and derivative pension recipients will receive pension adjustments with the same percentage increments as active civil servants.

CTOS digital rating raised as potential market of NT$2.7 billion to be tapped
Sinchew Tue, Nov 12, 2024

Posted by Mitchell79 > 2 months ago | Report Abuse

Analysts have reacted positively to credit-reporting outfit CTOS Digital Bhd’s move to remain focused on growing the commercial segment of its credit-reporting business.

Research houses have either upgraded their ratings on the company or maintained them as it addresses the slower pickup in sales and the lower frequencies of credit reviews.

UOB Kay Hian Research (UOBKH) Research has upgraded its call to a “buy” with a higher target price of RM1.51 from RM1.36 despite downgrading earnings by 15% primarily to account for a longer sales cycle in the key-account segment and a slower ramp-up in newly secured commercial contracts.

According to UOBKH Research, CTOS’ management has revised downwards its internal earnings target for 2025 to between RM125mil and RM130mil from between RM150mil and RM160mil previously.


The company said revenue grew by 20% year-on-year when it announced its results for the third quarter ended Sept 30, 2024 (3Q24) on Monday.

It also declared a third single-tier interim dividend of 0.84 sen per share to be paid on Jan 17, 2025.

“Following the company’s recent share price retracement, we believe that the headwinds it faces have largely been priced in and we now view the risk-reward profile as being favourable at this stage.

“We still reckon that CTOS is well-positioned to be the direct proxy to growing demand for Malaysia’s credit-reporting industry,” UOBKH Research said.

CIMB Research, which upgraded the stock to a “buy” from a “hold” with a higher target price of RM1.80 from RM1.50, noted that the company sees greatest opportunity in the commercial segment with a total addressable market (TAM) of RM1.2bil, driven by anticipated gains from 350,000 small and medium enterprises (SMEs) in the country.

The company forecasts TAM of RM2.1bil for its Malaysian operations and RM600mil for international operations.

The research house added that the company saw an encouraging increase in commercial-customer activations in 3Q24 spurred by improving sentiment among SMEs and rising consumer spending.

“The commercial business entered 3Q24 with strong momentum, overcoming challenges that SMEs faced in the first-half due to regulatory changes and subdued market conditions,” the research house said.

Kenanga Research maintained an “outperform” call but cut its target price to RM1.70 from RM2 to reflect revised lower revenue and profit trajectories for the company.

However, it said that CTOS is looking to ramp up its commercial segment as credit-reporting activations in the segment would be tied to growing business activity in the retail, manufacturing and service industries.

RHB Research, which maintained a “buy” call on the company while cutting its target price to RM1.58 from RM1.73, said CTOS’ management remained confident of the company’s growth trajectory.

This is despite a longer sales cycle and conversions, with a robust pipeline across key accounts and its commercial segment as activations and consumption continues to grow with the spread of digitalisation and regulation-driven needs.

Posted by UnicornP > 2 months ago | Report Abuse

Not explosive, just slightly undervalued..

Posted by laulau > 2 months ago | Report Abuse

Morning Friends & Gentlemen!
The party has just started! Accumulate on any weakness, once RM1.29 is broken we should test RM1.31 & RM1.36 soon! Tp of at least 1.41~1.65 is on the way!

Maybank IB, has kept its earnings forecast for CTOS for FY2024 to FY2026, and anticipates a strong end to its FY2024 on another record quarterly turnover, underpinned by a previously deferred key account project, renewed commercial optimism, continued double-digit international growth momentum, and stronger associate contributions from JurisTech and RAM Holdings.

"The recent share price correction, coupled with undemanding valuations (trading at circa 19 times FY25E price earnings ratio) provides an opportunity to accumulate a niche service provider with a dominant market share in an underserved yet rapidly growing industry," Maybank wrote in a separate note as it recommended a 'buy' on the stock with a TP of RM1.65.

The stock has an average TP of RM1.65, based on 11 research houses who covered the stock and had it either on 'buy' or 'outperform'

Posted by Bettyem > 2 months ago | Report Abuse

收获完鲍鱼，是不是马上要去品尝龙虾和葡萄酒了?

Posted by laulau > 2 months ago | Report Abuse

Morning Friends & Gentlemen!
Are you ready for another exiting day?
Yesterday RM5 million worth of CTOS shares changed hands at @1.29 within a short span of time in the last hour of trading between IBs or Big Sharks with a big block placed at 1.29 (which has magically disappeared today) to deter buying by retailers?

The good news is Maybank's CW with exercise price of RM1.55 expires on 27 November and the next CW only expires in 2 months time. What it means is that IBs could pump CTOS within this short period of time from 1.31~1.51? Also KWAP may have collected enough cash to pay Govt Retiree's 13% pension adjustment on 1 December, 2024 so no more cheap sales?. Also CTOS will be quoted ex-Dividend of 0.84 sens from 19 December followed by Year-end window dressing by Institutional Funds & IBs?

Accumulate on any weakness and we wait for the Breakout!

CTOS-C8: CW CTOS DIGITAL BERHAD (MIBB)

Instrument Category Structured Warrants
Instrument Type CALL WARRANTS
Type Of Expiry Expiry/Maturity of the securities
Exercise/ Strike/ Conversion Price Malaysian Ringgit (MYR) 1.5500
Exercise/ Conversion Ratio 1.25:1
Settlement Type / Convertible into Cash
Last Date & Time of Trading 27 Nov 2024 05:00 PM
Date & Time of Suspension 28 Nov 2024 09:00 AM

Posted by Bettyem > 2 months ago | Report Abuse

EPF 购买 CTOS 股票！我们再吃一轮鲍鱼和龙虾，好吗？
Changes in Sub. S-hldr's Int (Section 138 of CA 2016) - EMPLOYEES PROVIDENT FUND BOARD | https://www.klsescreener.com/v2/announcements/view/8501933

Posted by BostonMaxwell > 1 month ago | Report Abuse

Almost done washing..... Wait for next push.... Soon

Posted by laulau > 1 month ago | Report Abuse

Bursa is Bullish today! Don't miss! Very strong Buy at 1.30! Should test Resistance 1.31 anytime? Be Greedy when others are Fearful! Accumulate on any dips. There is a high chance of CTOS reaching RM1.41~RM1.42 in the short term as selling by KWAP seems to have completed as no more major roadblocks in sight? Don't let EPF grab all the cheap shares.

Annual Seasonal Analysis indicates, CTOS price was RM1.41 in Nov, 2023 and RM1.42 in Nov. 2022. In view of CTOS increased profitability & dividend Ex-date on 19in Dec. 2024, TP of at least RM1.41~1.42 is achievable in view of year-end window dressing by IBs & Major Shareholders!
https://ibb.co/mB7vwDL

Posted by laulau > 1 month ago | Report Abuse

Accumulation in progress! Just follow the Big Buyer! Should Breakout sooner or later since Bursa is Bullish!

Recap!
Follow EPF to accumulate on current weakness. Next week you won't get at this price, once Maybank's CW expires with Exercise price of RM1.55.!

Maybank IB, has kept its earnings forecast for CTOS for FY2024 to FY2026, and anticipates a strong end to its FY2024 on another record quarterly turnover, underpinned by a previously deferred key account project, renewed commercial optimism, continued double-digit international growth momentum, and stronger associate contributions from JurisTech and RAM Holdings.

"The recent share price correction, coupled with undemanding valuations (trading at circa 19 times FY25E price earnings ratio) provides an opportunity to accumulate a niche service provider with a dominant market share in an underserved yet rapidly growing industry," Maybank wrote in a separate note as it recommended a 'buy' on the stock with a TP of RM1.65.

The stock has an average TP of RM1.65, based on 11 research houses who covered the stock and had it either on 'buy' or 'outperform'

Posted by Mitchell79 > 1 month ago | Report Abuse

Should collect more at RM1.15 there 😗

Posted by laulau > 1 month ago | Report Abuse

Recap!
Price Target

CTOS Digital - Seasonally Stronger 2H; Stay BUY
Source : RHB-OSK, Price Call : BUY, Price Target : 1.58
Last Price : 1.19, Upside/Downside : +0.39(32.77%)

Quote
"With the recent positive developments for CTOS Digital Berhad—including a favorable court settlement, solid third-quarter performance, and a declared dividend payout—there is potential for upward momentum in the stock price. Here’s why these factors could positively impact the price:
1. Court Settlement: If the court settlement removes legal or regulatory uncertainties, it may boost investor confidence. A resolved legal issue often leads to a more stable outlook, making the stock more attractive to investors who were cautious due to potential legal risks.
2. Strong Q3 Performance: The recent quarterly results showing steady growth indicate that CTOS is on a solid financial path. Strong revenue and profit growth, especially with expanding key accounts and new regional ventures, could further instill confidence among investors about the company’s growth prospects.
3. Dividend Payout: The declared dividend not only rewards current shareholders but may also attract new investors looking for income-generating stocks. As the ex-dividend date approaches, there may be increased buying interest, leading to short-term upward pressure on the price.

Given these positive developments, CTOS’s stock could see a price increase in the near term."

Posted by laulau > 1 month ago | Report Abuse

Morning Friends & Gentlemen!

Today is last chance to Buy cheap at 1.29/1.30 from Maybank IB as their CW with Exercise Price 1.55 expires at 5pm today! It's a Win-Win for all as next CW only expires on 24 Jan. 2025! First TP range 1.31 ~1.36, next TP range 1.41~1.46 :)

Key Dates To Remember!
#Maybank CW with Excercise Price RM1.55 expires on 27/11
#KWAP has to pay 13% pension adjustment of 13~15% to Government Retirees on 1/12
#Dividend 0.84 sens per share Ex-date 19/12
#Window Dressing by Institutional Funds & IBs in December

Posted by sailang_now > 1 month ago | Report Abuse

If you lost money with Maybank's CW, now is your chance to make it back from CTOS mother share!
Current price is slightly above the Kumo, indicating a potential bullish bias.
Chikou-span - positioned above the price candles, supporting bullish sentiment.

Entry Level 1: Enter at the current price range (1.29) for an early position.

Target Price 1.80
Resistant 1.62
Resistant 1.57
Resistant 1.52
Resistant 1.47
Resistant 1.42
Resistant 1.36
Resistant 1.31
Price 1.29/1.30
Support 1.29
Support 1.24
Verdict: Positive Momentum is Confirmed!

Posted by Mitchell79 > 1 month ago | Report Abuse

CTOS revised its FY24 revenue guidance to RM315-RM320 million (from RM340-RM360 million) but maintains its profit guidance of RM110-RM115 million, expecting delayed projects to start in 4Q. However, due to a lower revenue base, the group also cut its FY25 guidance: revenue to RM370-RM390 million (from RM415-RM435 million) and net earnings to RM125-RM130 million (from RM150-RM160 million).

Posted by laulau > 1 month ago | Report Abuse

Morning Friends & Gentlemen!

Accumulate on any weakness! Book your tickets early for the next Show!
Maybank recommends a 'buy' on CTOS with a TP of RM1.65. The stock has an average TP of RM1.65, based on 11 research houses who covered the stock and had it either on 'buy' or 'outperform'

First Resistance range 1.31 ~1.36, next Next Resistance 1.41~1.46!

CTOS | CTOS Digital Berhad

Nov 12
Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: RM0.012 (vs RM0.011 in 3Q 2023)
Third quarter 2024 results:
EPS: RM0.012 (up from RM0.011 in 3Q 2023).
Revenue: RM79.8m (up 20% from 3Q 2023).
Net income: RM27.6m (up 13% from 3Q 2023).
Profit margin: 35%
Revenue is forecast to grow 15% p.a. on average during the next 3 years, compared to a 8.8% growth forecast for the Professional Services industry in Asia.

Over the last 3 years on average, earnings per share has increased by 35% per year but the company’s share price has fallen by 14% per year, which means CTOS stock price has the potential to increase by 49% to match increase in earnings.

REWARDS
#Earnings are forecast to grow 13.21% per year
#Earnings grew by 70.7% over the past year
#Analysts in good agreement that current stock price of RM1.29~1.30 will rise by average of 27.3%

Posted by Taibfar > 1 month ago | Report Abuse

waiting CTOS to wake up

Posted by Mitchell79 > 1 month ago | Report Abuse

EPF is chipping in. Game starts

Posted by KopitiamKaki > 1 month ago | Report Abuse

CTOS goes to sleep again... I wonder why its prices are not performing even though its financials are strong.

Posted by Taibfar > 1 month ago | Report Abuse

Too many NOSH ...?

Posted by Singsing > 1 month ago | Report Abuse

🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀

Posted by rhtc88 > 1 month ago | Report Abuse

The old CTOS is back....Looking forward to drop to 1.10 then 1 then 0.90. Come one CTOS. You can do it!!!

Posted by xiaoeh > 1 month ago | Report Abuse

Dear Rhtc88
what price will u buy CTOS...?

Posted by rhtc88 > 1 month ago | Report Abuse

Average 1.17, Now plan to sell it all at 1.30. Take 10% is enough, seems this counter always be a dead stock. Keep it just wasting time.

Posted by Taibfar > 1 month ago | Report Abuse

Why would you want it to go down since you own the stock…?

Posted by spencer628 > 1 month ago | Report Abuse

EPF BUY MORE,THEN THE STOCK KEEP GO DOWN,HAHA..DAMN

Posted by rhtc88 > 1 month ago | Report Abuse

Maybe the more suffer i more happy?

Posted by xiaoeh > 1 month ago | Report Abuse

noted and thanks Rhtc88

Posted by Taibfar > 1 month ago | Report Abuse

That's quote from The Joker, rhtc88 😄

Posted by 88798 > 4 weeks ago | Report Abuse

why CTOS price sluggish for a long long time??

Posted by rhtc88 > 4 weeks ago | Report Abuse

Big Shark C asked Kenanga write TP report nice nice again, so can trap more ikan bilis.

Posted by Taibfar > 3 weeks ago | Report Abuse

Did Kenanga get paid from that? 😁

Posted by rhtc88 > 2 weeks ago | Report Abuse

KWSP lost their mind, throwing money into sea...Good Luck for our next dividend rate

Posted by NoTimeToTrade > 2 weeks ago | Report Abuse

The problem for CTOS is Expirion which CTOS relies on for DATA. i know because my company dump CTOS subscription for Expirion which is WAY WAY cheaper and has more coverage than CTOS. But i believe that CTOS has value as a listed company that can go around ASEAN and dominate, while still being Expirion's b*tch... Lol!

Posted by INVEST_AA > 2 weeks ago | Report Abuse

There are 10 analyst buy calls on ctos with average TP 1.63.
Analysts project its earnings to grow 16.7% in 2025 riding on the high growth potential of credit reporting solutions in the ASEAN market. (The edge 3/1/25)

Posted by rhtc88 > 2 weeks ago | Report Abuse

Tell you a facts, So far CTOS doesn't match one of the TP. Not ever one. So CTOS's TP is a trash reference. Kesian those who do the TP report, i would suggest those don't waste any time or effort to it.

Posted by michaelwong > 2 weeks ago | Report Abuse

Believe me followed TP will lsnd you to Holland . Another trash stuff counter stock

Posted by Singsing > 1 week ago | Report Abuse

🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀🚀

Posted by rhtc88 > 4 days ago | Report Abuse

RHB-OSK TP quite rubbish. Why still need waste time do TP reports? Can someone enlighten me?

Jul'24 : 1.84
Aug'24 : 1.73
Oct'24 : 1.73
Nov'24 : 1.58
Dec'24 : 1.58
Jan'25 : 1.58

Posted by wfolsbp > 3 days ago | Report Abuse

may touch 0.86 to 0.9 by Jun 25, it is stable market. no extra revenues. better to exit

Posted by 2Invest > 3 days ago | Report Abuse

CTOS is 1 of the 3 approved credit scoring companies by BNM. It's the Daiko among the 3.

It's almost a monopoly business & a reasonable moat is created.

Happy Investing!!

Posted by NoTimeToTrade > 2 days ago | Report Abuse

2Invest, sorry to disappoint you, my company uses all 3 of these services and i can tell you CTOS is at the bottom of those 3. But because it is the only malaysians listed credit scoring company which makes it somewhat attractive, the other 2 are foreign companies much larger than CTOS but they have no intention of listing here, however in terms of service, they are far better than ctos unfortunately. CTOS even buys scoring from the other 2 to sell to us.

Posted by rhtc88 > 1 day ago | Report Abuse

Actually no surprise, see who behind them. The famous shark (in Chinese, we said old thousand), "C".

Just try to ignore those IPO which related to them, you can join but you need to learn take profit and go.

Posted by rhtc88 > 1 day ago | Report Abuse

Just my 2 cents, no idea why KWSP or KWAP involved in this counter, totally no different with throw your money into sea.

Posted by 2Invest > 1 day ago | Report Abuse

Thank you for your input NoTimeToTrade