3iii I have been following your posts.You seem like a cool,rational guy with good advices.Unlike some overzealous dude who will disappear now and again after his stock pick goes haywire.Keep up the good work.
THIS BRADY FUCKING 3iii, HIS AVERAGE RETURN CANNOT EVEN BEAT MY FRIEND JOHNMASTER BEST PENNY STOCK SAILANG PICK AT RM 0.07 TO RM 0.08, SOME MORE TALKING COCK SO MUCH LOH....!!
FYI JOHNMASTER WHAT OF THE BEST STOCK PICKER, HAS BEEN BULLIED & INSULTED BY 3iii UNTIL HE GIVE UP POSTING LOH....!!
IT IS A BIG LOSS LOH....!!
Posted by 3iii > Aug 12, 2018 01:01 PM | Report Abuse
>>>stockraider WHAT A PONDAN & STUPID REPLY LOH ?? <<<
Raider lacks integrity.
If he reviewed his posts over the last 5 or 10 years on my stocks, he will realise how dishonest he has been.
Posted by stockraider > Aug 12, 2018 01:39 PM | Report Abuse X
THIS BRADY FUCKING 3iii, HIS AVERAGE RETURN CANNOT EVEN BEAT MY FRIEND JOHNMASTER BEST PENNY STOCK SAILANG PICK AT RM 0.07 TO RM 0.08, SOME MORE TALKING COCK SO MUCH LOH....!!
FYI JOHNMASTER WHAT OF THE BEST STOCK PICKER, HAS BEEN BULLIED & INSULTED BY 3iii UNTIL HE GIVE UP POSTING LOH....!!
IT IS A BIG LOSS LOH....!!
Posted by 3iii > Aug 12, 2018 01:01 PM | Report Abuse
>>>stockraider WHAT A PONDAN & STUPID REPLY LOH ?? <<<
Raider lacks integrity.
If he reviewed his posts over the last 5 or 10 years on my stocks, he will realise how dishonest he has been.
My Golden Rule of Investing: Companies that grow revenues and earnings will see share prices grow over time.
========================================================== The thing is not all growth stocks is a good stock because growth is not free. Substantial amount need to be reinvested in order for company to grow. So, how do you differentiate good growth stocks vs bad growth stocks? For growth to be meaningful it needs to exceed the cost of capital right? How do you calculate cost of capital? How do you determine how long will the growth last and at what rate? Your description of "My Golden Rule of Investing: Companies that grow revenues and earnings will see share prices grow over time." is generally applies to small cap stocks. But based on your previous comments you dont really promote small cap stocks. Why is that? Small cap isnt good enough?
For genuine investors, in the last two years, there are only 2 companies that withstood all the storm and both are easy to spot ....all that is needed was to properly understand why they are different......
I am not saying buy these 2 now.....just saying, for genuine investors, if you can spot an exceptional company with great management, special position in a growing sector, every thing else will fall in place.
too bad I am a trader not a genuine investor......just saying, if I am a genuine investor I would have benefited handsomely just holding on to AeonCr and Vitrox these 2 years.....and these 2 companies turn me on from the first day I research them....and still do.
I have small positions in Vitrox and AeonCr....how nice if I have large positions.
His object is not to secure a steady return on his money at a good rate of interest but to profit by either a rise or a fall in the price of whatever he may be speculating in.
It is no trick at all to be right on the market. You always find lots of early bulls in bull markets and early bears in bear markets. I've known many men who were right at exactly the right time and began buying or selling stocks when prices were at the very level which should show the greatest profit. And their experience invariably matched mine .. that is, they made no real money out of it. Men who can both be right and sit tight are uncommon."
Best quote of Jesse Livermore:
"It never was my thinking that made the big money for me. It always was my sitting. Got that? My sitting tight!"
easier said than done.....good shares over next two years cannot be more than a handful.....meaning 98% of the time, sitting down will not make it.......unless can choose the 2% correct ones.
there are a lot of head winds in these 2 years......
Thank you. I take it as a compliment. I have been trying to reach you thru PMs in investlah but no avail. Do you hold SCICOM ? Because its ROIC is quite attractive I think. But i really don't know about the future of the company. I wish I know something –but i don't. So , how to increase ones circle of competence? I know that the size of circle of competence is not very important however knowing its boundaries is vital. But I also love the idea that ones is able to increase its circle of competence.
Posted by 3iii > Aug 14, 2018 07:49 PM | Report Abuse
>>>Posted by qqq3 > Aug 14, 2018 04:41 PM | Report Abuse
I think speculators will do better than investors......<<<
Over the short term, some of the speculators may show some superb returns. We can see this in this forum too. Riding the uptrend taking a big bet.
However, over the long term, I am confident, almost all the speculators will end up with "speculators' returns". I have yet to meet someone who speculates in the market short term over many years, who is spectacularly rich. I have known many wealthy people who speculate in the market, but they are losers rather than winners.
I know a lot of people who got burned speculating in the stock market who are completely out of the market. They have learned their lessons and rightly stayed out; wisely too. Those lacking the knowledge of investing should not indulge in the stock market.
Investors who are guided by a good philosophy and method, should do well in the long run. Over the many years of investing, they would have owned a portfolio which has a lot of gains.
This is exactly my personal experience too. I have many retirees who are my golf mates. All experienced what you have mentioned, absolutely. No exception.
Just look at the writer of the comment as a good example. Has he been successful after 40 years in the stock market?
ted by kcchongnz > Aug 14, 2018 08:45 PM | Report Abuse
Just look at the writer of the comment as a good example. Has he been successful after 40 years in the stock market? ================
fu...kc...u know nothing about me.......nothing except what is written in this forum......
actually the only difference between speculators and people like you.....is that you are the hang pig head sell dog meat.
actually anyone wanting superior returns are speculators.....
further more....
Posted by qqq3 > Aug 14, 2018 04:40 PM | Report Abuse X
easier said than done.....good shares over next two years cannot be more than a handful.....meaning 98% of the time, sitting down will not make it.......unless can choose the 2% correct ones.
there are a lot of head winds in these 2 years......
by make it...I mean 100% return.....only speculating and trading can make you 100% pa.....
over the next 2 years, not more than 2% of the shares will give you 100% return if you just sit down......
99% of the people here are traders and speculators....holding period ranging from 1 hour to a few months.......
yet here in this forum.....everyone sings value investing, even maths formulas, spits on traders and speculators ......don't know who they are trying to cheat and why they do it.....all hypocrites? kc, you a hypocrite?
when 99% of the people here are traders and speculators.....why they write as if they look down on traders and speculators?
in a primary bull run, there is no way trading / speculations can out perform a buy and hold strategy. Trading/ speculations at such times just have too much leakages.
in any other market conditions....there is no way a buy and hold strategy can out perform trading / speculations. ...of course, assuming the trader got some common sense and experience.
in next 2 years, not more than 2% of the stocks will get you 100% return from start to finish. can you pick up the 2% stocks? In last 2 years, I can identify only AeonCr and Vitrox.....In next 2 years, which one?
investing? so what is your objective? to get market rates? why bother? why take the market risks? why not just invest in a mutual fund or FD?
if you want to invest yourself, be prepared to be a speculator, a trader......eventually to sailang and margin when prepared.
A 25 year old who is actively saving for retirement should get down on his knees and pray for a decades-long, brutal bear market so that he can accumulate stocks cheaply.
The bear market is no friend of the retiree, who is spending down his or her savings.
The rosiest scenario for the young investor is a long, brutal bear market . For the retiree, it most definitely is not.
How the grandpa of grahamsmun received 600k dividends from his portfolio of stocks yearly? :handshake: :thumbsup: :clap: :cash:
Quote from: grahamsmun on May 28, 2009, 10:48:43 AM
When i was 18 & just started investment. I approach my grandpa for advice. Grandpa show me his list of stocks which he had been holding for more than 10 years.
He never dispose this stocks & he is holding this stock for long term & for dividend . He tell me that he is getting dividend of more than Rm 80000 a year, at that time the value of his portfolio is Rm 1.5 million.
At that time, i totally disagree with his investment philosophy as old fashion ! Stockmarket is here to help us to grow rich quick !! If only i got the chance to manage Grandpa's assets which he refuses to let us touch !
25 years later Grandpa's portfolio had grown to amazing Rm 16 million & dividend a year is in the region Rm 600k p.a. And me, i still underperform against my Grandpa, eventhough i m more enterprising & industrious
U see how i wasted more than 20 yrs of my life, when i can easily adopt time tested Grandpa's investment philosophy. only for past 5 yrs i begin to adopt my grandpa strategy with a slight modifications !
Quote Year 0 Portfolio value RM 1.5 million Dividends RM 80,000 per year (DY 5.33%)
Year 25 Portfolio value RM 16 million Dividends RM 600,000 per year (DY 3.75%)
How much dividends did he receive? Let's make an estimate. Beginning of period dividend RM 80,000 End of 25 year period dividend RM 600,000 Assuming linear growth in dividend on yearly basis, the average dividend per year for the last 25 years = (80,000 + 600,000) / 2 = RM 340,000 per year. Therefore, he would have collected dividends totalling RM 340k x 25 = RM 8,500k = RM 8.5 million.
Assuming all the dividends were reinvested over the course of 25 years:
1. his investment grew from $1,500,000.00 to $16,000,000.00, its compound annual growth rate, or its overall return, is 9.93%.
2. his investment gains was 16m - 1.5m = RM 14.5m. RM 8.5 m was from dividends and RM 6 from capital appreciation.
:clap: :thumbsup:
[Buffett is growing Berkshire Hathaway at 10% per year presently. Imagine how big Berkshire Hathaway will become in the future. ]
There are many strategies employed in the market. During a given period, any strategy may give a negative return, despite having delivered good positive returns in the past or over the long term. The investor maybe tempted to change a proven strategy.
An investor changed from fundamental investing, to technical investing, to warrants investing, to options investing and to investing in U.S. equities.
These techniques spoke loudly the resourcefulness of the investor, but the success must await an honest revelation of the total returns. This was certainly bewildering to those who are less savy. Yet, it was both interesting and intriguing to follow the investing adventure of this investor.
Sometimes, the lure of short-run gains, the attraction of a new paradigm, and the relentless pressure to keep pace with hot sectors and hot stocks caused some/many investors to abandon their long-term principles. The long-term moderate rate of return is too slow for many who tasted the spectacular gains made in the bull market.
However, by accepting a modest return of 7 or 8% per year (doubling wealth every 10 years), there are many stocks giving such a return with low or no risk. Patience must be exercised by long-term investors. Stocks remain the best investment for all those seeking steady, long-term gains.
look at the steel counters LionInd in particular....PE 3-6....
shares whacked up and down, and then down and up....speculation/ trading or investing?
what you call investors who invest in a company because of anti-dumping duties?
Harapan government is a rakyat government not a corporates government. Harapan government is the Democratic Party , not the Republican party.
Now.....Harapan government wants to remove the anti dumping duties on HRC., so as to make houses cheaper more affordable.
what happens to the shares people buy on the basis of anti dumping duties?
one more thing......
I think the stock market should be treated as a chess game, a war, You die better than I die. Plenty of liquidity, plenty of margin accounts, plenty of syndicates. Let the lucky ones survive.
But I don't promote fake news like this fellow....
KUALA LUMPUR (Aug 15): The Ministry of International Trade and Industry (MITI) said it will look into the anti-dumping duty on imports of hot rolled coils, following a petition received from an …
>>>Posted by qqq3 > Aug 15, 2018 10:01 PM | Report Abuse
charles/3iii
look at the steel counters LionInd in particular....PE 3-6....
shares whacked up and down, and then down and up....speculation/ trading or investing?
what you call investors who invest in a company because of anti-dumping duties?
Harapan government is a rakyat government not a corporates government. Harapan government is the Democratic Party , not the Republican party.
Now.....Harapan government wants to remove the anti dumping duties on HRC., so as to make houses cheaper more affordable.
what happens to the shares people buy on the basis of anti dumping duties?
one more thing......
I think the stock market should be treated as a chess game, a war, You die better than I die. Plenty of liquidity, plenty of margin accounts, plenty of syndicates. Let the lucky ones survive.
But I don't promote fake news like this fellow....
I think the authorities should close them down.....Fake news is very damaging......margin accounts, perfectly legit, perfectly legal.<<<
Steel industry
The business of manufacturing and selling steel has been very challenging for years. It is capital intensive, labour intensive and yet, its products are sold based on competitive pricing.
It is thus not surprising to find many of the companies are not doing well in this industry. Their businesses are just gruesome. Capex is high, profitability volatile. Often due the capital intensive nature of the business, they carry a lot of debt too.
Recall My Golden Rule of Investing: Companies that grow revenues and earnings will see share prices grow over time.
Accordingly, I do not invest in these companies.
"You may wish to speculate on a turnaround occurring in this industry. But do realise turnaround does occur, but often very slowly."
This book is the result of the author's many years of experience and observation throughout his 26 years in the stockbroking industry. It was written for general public to learn to invest based on facts and not on fantasies or hearsay....
Posted by 3iii > 2018-08-12 08:05 | Report Abuse
My Golden Rule of Investing: Companies that grow revenues and earnings will see share prices grow over time.