Wealth gap slowing US' economic recovery

Publish date: Tue, 05 Aug 2014, 11:51 PM

ECONOMISTS have long argued that a rising wealth gap has complicated the United States' rebound from the Great Recession.

Now, an analysis by the rating agency Standard & Poor's lends its weight to the argument: The widening gap between the wealthiest Americans and everyone else has made the economy more prone to boom-bust cycles and slowed the five-year-old recovery from the recession.

Economic disparities appear to be reaching extremes that "need to be watched because they're damaging to growth", said S&P chief US economist Beth Ann Bovino.

The rising concentration of income among the top one per cent of earners has contributed to S&P's cutting its growth estimates for the economy. In part because of the disparity, it estimates that the economy will grow at a 2.5 per cent annual pace in the next decade, down from a forecast five years ago of a 2.8 per cent rate.

The S&P report advises against using the tax code to try to narrow the gap. Instead, it suggests that greater access to education would help ease wealth disparities.

More schooling usually translates into higher wages. S&P estimates that the US economy would grow annually by an additional half a percentage point -or US$105 billion (RM334.58 billion) - over the next five years, if the average the American worker had completed just one more year of school.

By contrast, S&P concludes, heavy taxes that would be meant to reduce inequality could remove incentives for people to work and cause businesses to hire fewer employees because of the costs involved.

The report builds on data from the Congressional Budget Office, the International Monetary Fund and academic economists to explain how income disparities can hurt growth.

Many consumers tend to become more dependent on debt to continue spending, thereby worsening the boom-bust cycle. Or they curb their spending, and growth improves only modestly, as it has during the current recovery.

Tax data tracked as part of the World Top Incomes Database project reveal just how much the economic chasm has expanded.

An American in the top one per cent of earners had an average income of US$1.3 million in 2012, the most recent year for which data are available. Average income jumps to US$30.8 million for the top 0.01 per cent.

For the bottom 90 per cent, of Americans, average incomes after inflation have grown by a factor of just three since 1917 and have declined for the past 13 years. AP

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wies

The diagnosis is correct, the solution is education is also correct but fail to point out that corporate taxes have been going down since reagan years but salary has not. Record profits for corporations while record drop in wages. Economic policies to put bluntly are DISTRIBUTION OF WEALTH. But in this case is distributing from the bottom earners to the top. Trickle UP instead of Trickle Down.

2014-08-06 21:12

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